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Conditional launch policy and transfer remain untested.", "limits": "Native qualification and stage diagnostics now exist, but no conditional launch rule has been fit or tested. Failures and engineering readiness do not establish optimal-size efficacy.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "qualification_observed_conditional_policy_untested", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/PROTOCOL.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/PROTOCOL.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/design.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/design.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a5-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a5-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a6-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a6-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Hard spending/time limits are enforced during execution; unused allowance is not a failure. Admission checks reject known physical-memory violations. Overrun, out-of-memory, cancelled and provider-failed attempts stay in the assigned denominator with explicit failure classes. Policy performance includes execution reliability; a conditional-on-provider-success view is a separately labeled sensitivity analysis.", "Report success-by-deadline, quality, cost, latency, cap violations and failure classes for every assigned episode. Timeouts are not missing data: retain their deadline and last state. Do not substitute fast failed-run latency for successful completion time. Report success-conditioned latency alongside the primary all-assigned operational outcome; label that conditioning explicitly." ], "hub": { "id": "optimal-swarm-size-q1", "run_status_counts": { "done": 37, "failed": 20 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/optimal-swarm-size-q1" } }, { "id": "heterogeneous-swarms", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Heterogeneous swarms research designs", "title": "Heterogeneous swarms research designs", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Untested efficacy question: whether mixed-model or self-differentiating swarms provide specialization beyond compute, correlation and coordination costs.", "sample": "No experiments launched; 38 research questions with prospective designs, not 38 empirical samples.", "limits": "Existing rubric scores measure editorial interest/preferences, not empirical confidence. Exact model, sample and launch contracts remain to be frozen per successor.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "research_proposals_no_experiments", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/heterogeneous-swarms/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/heterogeneous-swarms/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/heterogeneous-swarms/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/heterogeneous-swarms/README.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": null }, { "id": "theseus-v1", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Swarm of Theseus original cohort", "title": "Swarm of Theseus original cohort", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Supplied procedure notes can preserve this small task performance after complete crew replacement; mentoring adds no established benefit.", "sample": "S1:6 paired worlds (2 per3 scenarios) × 6 arms =36/36 trajectories; 3 members per world. Across qualification/S1:68 completed,4 failed of72 started.", "limits": "Tiny constructed feature space, supplied useful rules and note copying create ceiling effects; no evidence of emergent culture or mentoring advantage. Generations, members and cases are dependent within world.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_exploratory", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/RESULTS.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The user-requested retrospective review concludes that v1 is a useful transmission baseline, but its headline is largely explained by preserving a supplied rule. It should not be scaled as a novel culture result. All mentoring comes directly from founders; two scenarios reuse the same four binary inputs; repair actors receive the new rule explicitly. Read the critical review, structural audit, and unrun selective-continuity design. The new question is whether descendants can preserve acquired useful practices while selectively revising obsolete", "S1 completed 36/36 trajectories with zero failures. Notes and notes plus mentoring each achieved 100% post-turnover task accuracy, versus 52.08% with neither; arbitrary convention survival varied. The predeclared exploratory contrast was +47.92 points (six paired synthetic worlds). See full results, audit, and review history. All failed qualification attempts remain preserved. The prospective plan below and its dated amendments are historical; per-run immutable links retain their original versions." ], "hub": { "id": "swarm-of-theseus", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/swarm-of-theseus" } }, { "id": "theseus-v2", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Swarm of Theseus v2", "title": "Swarm of Theseus v2", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "The first v2 native screen failed action competence; procedure-continuity effects remain untested.", "sample": "S0: 6 scenario/world roots (2 per 3 scenarios) × 2 readers = 12/12 two-checkpoint runs; 24 calls, 144 dependent decisions. Qualification failed; 24-continuation S1 not started.", "limits": "Execution completed without invalid or missing responses, but explicit-rule and learner cells failed unchanged competence floors. These are observed rule-application errors, not evidence of cultural loss. A bounded repair on fresh seeds is planned; S1 was not started.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_failed_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/reviews/S0-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/reviews/S0-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/results/S0/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/results/S0/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/results/S0/manifest.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/results/S0/manifest.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/reviews/S0-repair-pre.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/v2/reviews/S0-repair-pre.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Executed S0 and the one planned repair: 48 valid model calls. Both failed the joint competence gate, so no turnover pilot ran. Read RESULTS.md.** This is an exploratory instrument for learned procedure continuity, not a demonstration of emergent culture or a novelty claim. The public plan was written before implementation; an explicit prospective amendment adds a common feedback interruption. Read PLAN.md, the pre-run assessment, and the prior evidence/social review.", "Both admitted qualifications are now complete and failed. The planned S1 is blocked by the unchanged joint gate. Next work requires a separately frozen diagnostic plan and resolution of applicable research review requirements." ], "hub": { "id": "swarm-of-theseus-v2", "run_status_counts": { "done": 25 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/swarm-of-theseus-v2" } }, { "id": "immune-v1", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Immune response v1 scripted cohort", "title": "Immune response v1 scripted cohort", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Oracle restoration repairs private/shared-state contamination in a programmed fixture.", "sample": "Scripted S0:1 task × 3 strata × 6 arms =18 outcomes; S1:2 tasks × 3 strata × 6 arms =36 outcomes; 8 actors and24 rounds per trajectory.", "limits": "Deterministic engineering evidence only; names/ownership are permuted within a tightly specified fixture. Native v1 completion is not established by these sources.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.2, "strength_label": "scripted", "assessment_status": "historical_scripted_completed", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/DEPLOYMENT.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/DEPLOYMENT.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/preregistration-v1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/preregistration-v1.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "immune-response", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/immune-response" } }, { "id": "immune-v2", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Immune response v2 native diagnostic", "title": "Immune response v2 native diagnostic", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Untested efficacy question: shared restoration contributes beyond private repair and stale-record blocking.", "sample": "Scripted:256 S1 outcomes from8 task IDs × 4 strata × 8 arms. Native:one shared-evidence task,8 arm outcomes with1 contract failure.", "limits": "Single native task and failed primary comparator prevent a robust LLM effect estimate; programmed equal results across incident strata do not demonstrate breadth.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "scripted_complete_native_unqualified", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/RESULTS-v2.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/RESULTS-v2.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/DEPLOYMENT-v2.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/immune-response/DEPLOYMENT-v2.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "immune-response", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/immune-response" } }, { "id": "immune-v3-engineering", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Immune response v3 scripted engineering", "title": "Immune response v3 scripted engineering", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Selective repair mechanisms behave as designed across synthetic recurrence, benign-learning and missing-lineage cases.", "sample": "Engineering:16 task roots × 5 strata × 9 arms =720 outcomes; native task6700 was not run.", "limits": "Scripted mechanisms and oracle incident labels establish fixture behavior only. Eight actors and 24 rounds per episode are not replicates. Current family status belongs to later scenario/receipt studies, not this completed cohort.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.2, "strength_label": "scripted", "assessment_status": "scripted_engineering_complete", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/design.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/design.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/ENGINEERING-RESULTS.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/ENGINEERING-RESULTS.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The scenario-grounded recovery study preceded the receipt study. It replaces exact-value ledger copying with dependency compatibility, persistent data, live health checks and consequential repair actions. The earlier instrument below remains historical mechanism evidence. The approved USD 8 grant funded two documented qualifications and one small architecture control on sim-immune-response, totaling USD 0.441259. The assessment reports mixed results and failed competence controls; robust immunity is not established. The old task-6700 plan was s" ], "hub": { "id": "immune-response-v3", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/immune-response-v3" } }, { "id": "immune-scenario", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Immune response scenario diagnostics", "title": "Immune response scenario diagnostics", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The small scenario diagnostics exposed failed team recovery and healthy-service damage by the solo baseline; they do not identify a causal team-versus-solo advantage.", "sample": "Native:4 related scenarios; team A1/A2 each12/12 episodes (3 arms), solo4/4;240 calls. A2 engineering192 episodes includes16 name variants, not192 independent situations.", "limits": "Healthy control failed in A1; A2 often failed repair; solo repaired incidents but damaged healthy control. All are valid adverse decisions, not provider failures. Sequential architecture runs are not a randomized causal team-versus-solo estimate.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_adverse_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/NATIVE-A1-RESULTS.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/NATIVE-A1-RESULTS.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/NATIVE-A2-RESULTS.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/NATIVE-A2-RESULTS.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/SOLO-A1-RESULTS.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/scenario-study/SOLO-A1-RESULTS.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Full assessment and bad-decision analysis reports all three native attempts. The redesigned team preserved a healthy system but often failed to repair an unhealthy one; removing reviewers improved incident recovery but harmed the healthy control. Neither architecture establishes robust immunity. The deterministic contract solver remains the reliable baseline for this fully specified exercise. Total native API cost was USD 0.441259, with 240 calls and no response/provider failures. Execution record and public runs links failed and completed atte", "A1 (runtime 18fcd22) finished all 12 episodes and 108 calls with no invalid responses for USD 0.169049, but failed the healthy-system control. It remains in NATIVE-A1-RESULTS.json and its public run. Native explanations repeatedly conflated feature number, data format and RPC version, sometimes contradicting live checks. This is observed decision error; representation/prompt causation is an inference, not proven by those explanations." ], "hub": { "id": "immune-response-v3", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/immune-response-v3" } }, { "id": "immune-receipt", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Immune evidence receipt diagnostic", "title": "Immune evidence receipt diagnostic", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "metascience" ], "status": "gated", "claim": "Untested efficacy question: fact-checking frozen reviewer recommendations improves commander recovery beyond generic caution and identical raw evidence.", "sample": "Native diagnostic:16 assigned;3 complete,1 partial,12 unstarted. Four related cases × 2 memory states × 2 paired receipt arms; no completed qualification.", "limits": "Wrong-account interruption is a process failure, preserved separately from three completed outcomes. No treatment effect or resumed authorization follows from partial data; reviewers are shared within raw/checked pairs.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "interrupted_no_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/evidence-study/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/evidence-study/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/evidence-study/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/evidence-study/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/evidence-study/reviews/receipt-a2-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/immune-response-v3/evidence-study/reviews/receipt-a2-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Setup amendment, 2026-10-04: first native launch failed the public-plan heading contract before creating a run or spending. Required headings are now explicit and covered by a local public-plan validation regression. `receipt-native-a2` executes the unchanged scientific protocol; a1 is preserved as a setup failure." ], "hub": { "id": "immune-response-v3", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/immune-response-v3" } }, { "id": "influence-v1", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "External influence v1", "title": "External influence v1", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance" ], "status": "gated", "claim": "Untested efficacy question: decision-focused checking can outperform random checking against externally manipulated evidence.", "sample": "Scripted S1:12 task roots with2 render seeds,9 worlds,2 doses,7 policies =3,024 outcomes. Native:one clean task,7 valid/correct policy outcomes;67 calls.", "limits": "Native qualification does not measure attack resistance. Scripted effects reflect authored policies; rendering repetitions and five actors are not fresh task roots.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "scripted_complete_native_clean_qualification_only", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/external-influence/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/external-influence/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/DEPLOYMENT.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/DEPLOYMENT.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/external-influence/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/actual-experiments/external-influence/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/README.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "external-influence", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/external-influence" } }, { "id": "influence-v2", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "External influence v2 hosted cohort", "title": "External influence v2 hosted cohort", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "provenance" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The hosted fixture comparison exposed poor use of corrective evidence and no reliable verification advantage; it does not establish general attack robustness.", "sample": "50/50 valid native arm outcomes; one fixture in each of3 domains (only1 procurement primary),9 actors per arm and750 calls.", "limits": "Matched call slots and adverse results support a narrow implementation diagnosis. One fixture per domain, authored scores and failed evidence integration prevent general robustness or superiority claims.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_exploratory", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/reviews/quality-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/reviews/quality-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Historical Haiku pilot, audited:** 50/50 valid outcomes, 750 model calls, USD 2.002637. Verification evidence often failed to govern the final choice. This is an exploratory result with one fixture per domain, not a robustness estimate. See the quality assessment, visualization mapping, and prospective repair. The repaired architecture has not yet been qualified live.", "The initial 0.6B configuration failed required candidate coverage. The first 1.7B configuration failed excessive-citation validation in three teams. A prospectively registered grammar repair, containing only actor-visible constraints, passed fresh qualification (6/6 valid, 5/6 correct) before the full comparison. Those failures and both original plan registrations are preserved." ], "hub": { "id": "external-influence-v2", "run_status_counts": { "done": 5 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/external-influence-v2" } }, { "id": "influence-v2-local", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "External influence local model qualifications", "title": "External influence local model qualifications", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "The unchanged local 0.6B and 1.7B replacements failed bounded workflow qualification; attack resistance remains untested.", "sample": "Q0/Q1 each use 3 domain roots × 2 cases: 0/6 and 3/6 valid teams (Q1: 2 correct). D0: 0/4 valid historical procurement cases. 87 calls across attempts; main S1 unrun.", "limits": "Q0 and D0 produced no valid teams; Q1 produced three valid teams but only two correct decisions. Invalid teams leave harm unknown. Model, profiles and future schema repair differ across attempts, so their counts must remain separate; no matched efficacy or broad model ranking follows.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_failed_qualifications_repair_planned", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/local-agents/reviews/Q0-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/local-agents/reviews/Q0-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/local-agents/reviews/Q1-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/local-agents/reviews/Q1-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/local-agents/reviews/D0-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/local-agents/reviews/D0-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/local-agents/PLAN-v2.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/external-influence-v2/local-agents/PLAN-v2.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Historical Haiku pilot, audited:** 50/50 valid outcomes, 750 model calls, USD 2.002637. Verification evidence often failed to govern the final choice. This is an exploratory result with one fixture per domain, not a robustness estimate. See the quality assessment, visualization mapping, and prospective repair. The repaired architecture has not yet been qualified live.", "The initial 0.6B configuration failed required candidate coverage. The first 1.7B configuration failed excessive-citation validation in three teams. A prospectively registered grammar repair, containing only actor-visible constraints, passed fresh qualification (6/6 valid, 5/6 correct) before the full comparison. Those failures and both original plan registrations are preserved." ], "hub": { "id": "external-influence-v2", "run_status_counts": { "done": 5 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/external-influence-v2" } }, { "id": "influence-quality-repair", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Influence score enforcement prototype", "title": "Influence score enforcement prototype", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Untested efficacy question: an explicit ledger and enforced final score rule makes checking affect the committed decision.", "sample": "No live-qualified result; offline score-enforcement branch superseded by procurement scenario study.", "limits": "Enforced deterministic choice is an engineering intervention, not proof of improved model reasoning.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "archived_offline_proposal", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/README.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "influence-swarms", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 2, "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/influence-swarms" } }, { "id": "influence-scenario", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Influence procurement scenario", "title": "Influence procurement scenario", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Untested efficacy question: displaying preliminary peer recommendations changes harmful selection under misleading outside evidence.", "sample": "Q4:4 authored dossiers × 3 workflows =12/12 valid,10 acceptable. D1:2 selected Q4 dossiers × 2 report conditions =4/4 valid,2 acceptable; not independent replication. Q0-Q3 retained separately. Main comparison unrun.", "limits": "Updated by vishesh/codex-experiments on 2026-10-04: Q4 has two valid team approval errors; D1 report removal did not repair the selected error. These diagnostic findings do not establish external influence. Main comparison remains unrun after failed qualification; dependent cohorts cannot be pooled.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "qualification_failed_main_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/RESULTS-Q4-D1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/RESULTS-Q4-D1.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Latest measured result:** D3 populated all 90 checks but correctly classified only 76. All three workflows made 4/6 acceptable decisions. False blockers caused unnecessary deferral. D4 stayed unrun; S1 remains unqualified. Historical Q0-D3 results below retain their original scope.", "Status:** implemented and rerun on native Haiku 4.5. Q2 completed all nine decisions with valid outputs: seven acceptable and two adverse. Both team chairs selected a supplier despite missing mandatory processing approval; the generalist deferred. A targeted Q3 diagnostic clarified immediate purchase authority and all three workflows deferred on a fresh case. The full influence comparison remains unqualified and unrun. See measured results. This is an exploratory instrument, not a reviewed hypothesis or a real vendor evaluation. Assessment, pro" ], "hub": { "id": "influence-swarms", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 2, "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/influence-swarms" } }, { "id": "healing-pilot03", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Healing pilot03", "title": "Healing pilot03", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Sharing withdrawal notices improves recovery in the programmed evidence atlas with qualified extraction.", "sample": "Pilot03:3 paired synthetic corpora × 3 policies × 4 scenarios × 5 extractor definitions =180 assigned;72 exact/Jev worlds complete,108 Qwen-derived not-run.", "limits": "Exact and Jev trajectories coincide on engineered fixtures; source authenticity and withdrawals supplied. Three corpora and programmed forwarding do not establish autonomous research or heterogeneous-head superiority. Earlier pilot01/02 each completed36 exact worlds and left108 model worlds not-run.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_limited_mechanism", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/results-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/results-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/PILOT-03-OVERVIEW.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/PILOT-03-OVERVIEW.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Next revision under preparation: C4 PI critique and selective-helping plan. The owner approved C4; native integration and20offline tests are complete. C4 has not run: central queue admission is pending. Readiness and remaining gates.", "We tested whether 200 curators can repair a changing evidence index and whether Qwen 0.6B plus Jev improves on Jev alone. The registered C3 run completed **600 paired reports, 270 worlds and 8,100 frames with zero transport failures**. Qwen scored 87%; Jev and Qwen+Jev each scored 100%, so Qwen added no measured benefit. Verified central indexing had lower mean post-event error than peer repair in every scenario. Verification blocked false withdrawals; missing lineage remained unresolved." ], "hub": { "id": "healing-helping-hands", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 4, "done": 196 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/healing-helping-hands" } }, { "id": "healing-practical01", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Healing practical01", "title": "Healing practical01", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "No scenario met the peer-verified utility rule against central append; the observed capped-mesh disadvantage is specific to these reused fixtures and unequal transport mechanisms.", "sample": "Practical01:3 reused corpora × 2 placements × 6 scenarios × 5 policies =180/180 worlds;36 paired event blocks;0 new model calls.", "limits": "No scenario met the prospective peer-verified utility rule; valid adverse result. Central bulk reads and capped mesh packets are unequal, metadata authentication is supplied, and corpus reuse precludes independent semantic replication. Reporting failure repaired retrospectively without rerunning computation.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_valid_adverse", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/POST-01.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/POST-01.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/PLAN.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "healing-helping-hands", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 4, "done": 196 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/healing-helping-hands" } }, { "id": "healing-practical02", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Healing practical02 capacity diagnostic", "title": "Healing practical02 capacity diagnostic", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience", "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Increasing mesh capacity improves this programmed delivery protocol, but it does not outperform the version-aware central index.", "sample": "Practical02: same 3 corpora × 2 placements × 6 scenarios × 5 policies = 180/180 worlds; cap 4→16. Together both capacities yield 360 dependent worlds, 0 new model calls.", "limits": "The complete paired cap-4 versus cap-16 diagnostic preserves three reused corpora and all five policies. Capacity buys lower error and better retention through more traffic; unequal central/mesh transport and reused extraction tapes prevent an equal-resource or fresh-model benefit claim. The adverse strong-baseline comparison remains valid.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_valid_capacity_diagnostic", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/POST-02.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/POST-02.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/POST-01.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/POST-01.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/results-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/results-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/PRE-02.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/healing-helping-hands/practical/PRE-02.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "healing-helping-hands", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 4, "done": 196 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/healing-helping-hands" } }, { "id": "antsy-v1", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Antsy adaptive quorum v1", "title": "Antsy adaptive quorum v1", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Fixed and adaptive quorum policies tied on the tested evidence tapes; the small fixture does not establish an adaptive stopping advantage.", "sample": "Per backend:6 task clusters × 3 worlds × 2 deadlines × 4 policies =144 outcomes; scripted andLaya both complete.", "limits": "Fixed/adaptive policies tied; shared full tapes mean outcomes are paired. Source independence supplied, not detected. Small synthetic qualification does not establish adaptive advantage.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_qualification_tied", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum/results/S0.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum/results/S0.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum/README.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "adaptive-quorum", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/adaptive-quorum" } }, { "id": "antsy-v2", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Antsy adaptive quorum v2 historical cohort", "title": "Antsy adaptive quorum v2 historical cohort", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Untested efficacy question: whether adaptive quorum improves decisions after a competent evidence-integration instrument is established; that prerequisite failed in this cohort.", "sample": "168 arm outcomes across6 task clusters; clean-task qualification failed; noS1.", "limits": "Preserved failure is evidence about this task/model interface but cannot support a quorum-effect claim. Full tapes and population/deadline variants are dependent within tasks.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "failed_clean_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/results/laya-analysis.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/results/laya-analysis.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/design.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/design.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "V2 original design and failed pilot, v2 protocol, v2 results, and v1 remain intact. Stable experiment ID `adaptive-quorum-api-v2` retains old runs. Display name: Antsy. Jev through OpenRouter remains deferred pending secure setup and new qualification." ], "hub": { "id": "adaptive-quorum-api-v2", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/adaptive-quorum-api-v2" } }, { "id": "antsy-v3", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Antsy adaptive quorum repair v3", "title": "Antsy adaptive quorum repair v3", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Adaptive thresholds trade abstention against late correction or misinformation in the guarded factual selector.", "sample": "S1:12 task clusters × 2 populations × 2 deadlines × 4 worlds × 2 schedules =384 paired blocks;7 policies →2,688 outcomes. Q2:22/22 pass.", "limits": "Every learned-policy choice matched symbolic control; guarded host logic limits AI claims. Twelve engineered clusters are the task diversity, not 2,688 independent outcomes. Rendering failure and exact-prefix recovery preserved.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_synthetic_mechanism", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/repair-v3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/repair-v3/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/repair-v3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/repair-v3/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/repair-v3/results/S1/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/adaptive-quorum-v2/repair-v3/results/S1/summary.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The historical v2 pilot failed clean-task competence. D0 isolated a small-fact versus combined-decision gap. Q1 passed ordinary tasks but failed a one-day-retention boundary. Q2 tests the explicit safety guard on disjoint tasks. The stress sweep is blocked unless Q2 passes all 22 cases without invalid encodings. Preserve every failed attempt. This version does not pool results with v1/v2 or claim independent cross-researcher acceptance.", "Live Antsy dashboard. Public PNG/GIF views show recorded source arrival, scout ballots, supporting roots and policy commitment times. A policy's result appears only once it commits. Evaluator correctness is explicitly labeled and never sent to actors. Static diagnostic matrices preserve failed cases. The layout is a diagram, not simulated ant movement; source timing uses logical ticks rather than seconds." ], "hub": { "id": "adaptive-quorum-api-v2", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/adaptive-quorum-api-v2" } }, { "id": "antsy-v4", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Antsy receipt verification v4", "title": "Antsy receipt verification v4", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Neither tested committee improved observed mean recall or saved checks over the no-check confidence router on these 70 receipts; this does not establish general harm or equivalence.", "sample": "70 paired evaluation receipts, excluding 20 calibration and 10 qualification receipts; 700 distinct outcomes after shared-control deduplication. Per backend: 70/70 receipts, 490 rows, 840 calls; vendor/layout dependence is unquantified.", "limits": "Strong control, held-apart calibration and complete paired data support a limited negative result. Receipt-level descriptive intervals are available, but vendor/layout dependence is unquantified; token recall and flawed regional updates limit practical generalization. Valid null/adverse results do not reduce confidence by themselves.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "completed_valid_null_adverse", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v4/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v4/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v4/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v4/RESULTS.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Completed results:** the skeptical assessment reports both 70-receipt studies. Confidence alone achieved 56.78% recall, versus 56.30% for Laya and 55.72% for Jev committees; neither adaptive committee saved checks. Both full runs passed the integrity audit with zero invalid calls. Earlier Jev qualification failures remain documented. A failed run remains visible, with the repair and its unchanged or amended protocol identified separately." ], "hub": { "id": "antsy-verification-v4", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/antsy-verification-v4" } }, { "id": "antsy-v5", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Antsy receipt diagnostics v5", "title": "Antsy receipt diagnostics v5", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Null-neutral updates fix a specific estimator defect and explicit-cost planning changes deterministic check allocation.", "sample": "Same70 v4 receipts reused as development diagnostics; D0=2,940 rows,D1=1,400 rows;20 historical calibration receipts;0 new model calls or fresh evaluation receipts.", "limits": "Numerical reconstruction supports the narrow repair; saved purchases do not reveal counterfactual model behavior. D1 changes estimator and action allocation together; assumed check price is not measured economics. No fresh efficacy/generalization claim.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_engineering_reanalysis", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v5/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v5/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v5/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v5/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v5/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-verification-v5/RESULTS.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "antsy-verification-v5", "run_status_counts": { "done": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/antsy-verification-v5" } }, { "id": "regrowth-200", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Regrowth 200: distributed route repair", "title": "Regrowth 200: distributed route repair", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The added Laya heads did not improve final routing quality on this one map; both model arms remained far below exact routing on shortest paths.", "sample": "One fixed map × 3 architectures ×damage/control =6/6 worlds;200 cell identities,80 rounds. No replicated map sample.", "limits": "Descriptive trajectories only; model arms share100%valid but6.5%shortest final routes, so fast recovery to poor quality is not advantage. Hybrid adds compute and sees Qwen proposals. Missing original public registration is preserved separately.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_descriptive_registration_failure", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/regrowth-200/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/regrowth-200/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/regrowth-200/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/regrowth-200/README.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "regrowth-200", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/regrowth-200" } }, { "id": "avalon", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Avalon Swarm", "title": "Avalon Swarm", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Scripted recovery and communication mechanics work at increasing logical population size.", "sample": "45 scripted worlds:15v0.1 scale (5sizes × 3topologies),15recovery (5paired seeds × 3arms),15v0.2 consensus checks;one scale seed per condition.", "limits": "Programmed repair, synthetic identities and environment audits do not establish LLM benefit; small recovery difference descriptive. Large logical population is a capacity check, not large independent sample.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.2, "strength_label": "scripted", "assessment_status": "completed_scripted_engineering", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "tooling/avalon-swarm/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tooling/avalon-swarm/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "tooling/avalon-swarm/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tooling/avalon-swarm/RESULTS.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": null }, { "id": "collective-sensing-example", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Collective sensing scripted example", "title": "Collective sensing scripted example", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Deduplicating repeated sources changes programmed majority decisions on generated binary signals.", "sample": "60 scenario clusters × 4 fresh repetitions × 4 scripted conditions =960/960 worlds;4,800 dependent agent decisions,0 model calls.", "limits": "Scenario-cluster bootstrap describes the toy sampling only. This is a reproducible analysis example, not LLM evidence or confirmation of the prospective research hypothesis.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.2, "strength_label": "scripted", "assessment_status": "completed_scripted_example", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "tooling/agent-experiments/examples/collective-sensing/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tooling/agent-experiments/examples/collective-sensing/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "tooling/agent-experiments/examples/collective-sensing/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tooling/agent-experiments/examples/collective-sensing/RESULTS.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": null }, { "id": "discussion-dose", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion allowance and corruption in a fork and merge swarm", "title": "Discussion allowance and corruption in a fork and merge swarm", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The six-world corrected qualification is executable and exposes a memory-coverage defect; it does not estimate discussion protection.", "sample": "6 worlds × 2 exposures × 4 doses = 48 completed episodes; 3 actors, 1,020 calls.", "limits": "Six repaired development worlds; contamination disappeared before discussion, creating a ceiling. The 48 correct decisions and 47 correct parents support bounded execution and a memory-coverage failure, not discussion protection. Earlier failed attempts stay separate.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_qualification_only", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/RESULTS-AND-REFLECTION.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/RESULTS-AND-REFLECTION.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "7. Strict majority over the original fixed electorate selects A/B/C; no majority means ABSTAIN. There is no LLM judge, arbitrary first-vote tie break, or removal of failed voters from the quorum.", "The hub's current reverse proxy limits each upload to 2 MB. `src/artifacts.py` compresses trace files and splits any larger compressed payload into parts of at most 1,000,000 bytes. `artifact-index.json` records ordered parts, encodings, sizes and SHA-256 hashes. Rejoin parts in order, verify the payload hash, decompress if needed, and verify the raw hash. `analyze.py` can read an intact `.jsonl.gz` directly. `recover_upload.py RUN_ID` repairs existing artifact uploads without reexecuting episodes or changing a failed run's terminal status. Raw" ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-dose", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-dose" } }, { "id": "discussion-dose-v2", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion allowance and corruption in a fork and merge swarm", "title": "Discussion allowance and corruption in a fork and merge swarm", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance", "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "More difficult source conflicts enable a descriptive discussion-dose comparison.", "sample": "Calibration: 12 shared worlds × 6 levels × 2 exposures = 144 episodes; dose pilot: 6 fresh worlds, 48 episodes (44 valid).", "limits": "Calibration levels reuse worlds and are not independent samples. Only six fresh worlds support the dose comparison; four attacked-dose outcomes are invalid and claims/votes may disagree. Selection of H4 was developmental; no confirmatory effect is established.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_exploratory_with_invalids", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/RESULTS-V2.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/RESULTS-V2.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/V2-ISSUE-REVIEW.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/V2-ISSUE-REVIEW.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "7. Strict majority over the original fixed electorate selects A/B/C; no majority means ABSTAIN. There is no LLM judge, arbitrary first-vote tie break, or removal of failed voters from the quorum.", "The hub's current reverse proxy limits each upload to 2 MB. `src/artifacts.py` compresses trace files and splits any larger compressed payload into parts of at most 1,000,000 bytes. `artifact-index.json` records ordered parts, encodings, sizes and SHA-256 hashes. Rejoin parts in order, verify the payload hash, decompress if needed, and verify the raw hash. `analyze.py` can read an intact `.jsonl.gz` directly. `recover_upload.py RUN_ID` repairs existing artifact uploads without reexecuting episodes or changing a failed run's terminal status. Raw" ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-dose-v2", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-dose-v2" } }, { "id": "discussion-dose-v2-private-control", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion v2 private control", "title": "Discussion v2 private control", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience", "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The small board-versus-private diagnostic reports a descriptive contrast; an incremental protective discussion effect remains unresolved.", "sample": "6 paired worlds × 2 exposures × 2 modes = 24 episodes; 23 valid, 1,015 calls.", "limits": "Clean decisions pass this small screen, but one board episode is invalid and the contrast rests on two worlds. The descriptive interval includes zero; private reflection itself is active and v2 probes were independently sampled. A general peer-effect claim is unresolved.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_exploratory_with_invalids", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/PRIVATE-CONTROL.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/PRIVATE-CONTROL.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/pc-H4-a1-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/pc-H4-a1-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The worker's standard qualification gate (invalid < 5%, clean accuracy >= 80% pooled over both modes) decides the hub's done/failed status, as for every other v2 batch." ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-dose-v2", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-dose-v2" } }, { "id": "discussion-dose-v3", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion and memory benchmark v3", "title": "Discussion and memory benchmark v3", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "The completed V3 diagnostic failed clean competence and exposed inherited-memory failure; discussion efficacy remains unestablished.", "sample": "6 worlds; 48 swarm episodes + 12 full-evidence probes + 36 fixed-memory fixtures = 96 cases, 636 calls.", "limits": "Execution and replay pass, but clean competence fails (2/6 full evidence; 1/6 reports only; gate 5/6). This supports a diagnostic finding, not a qualified treatment null or reliable protective effect. Three worlds per attack stratum and fixed fixtures do not establish broad security.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_failed_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/RESULTS-Q0.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/RESULTS-Q0.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/README.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Release scope:** executable benchmark and model adapter. The first real-model qualification is complete: 636 calls, 96 cases, $4.387237, zero invalid outputs, but failed clean competence (2/6 full-evidence and 1/6 reports-only). Independent instrument review subsequently passed; this model configuration is not qualified for expansion. Authorization preserves that distinction; the confirmation holdout stays closed. This is a focused synthetic benchmark, not an exhaustive security benchmark or a validated real-world task suite. Formal hypothesis ", "Review repairs, 2026-10-04:** Vishesh's findings are addressed in the successor: stricter assignment/allocation checks, explicit supported versus unsupported parent outcomes, and regression coverage for the existing matched private-work design. Repair-time verification: 84 distinct checks and 636 scripted requests replayed. Updated evidence supplements the original release record. The completed independent review matches all 15 runtime hashes; Q0 results separately report failed model qualification." ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-dose-v3", "run_status_counts": { "done": 4, "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-dose-v3" } }, { "id": "discussion-v3-resample", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "v3 resampling-only control (sidecar)", "title": "v3 resampling-only control (sidecar)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "On this model and contract, repeated probes preserved checkpoint votes; the failed clean gate prevents an attack-protection claim.", "sample": "12 worlds (6 per stratum) × 2 exposures × 3 arms = 72 episodes, 936 calls.", "limits": "Exact replay and complete observations show near-deterministic repeated probes on this contract, but reports-only clean competence is 2/12 and mostly abstention. Attack-harm/protection interpretations are not supported by the degenerate baseline; this is a component diagnostic.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_failed_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/RESAMPLE-CONTROL.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/RESAMPLE-CONTROL.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/resample-v3-a1-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/resample-v3-a1-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Report all three arms, clean-adjusted effects, missing-cell bounds and actual resource use. Preserve the frozen metric names, assignments and qualification gate. The completed sidecar report now records 72/72 terminal episodes and 936/936 completed calls, with failed clean competence (2/12 reports-only correct versus 10/12 required). All 72 repeated probe votes matched their checkpoint votes. This bounded observation does not establish equivalence for other models or contexts. Upstream v3 execution, review or qualification cannot substitute for" ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-v3-resample", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-v3-resample" } }, { "id": "soc07-private-judgments", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "SOC-07: keep the first judgment private, but allow revision", "title": "SOC-07: keep the first judgment private, but allow revision", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Untested efficacy question: keeping first judgments private improves team decisions without suppressing valid correction.", "sample": "Planned: 12 qualification worlds; separate 24-world replay and 24-world live pilots, 2 repeats each; 192 and 240 episodes.", "limits": "Only a plan, implementation and S0 pre-review are committed at this cutoff. No completed model evidence is available; illustrative 960-world confirmation remains closed. Five actors, repeated answers and calls are not independent observations.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "implemented_no_model_results_in_repository", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments/design.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments/design.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments/reviews/s0-pre.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments/reviews/s0-pre.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "| Analysis | Pairing conventions | Reconcile every planned episode, including failed/missing ones; do not use a done-only export |", "Freeze the planned ledger before execution. Every assigned episode receives exactly one terminal execution status (completed, interrupted, or incomplete), a separate decision outcome (correct, wrong, no majority, or unavailable), and zero or more per-agent failure flags (invalid response, refusal, timeout, exhaustion, infrastructure failure). A team may succeed despite a member failing. A and B are the only winning votes; ABSTAIN never counts toward the three-vote threshold. Defined noncompletion is zero for operational success. Missing substan" ], "hub": { "id": "soc07-private-judgments", "run_status_counts": { "done": 8, "failed": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/soc07-private-judgments" } }, { "id": "soc07-private-judgments-v2", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "SOC-07 v2: private first judgments on a harder three-option task", "title": "SOC-07 v2: private first judgments on a harder three-option task", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Untested: on a task where first answers disagree, keeping first judgments private changes team decision accuracy relative to publishing them.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned: 12 qualification worlds; 24-world replay and 24-world live pilots, 2 repeats each; 192 replay and 240 live episodes; 4,765 calls.", "limits": "Prepared successor design only; no v2 run exists. Built because v1 replay on Opus 5.5 reached team success 1.00 in both arms. Five agents, repeats and calls are not independent observations.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "implemented_no_model_results_in_repository", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments-v2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments-v2/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments-v2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments-v2/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments-v2/design.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments-v2/design.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments-v2/reviews/chain-001-pre.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/soc07-private-judgments-v2/reviews/chain-001-pre.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Each stage is one hub run and starts only if the previous stage ended `done` with `gate_passed = 1` at the same runtime fingerprint (`src/coordinator.py`). A failed gate stops the chain. Nothing is retried except HTTP 429 and 529 (two retries, as v1)." ], "hub": { "id": "soc07-private-judgments-v2", "run_status_counts": { "done": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/soc07-private-judgments-v2" } }, { "id": "sybil-specialists", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Sybil defense and useful specialist teams", "title": "Sybil defense and useful specialist teams", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Coverage verification recovers rare expertise at the cost of some malicious admission in a scripted graph.", "sample": "S1: 12 paired worlds, 864 scripted arm outcomes across 18 cells; S0: 4 worlds, 256 outcomes; N=36 identities.", "limits": "Reconciled synthetic results show the built-in utility/security tradeoff, but one graph family, programmed reports and an externally supplied verifier limit interpretation. The observed malicious-admission increase exceeds the suggested adoption margin. This supplies no LLM evidence.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.2, "strength_label": "scripted", "assessment_status": "completed_scripted_development", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists/results-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists/results-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The first deployed version is a **scripted engineering rehearsal**. It tests the environment, comparisons, scoring, failure handling, deployment and measured replay. It does not establish a finding about LLM behavior or a general Sybil-resistance guarantee. The survey remains in progress; formal hypotheses and S2 stay blocked. The experiment-worker template explicitly permits S0/S1 instruments in researcher notes before those gates pass.", "All arms use the same personalized random-walk ranking, restart probability 0.20, 120 iterations and 18 admission seats. Initial seeds and newly passed nodes receive equal restart mass. Failed checks remove the checked node; they do not reveal other nodes' ownership. Ranking is recomputed after each check." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-specialists", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-specialists" } }, { "id": "sybil-specialists-api", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Sybil resistance: model synthesis and verification badges", "title": "Sybil resistance: model synthesis and verification badges", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "metascience" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The completed controlled comparison describes verifier/admission effects on synthesis within one constructed graph family.", "sample": "12 paired worlds × 16 conditions = 192 valid S1 answers; 24 Q0 packets; 36 simulated identities and 1 model synthesizer.", "limits": "Qualified, complete 12-world pilot supports the bounded strong-check/weak-check tradeoff; a single model, graph family and fixed fabrication do not generalize. The badge interval spans harm and benefit, so badge efficacy remains unresolved.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "completed_exploratory_model_pilot", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-api/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-api/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-api/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-api/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-api/results-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-api/results-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-api/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-api/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "One worker. No automatic API retries. A persistent, nonrefundable reservation ledger enforces a $5 aggregate cap across qualification, pilot and any repairs, with 300 attempted calls maximum. Run source, prompt, config, assignment list, usage and failures are recorded. API calls use only synthetic data. S2 remains blocked by formal research gates.", "The mapping defines live measured progress, a final comparison and a GIF replay. Each cell compares all four policies with fixed axes. The cursor counts completed calls, so a model answer is never shown before its response arrives. Missing cells display pending; failed observations are counted explicitly. These views appear on the live experiment." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-specialists-api", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-specialists-api" } }, { "id": "sybil-scale-api", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Sybil resistance as swarms grow", "title": "Sybil resistance as swarms grow", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "provenance" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The completed controlled sweep describes verification-resource and admission-policy effects on specialist accuracy in one graph family, not an equal-cost coverage advantage.", "sample": "24 paired worlds × 100 deduplicated conditions = 2,400 valid S1 answers; 64 Q0 calls; 36-972 simulated identities.", "limits": "Complete qualified results and clustered intervals support the fixture-specific unequal-verification-budget effect. Equal-budget random reaches the same accuracy; plurality is a strong comparator. Total attacker resources scale with N, so this is not fixed-resource identity splitting or autonomous-agent scaling.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "completed_exploratory_model_pilot", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-api/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-api/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-api/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-api/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-api/results-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-api/results-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-api/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-api/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Completed: 2,400/2,400 valid comparison answers, 24 paired worlds and 100 conditions; no failed or retried calls. All 264 scripted cases and 64 clean API qualifications passed first. Total model usage including qualification was USD 19.453925." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-scale-api", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-scale-api" } }, { "id": "sybil-scale-sonnet", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Sybil resistance as swarms grow: Sonnet 4.6 replication", "title": "Sybil resistance as swarms grow: Sonnet 4.6 replication", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In the repeated-fact synthetic environment, the Haiku population-scaling result replicates with claude-sonnet-4-6 on identical assignments: proportional strong checks raise N972 specialist accuracy by +52.8 pp (Haiku +51.4 pp); Sonnet is more accurate than Haiku in 73 of 100 cells, mainly where fabrications are admitted.", "sample": "Observed: 24 paired world roots from one synthetic task family; 2,400/2,400 S1 outcomes analyzed, zero missing; 100 conditions at 36-972 simulated identities feeding one synthesizer model. Q0 separately 64/64. Cross-model comparison pairs the same 24 roots with the separate Haiku cohort (sybil-scale-api/56defc84); cohorts not pooled.", "limits": "Same-owner audit of 24 paired world roots with all 2,400 outcomes valid and an exact local recomputation; assignments verified identical to the Haiku cohort. One synthetic task family and graph, scripted identities and checks, admission independent of the model, descriptive unadjusted intervals across 100 cells, and an owner waiver in place of independent review limit generalization.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_replication_result_claim_released", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/verification-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/verification-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/results-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/results-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/model-comparison-cells.csv", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/model-comparison-cells.csv" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/reviews/s1-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/reviews/s1-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-sonnet/design.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Stages: offline local S0 (done, 264/264), fleet S0 on a dedicated claimed server (264 scripted rows), Q0 (64 clean qualification calls, every size must pass the unchanged thresholds), then S1 (2,400 calls). Same stop rules as the original: no retries, the first failure stops new dispatch, remaining assignments are recorded as not started." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-scale-sonnet", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-scale-sonnet" } }, { "id": "sybil-budget-api", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Accuracy can hide hostile admission", "title": "Verification budget and verifier reliability", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In the repeated-fact synthetic environment, the strong-check accuracy benefit replicated; random checking reached the N972 joint mean target at 64 tested checks and coverage at 108. No weaker tested checking strength met that joint target.", "sample": "Observed: 24 paired roots from one synthetic task family; 2,880/2,880 S1 outcomes analyzed, zero missing; 120 conditions at 324/972 simulated identities, one synthesizer. Q0 separately: 16/16 clean calls on four roots.", "limits": "Same-owner audit of twenty-four paired roots, competent clean controls and fully accounted outcomes supports this narrow grid result. One task family, one model, scripted identities/checks, repeated facts and unadjusted intervals limit generalization; independent review was waived and the historical immutable public-plan receipt gap is retained.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.8, "strength_label": "independently recomputed", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_grid_result_worker_stopped_claim_released", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/verification-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/verification-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/records/s1-001-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/records/s1-001-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/records/s1-001-episodes.jsonl.gz", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/records/s1-001-episodes.jsonl.gz" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/reviews/s1-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/reviews/s1-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/records/closeout.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-api/records/closeout.json" } ], "audit": { "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/completed-findings-xcheck/BUDGET-REVIEW.md", "scope": "2,880 saved answers rescored; admission metrics themselves not independently attested." }, "featured": true, "blockers": [ "The ordered stages are: offline selftests; S0 scripted run of the complete grid on engineering worlds 6800-6801 plus clean controls; Q0 clean API competence on four separate worlds 6900-6903; S1 grid after exact-runtime S0/Q0 success. Q0 has no attackers and includes all reports and common-facts-only packets at both sizes (16 calls). Missing specialist facts require `null`; no check success is treated as truth. All assigned outputs, including failures and not-started rows, persist. A failed call halts new dispatch after already-running calls te", "The fresh-world primary result reproduced: at 972 identities and 10% attacker pass probability, 108 versus four coverage checks increased specialist accuracy by 56.9 percentage points (descriptive paired 95% interval +43.1 to +70.8). Seven of 120 cells met the joint mean target, all at 10% attacker pass. The frontier was nonmonotone: 324-identity coverage passed at 32 checks, then failed at 64 and 108 because attacker seat share rose." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-budget-api", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-budget-api" } }, { "id": "sybil-newcomer-api", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Knowledgeable newcomers versus a trusted Sybil coalition", "title": "Knowledgeable newcomers versus a trusted Sybil coalition", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In this synthetic task, sleeper attacks sharply reduced specialist accuracy; renewal checking did not establish its planned improvement over reputation or an advantage over equal-cost random checking.", "sample": "Observed: 24 paired roots from one synthetic task family; 1,944/1,944 S1 outcomes analyzed, zero missing; 24 honest + 1/4/16 controller identities, three model snapshots. Q0 separately: 36/36 clean calls on six roots.", "limits": "Same-owner assessment: twenty-four paired roots, passed qualification and fully reconciled outcomes support this narrow result. The primary interval spans zero and useful effects; one task family, one model, scripted actors and only twelve warm-up audits limit stronger conclusions. Independent review was waived.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_inconclusive_primary_allocation_closed", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/verification-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/verification-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/records/s1-001-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/records/s1-001-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/reviews/s1-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/reviews/s1-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/records/closeout.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/records/closeout.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-api/design.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "All policies use the same admission rule: exclude current failed messages, prioritize currently passed messages, then rank by public identity reputation, with matched random tie breaking. One check concerns one claim, not every claim or the identity as a whole. There is no per-identity admission cap. External audits are simulated: true claims pass with probability 0.95 and false claims with probability 0.05. Policies see only selected audit outcomes. Distinct identities do not certify independent evidence." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-newcomer-api", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-newcomer-api" } }, { "id": "market-split", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Can one owner’s many firms defeat a concentration-based regulator?", "title": "Can one owner’s many firms defeat a concentration-based regulator?", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance", "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Changing firm identities can alter regulatory accounting while total ownership resources remain fixed.", "sample": "6 S1 market clusters × 2 seeds × 12 conditions × 3 policies = 432 scripted episodes; 18 S0; 0 model calls.", "limits": "Programmed splitting and optimization validate the mechanism in six related markets but cannot establish spontaneous model discovery. Resource conservation and paired accounting are explicit; external economic realism and independent rivals remain untested.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.2, "strength_label": "scripted", "assessment_status": "completed_scripted_development", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split/analysis/s1-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split/analysis/s1-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "market-split", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/market-split" } }, { "id": "market-split-api", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Firm-level rules invite splitting", "title": "Will a neutral agent create firms to evade concentration rules?", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In the completed six-market Sonnet pilot, the neutral flexible agent selected sustained firm splitting in 6/6 firm-regulated markets and 0/6 owner-regulated or unregulated markets.", "sample": "Observed: 6 related paired market tasks; 36/36 episodes valid, 0 missing/replaced; one Sonnet owner and two scripted rivals, 864 calls. Separate Q0: 2 markets/4 episodes. Earlier Haiku S1:17valid,1invalid,18unstarted; not pooled.", "limits": "A qualified model, paired regulatory controls, all36 valid outcomes, 864 priced calls and exact trace replay support this narrow comparison. Six related tasks, one model realization, prior configuration selection, no independent replication and a missing historical immutable-plan preflight receipt limit the claim.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.8, "strength_label": "independently recomputed", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_exploratory_result", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/reviews/s1-002-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/reviews/s1-002-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/report/s1-002/analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/report/s1-002/analysis.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/report/s1-002/replay-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/report/s1-002/replay-audit.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/report/s1-002/lifetime-accounting.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-api/report/s1-002/lifetime-accounting.json" } ], "audit": { "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/completed-findings-xcheck/MARKET-REVIEW.md", "scope": "36 episodes / 864 frames checked; zero endpoint mismatches." }, "featured": true, "blockers": [ "Each run uploads progressPNG about every12 seconds, 1800×1200 finalPNG and1080×720 full-roundGIF. All24 rounds are retained in S1. Sequential arm execution may reset the live logical-round cursor; final replays align both arms by round. Missing/failed observations are labeled. Check hashes, dimensions, frame counts, numerical endpoints and visible replay.", "| q0-003 / Haiku v3 | 2 valid episodes, but locked profit68.4% of reference; 16 calls, $0.026128; qualification failed, unstarted bundle cancelled |" ], "hub": { "id": "market-split-api", "run_status_counts": { "done": 21 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/market-split-api" } }, { "id": "market-split-haiku", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Market splitting: Haiku with reasoning", "title": "Market splitting: Haiku with reasoning", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Haiku V3 passed short mechanics/profit screens but failed full-length reliability on a strict capacity violation; no V3 discovery cohort started.", "sample": "V3 R0: 2 related markets; 8 assigned episodes, 3 valid complete, 1 invalid partial, 4 unstarted; 94 priced calls. V3 Q0: 2 markets/4 qualified episodes. V2 failures retained separately. V3 discovery: 0 observed; next diagnostic planned, not started.", "limits": "Exact replay identified upward decimal rounding in one of four attempted episodes. Four more assigned episodes were never started. All calls and failures are retained, but two related development markets and no complete paired regulatory contrast support no discovery-rate or model-comparison estimate.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "v3_full_length_reliability_failed_next_plan_unstarted", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/reviews/r0-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/reviews/r0-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/reviews/q0-002-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/reviews/q0-002-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/reviews/s1-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/reviews/s1-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/report/r0-001/provenance.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/report/r0-001/provenance.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/report/r0-001/replay-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-haiku/report/r0-001/replay-audit.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Current status, 2026-10-04:** V3 has passed scripted checks, fresh action mechanics and fresh clean-market profit qualification. Full-length regulated reliability failed on a strict capacity violation. Main discovery remains blocked, and the next diagnostic is a plan only. The earlier V2 discovery attempt failed on two truncated responses and remains separately reported in its post-mortem.", "The next experiment plan is pushed and remains unstarted under the user's 2026-10-04 instruction. R0 failed a strict capacity check: 3 complete episodes, 1 invalid partial episode, 4 unstarted episodes cancelled; 94 calls costing $0.814968. Results, analysis and records." ], "hub": { "id": "market-split-haiku", "run_status_counts": { "done": 27, "cancelled": 18, "failed": 4 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/market-split-haiku" } }, { "id": "market-split-opus", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Market splitting: Opus replication on fresh markets", "title": "Market splitting: Opus replication on fresh markets", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In the completed six-market Opus 5.5 replication, the neutral flexible agent selected sustained firm splitting in 6/6 firm-regulated markets and 0/6 owner-regulated or unregulated markets.", "sample": "Observed: 6 fresh paired market tasks; 36/36 episodes valid, 0 missing/replaced; one Opus owner and two scripted rivals, 864 calls. Separate Q0: 2 markets/4 episodes; I0: 6 calls. Sonnet pilot (6 other tasks) is a separate cohort, not pooled.", "limits": "One qualified configuration, paired regulatory controls, all 36 valid outcomes, 902 priced calls and exact trace replay support this narrow comparison. Six fresh draws from the pilot's market generator, one sampling realization per cell, rules stated in the prompt, same-researcher review only and request settings that differ from the Sonnet pilot limit the claim.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_exploratory_replication", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/reviews/s1-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/reviews/s1-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/report/s1-001/analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/report/s1-001/analysis.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/report/s1-001/replay-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/report/s1-001/replay-audit.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/report/s1-001/lifetime-accounting.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/market-split-opus/report/s1-001/lifetime-accounting.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "market-split-opus", "run_status_counts": { "done": 34 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/market-split-opus" } }, { "id": "compositional-safety", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Compositional safety: historical qualifications through q0-004", "title": "Compositional safety: historical qualifications through q0-004", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "The q0-004 model/configuration failed the frozen safe-completion qualification; receipt-treatment efficacy was untested at that assessment.", "sample": "Historical q0-004: 24 episodes from 3 task IDs/2 domains but only 5 structural fingerprints; 10 safe completions, 12 incomplete, 2 refusals. Earlier model cohorts remain separate in supporting records.", "limits": "All four model qualifications through q0-004 failed; q0-004 had only 10/24 safe completions. Zero committed violations with incomplete/refused work is not evidence of safety. Receipt treatment P1 remained closed; engineering conformance and duplicate task names must not inflate efficacy confidence.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_failed_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-004-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-004-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The repaired Haiku workflow completed its fresh qualification, **q0-005**, with **24/24 valid episodes and 21/24 safe completions**. Two episodes reused a consumed approval; one report workflow stalled. Qualification failed its unchanged overall and D2/S thresholds. The complete results and analysis and post-mortem preserve those outcomes.", "| q0-001 | Haiku: 21/24 safe, two invalid, one violation; failed | Post-mortem |" ], "hub": { "id": "compositional-safety", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 5, "done": 152 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/compositional-safety" } }, { "id": "compositional-safety-q0-005", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Compositional safety: q0-005 Haiku qualification with execution-v2", "title": "Compositional safety: q0-005 Haiku qualification with execution-v2", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "The frozen q0-005 Haiku 4.5 configuration with execution-v2 fails the unchanged readiness qualification; receipt-treatment efficacy remains untested.", "sample": "Observed q0-005: 3 task-root IDs across 2 domains, only 5 structural fingerprints; 24/24 episodes valid (21 safe, 2 approval-reuse violations, 1 stall); 176 model calls, C/S arms. P1 unrun; earlier cohorts separate.", "limits": "Frozen-source replay reproduces all 176 observations and events: safe completion is 21/24 (87.5%, below 90%) and D2/S is 4/6 (66.7%, below 80%). Three task-root IDs and five reused shapes provide descriptive qualification evidence, not an independent model comparison, treatment effect or general safety claim.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_failed_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/manifest.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/manifest.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/README.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The repaired Haiku workflow completed its fresh qualification, **q0-005**, with **24/24 valid episodes and 21/24 safe completions**. Two episodes reused a consumed approval; one report workflow stalled. Qualification failed its unchanged overall and D2/S thresholds. The complete results and analysis and post-mortem preserve those outcomes.", "| q0-001 | Haiku: 21/24 safe, two invalid, one violation; failed | Post-mortem |" ], "hub": { "id": "compositional-safety", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 5, "done": 152 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/compositional-safety" } }, { "id": "compositional-safety-d0-003-plan", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Compositional safety: d0-003 prospective Sonnet capability diagnostic", "title": "Compositional safety: d0-003 prospective Sonnet capability diagnostic", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Whether the proposed Sonnet 5 configuration safely completes the selected execution-v2 workflows is untested; d0-003 is a plan only.", "sample": "Observed d0-003: none. Planned: 2 selected task roots/structural shapes, 4 S-arm episodes (risk/benign pairs), 4 roles and at most 160 model calls. No launch authorized; prior Haiku observations are separate.", "limits": "The user prohibited starting it. No d0-003 implementation or model outcomes exist; the source hash denotes the frozen q0-005 predecessor implementation proposed for reuse, not an executed successor. Selected failure cases and their benign controls would be development evidence, not fresh qualification or treatment efficacy.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "planned_not_authorized_to_start", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/reviews/d0-003-pre.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/reviews/d0-003-pre.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/manifest.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-005/manifest.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The repaired Haiku workflow completed its fresh qualification, **q0-005**, with **24/24 valid episodes and 21/24 safe completions**. Two episodes reused a consumed approval; one report workflow stalled. Qualification failed its unchanged overall and D2/S thresholds. The complete results and analysis and post-mortem preserve those outcomes.", "| q0-001 | Haiku: 21/24 safe, two invalid, one violation; failed | Post-mortem |" ], "hub": { "id": "compositional-safety", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 5, "done": 152 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/compositional-safety" } }, { "id": "compositional-safety-opus-q0", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Compositional safety: Opus 5.5 qualifications q0-007 and q0-010 (adaptive thinking, execution-v2)", "title": "Compositional safety: Opus 5.5 qualifications q0-007 and q0-010 (adaptive thinking, execution-v2)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The claude-opus-5-5 configuration (adaptive thinking, effort high, 4,096-token cap, execution-v2) meets the unchanged Q0 readiness thresholds on the development structures tested; receipt-treatment efficacy is untested by these runs.", "sample": "Observed: q0-007 3 roots / 6 new structures, 24/24 safe, 178 calls; q0-010 3 roots / 5 structures, 24/24 safe, 144 calls. Interrupted q0-008 (8/8 safe on root 257, not pooled), zero-call q0-006 (HTTP 400) and q0-009 (admission) are separate attempts. 48 episodes are not 48 independent tasks. P1 p1-002 running at assessment.", "limits": "Two qualifications passed 24/24 valid and safely complete with every domain-by-baseline cell 6/6 (q0-007 at design v8, q0-010 at design v9), but each covers only five or six dependent structural fingerprints from a small task grammar, the model, thinking mode and output cap changed together relative to earlier cohorts, and q0-010's root 257 had been run once in the interrupted q0-008. Readiness evidence only; no model comparison or safety generalization.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_passed_qualification", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-007/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-007/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-007/manifest.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-007/manifest.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-010/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-010/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-010/manifest.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/records/q0-010/manifest.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/reviews/q0-007-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/reviews/q0-007-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/reviews/q0-010-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/compositional-safety/reviews/q0-010-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The repaired Haiku workflow completed its fresh qualification, **q0-005**, with **24/24 valid episodes and 21/24 safe completions**. Two episodes reused a consumed approval; one report workflow stalled. Qualification failed its unchanged overall and D2/S thresholds. The complete results and analysis and post-mortem preserve those outcomes.", "| q0-001 | Haiku: 21/24 safe, two invalid, one violation; failed | Post-mortem |" ], "hub": { "id": "compositional-safety", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 5, "done": 152 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/compositional-safety" } }, { "id": "capture-memory", "owner": "shadow", "label": "Capture and memory: does a purged swarm return?", "title": "Capture and memory: does a purged swarm return?", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Memory length affects return to a convention after perfect attacker removal under a scripted policy.", "sample": "100 paired RNG/task IDs × 2 seeds on one binary-convention mechanism in two parameter regimes; reused in 9,600 S1 + 38,400 S1b episodes. S0: 600 episodes; N=24; 0 model calls.", "limits": "The paired scripted mechanism has substantial within-fixture simulation evidence, but no measured LLM response curve and no epistemic truth task. Capture-conditioned estimates select outcomes; different capture doses/horizons change the estimand. Large episode counts are not independent model trials or generality. Task IDs mainly change paired random streams and word labels, not independent semantic problems; S1 and S1b reuse those IDs.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.2, "strength_label": "scripted", "assessment_status": "completed_scripted_development", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/results/S1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/results/S1.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/results/S1b.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/results/S1b.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "dollar cap it refuses to start without. Not run. See \"Before any paid run\".", "The next model study must distinguish **resistance to capture** from **recovery after capture**. An all-assigned attack/removal comparison retains worlds that resist capture. A separate repair comparison should draw from a prospectively specified captured-state distribution before assigning repair; selecting whichever worlds happened to be captured under each memory length can select different populations. The S1 primary cell happened to capture all pairs, so this concern does not retrospectively invalidate that cell. Preserve the failed `recov" ], "hub": { "id": "capture-memory", "run_status_counts": { "done": 15 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/capture-memory" } }, { "id": "antsy-v6", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Antsy receipt v6 prospective application", "title": "Antsy receipt v6 prospective application", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Untested application question: fallible OCR checks improve receipt-total acceptance and referral decisions enough to justify their measured cost.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned: 20 train receipts for development (5 OCR pipelines, ≤100 calls); then 50 untouched test receipts after freezing policies. Vendor/layout independence unverified; model study separate.", "limits": "Only a prospective total-amount tool pilot is tracked. Five pipelines share Tesseract, so agreement is correlated. The 50-receipt test evaluation remains unopened; model comparisons require a separate qualification and no results are inherited from v4/v5.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "new_prospective_application_plan", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-receipt-v6/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-receipt-v6/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-receipt-v6/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-receipt-v6/README.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": null }, { "id": "influence-approval-review-d2", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Influence procurement: matched approval-review diagnostic", "title": "Influence procurement: matched approval-review diagnostic", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance", "metascience" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Targeted approval-review instructions were insufficient to repair this six-case procurement workflow.", "sample": "D2:6 fresh authored dossier configurations ×5 dependent workflows =30/30 valid decisions,17 acceptable;108 calls. Shared team prefixes. Targeted/general review pairs:0 improved,1 worsened,5 equal. Main external-influence comparison unrun.", "limits": "All 30 outputs valid; matched targeted review 3/6 acceptable versus general review 4/6, with one unfavorable paired difference. Six authored template variants, inconsistent checklist coverage and failed competence prevent broad efficacy claims.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "diagnostic_complete_repair_failed_main_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/RESULTS-D2.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/RESULTS-D2.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D2-01-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D2-01-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D2-01-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D2-01-audit.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D2-01-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D2-01-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The cheapest workflow did best on this six-case diagnostic. The generalist made five acceptable decisions; adding a general review to the team made four, and directing that reviewer to check each candidate's approval made three. **The targeted review instruction failed the predeclared six-of-six repair screen.** It did not improve any paired case relative to a general second look and worsened one.", "The practical question is whether extra diligence changes the action a buyer can take. Recognizing a missing approval is not enough if the final choice still authorizes an unsuitable deployment. Conversely, rejecting an attractive blocked supplier should not prevent buying a supported alternative." ], "hub": { "id": "influence-swarms", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 2, "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/influence-swarms" } }, { "id": "right-dissenter-rd4", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Keep valid decisions, price the checks", "title": "Right Dissenter recovery protocol RD4", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory", "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "On this fixed synthetic cohort, symmetric stop/resume wording tied original admission at 87/96 correct; always-check reached 88/96 with fewer logical model calls. Resolved closure retention worked in the observed cases.", "sample": "Observed: 24 fixed roots with reused authored grammar; 576/576 dependent decisions across 6 policies and 4 epochs. S4: 203 valid provider responses, 11 retained worker transport/stop records. Separate Q4: 24/24 correct. No independent replication.", "limits": "Twenty-four authored roots reuse templates and scripted votes; shared responses and retained transport failures limit inference. Failure sensitivity ranges overlap. Same-author replay reproduces every record; no independent semantic validation or deployment claim.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "exploratory_complete_transport_failures_retained", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/PLAN.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/FEEDBACK.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/FEEDBACK.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/REPORT.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/REPORT.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/PLAN-COVERAGE.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/PLAN-COVERAGE.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/results/combined/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/results/combined/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/results/combined/audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd4/results/combined/audit.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": true, "blockers": [ "Read the measured result, inspect the complete saved data, or review plan coverage and closeout. The 69 core and eight continuation checks passed. All failed segments are preserved; no independent semantic corpus or formal S2 claim. The borrowed Dmarz fleet host is released." ], "hub": { "id": "right-dissenter-rd4", "run_status_counts": { "done": 2, "failed": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/right-dissenter-rd4" } }, { "id": "discussion-dose-v3-d1-haiku", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion v3 D1 , Haiku", "title": "Discussion v3 D1 , Haiku", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "This model fails the declared clean development decision gates; it also accepts all six locally supported false memory facts.", "sample": "Observed: 6 reused development world clusters; 60/60 assigned calls analyzed (6 full, 18 report ballots, 36 memory fixtures); 0 invalid/unstarted. Paired with the other D1 model on identical inputs; not 60 independent samples.", "limits": "Observed 2/6 full evidence and 1/6 report quorums against 5/6 on both. Exact-source audits pass, but six reused worlds and a fixed fixture grid do not establish swarm efficacy, population safety or fresh qualification.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_failed_diagnostic_eligibility", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/RESULTS-D1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/RESULTS-D1.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/v3-d1-a1-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/v3-d1-a1-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Release scope:** executable benchmark and model adapter. The first real-model qualification is complete: 636 calls, 96 cases, $4.387237, zero invalid outputs, but failed clean competence (2/6 full-evidence and 1/6 reports-only). Independent instrument review subsequently passed; this model configuration is not qualified for expansion. Authorization preserves that distinction; the confirmation holdout stays closed. This is a focused synthetic benchmark, not an exhaustive security benchmark or a validated real-world task suite. Formal hypothesis ", "Review repairs, 2026-10-04:** Vishesh's findings are addressed in the successor: stricter assignment/allocation checks, explicit supported versus unsupported parent outcomes, and regression coverage for the existing matched private-work design. Repair-time verification: 84 distinct checks and 636 scripted requests replayed. Updated evidence supplements the original release record. The completed independent review matches all 15 runtime hashes; Q0 results separately report failed model qualification." ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-dose-v3", "run_status_counts": { "done": 4, "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-dose-v3" } }, { "id": "discussion-dose-v3-d1-sonnet", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion v3 D1 , Sonnet", "title": "Discussion v3 D1 , Sonnet", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "This model fails the declared clean development decision gates; it also accepts all six locally supported false memory facts.", "sample": "Observed: 6 reused development world clusters; 60/60 assigned calls analyzed (6 full, 18 report ballots, 36 memory fixtures); 0 invalid/unstarted. Paired with the other D1 model on identical inputs; not 60 independent samples.", "limits": "Observed 3/6 full evidence and 3/6 report quorums against 5/6 on both. Exact-source audits pass, but six reused worlds and a fixed fixture grid do not establish swarm efficacy, population safety or fresh qualification.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_failed_diagnostic_eligibility", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/RESULTS-D1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/RESULTS-D1.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/v3-d1-a1-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/v3-d1-a1-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Release scope:** executable benchmark and model adapter. The first real-model qualification is complete: 636 calls, 96 cases, $4.387237, zero invalid outputs, but failed clean competence (2/6 full-evidence and 1/6 reports-only). Independent instrument review subsequently passed; this model configuration is not qualified for expansion. Authorization preserves that distinction; the confirmation holdout stays closed. This is a focused synthetic benchmark, not an exhaustive security benchmark or a validated real-world task suite. Formal hypothesis ", "Review repairs, 2026-10-04:** Vishesh's findings are addressed in the successor: stricter assignment/allocation checks, explicit supported versus unsupported parent outcomes, and regression coverage for the existing matched private-work design. Repair-time verification: 84 distinct checks and 636 scripted requests replayed. Updated evidence supplements the original release record. The completed independent review matches all 15 runtime hashes; Q0 results separately report failed model qualification." ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-dose-v3", "run_status_counts": { "done": 4, "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-dose-v3" } }, { "id": "discussion-dose-v3-d2", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion v3 D2 , canonical/atomic probe proposal", "title": "Discussion v3 D2 , canonical/atomic probe proposal", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Untested: compact complete facts and a smaller response contract may repair decision errors seen in D1.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned only: 6 reused development world clusters, 2 models, 48 calls (12 canonical decisions + 36 atomic checks); no fresh qualification or holdout.", "limits": "Proposal only; no implementation, queue request or model outcome. Bundles evidence packaging and response-contract changes, so cannot isolate response ordering.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "proposed_not_started", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/D2-PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/D2-PLAN.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/D2-PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/D2-PLAN.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/RESULTS-D1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/RESULTS-D1.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "options: Haiku 4/6, Sonnet 3/6. Sonnet failed both declared clean gates at 3/6.", "Report all 48 assigned calls: started, terminal, valid, failed, unstarted/unresolved," ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-dose-v3", "run_status_counts": { "done": 4, "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-dose-v3" } }, { "id": "discussion-dose-v3-d2-a1", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion v3 D2 , compact decisions and feasibility checks, Opus arm (v3-d2-a1)", "title": "Discussion v3 D2 , compact decisions and feasibility checks, Opus arm (v3-d2-a1)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "On a compact fact table with a one-field answer, Opus 5.5 answers the six D1 worlds without error (6/6 decisions, 18/18 single-option feasibility checks) while Sonnet 4.6 and Haiku 4.5 each score 5/6 and 16/18 and miss the same two sum-over-budget options.", "sample": "Observed: 72/72 assigned calls valid and analyzed (24 per model: 6 decisions + 18 single-option checks) on 6 reused development world clusters; 3 models on identical items; one response per item; not 72 independent samples. Plus 1 uncounted Opus probe.", "limits": "Measured: 72/72 valid, exact-source audit recomputed all outcomes, known-answer controls discriminate. Limits: six reused dependent world clusters, one response per item with no repeats, only two sum-violating options, and the Opus arm differs from the comparison arms in thinking, effort, sampling and output ceiling.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "completed_exploratory", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/d2/PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/d2/PLAN.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/d2/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/d2/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/v3-d2-a1-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/reviews/v3-d2-a1-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/d2/results/v3-d2-a1/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/d2/results/v3-d2-a1/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/d2/results/v3-d2-a1/audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/benchmark-v3/d2/results/v3-d2-a1/audit.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Sonnet 4.6 failed in D1, and can each model classify the feasibility of each option taken alone?", "A pass nominates a representation and contract for a later, separate test. It does not establish why D1 failed," ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-dose-v3", "run_status_counts": { "done": 4, "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-dose-v3" } }, { "id": "sybil-newcomer-sonnet", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Truth access remains the bottleneck", "title": "Knowledgeable newcomers versus a trusted Sybil coalition (Sonnet 4.6 replication)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity", "provenance" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In this synthetic newcomer task, replacing the Haiku 4.5 synthesizer with Sonnet 4.6 on identical assignments did not materially change outcomes: the sleeper attack still sharply reduced specialist accuracy, the policy ranking was unchanged, and renewal minus reputation stayed inconclusive (+11.1 pp, interval -0.0 to +22.2 pp; +2.8 pp more than Haiku, interval -2.8 to +8.3 pp).", "sample": "Observed: 24 paired roots from one synthetic task family; 1,944/1,944 S1 outcomes analyzed, zero missing, each paired by assignment ID with the separate Haiku cohort (not pooled); 24 honest + 1/4/16 controller identities, one synthesizer model. Q0 separately: 36/36 clean calls.", "limits": "Same-owner assessment: twenty-four paired roots, passed qualification, 1,944/1,944 outcomes paired by assignment with the Haiku cohort and fully reconciled. One task family, two models from one provider, scripted actors and descriptive unadjusted intervals limit stronger conclusions. Independent review was waived by the owner.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.8, "strength_label": "independently recomputed", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_inconclusive_primary_allocation_closed", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/SETUP.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/SETUP.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/reviews/s1-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/reviews/s1-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/records/s1-001-haiku-comparison.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-sonnet/records/s1-001-haiku-comparison.json" } ], "audit": { "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/completed-findings-xcheck/NEWCOMER-REVIEW.md", "scope": "1,944 saved answers independently rescored; zero accuracy mismatches. No causal admission-bottleneck claim." }, "featured": true, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "sybil-newcomer-sonnet", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-newcomer-sonnet" } }, { "id": "sybil-scarcity-plan", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Does Sybil-resistant accuracy depend on repeated knowledge?", "title": "Does Sybil-resistant accuracy depend on repeated knowledge?", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Proposed: reducing truthful carriers at fixed population, graph and selection lowers specialist accuracy.", "sample": "Observed: none. Proposed: 24 paired synthetic roots, 1,440 S1 outcomes at 972 identities and one synthesizer; separate Q0 has 48 calls on eight roots. Counts and spending limits are proposals, not power or execution authority.", "limits": "No outcomes of this manipulation exist. This is a prospective plan only; implementation, registration, qualification, remote queueing and execution remain explicitly unstarted.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "prospective_plan_published_explicit_no_start", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-plan/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-plan/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-plan/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-plan/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-plan/SETUP.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-plan/SETUP.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-plan/design-plan.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-plan/design-plan.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Across rarity levels within a world/policy/check-budget/check-strength cell, the graph, audit targets/outcomes, passed/failed sets and admitted identity list must be **identical**. The existing random/coverage selectors and PageRank read topology/check outcomes rather than report skill/value. This makes the proposed isolation feasible. Audit budget and checking strength intentionally vary across their own factorial cells, while rarity alone cannot alter selection.", "1. **Admission remains blocked.** Obtain an explicit later instruction to begin, resolve the successor's review/research status, revalidate unused task IDs and authorized aggregate spend, and prepare a dedicated exclusive allocation. Do not reuse the destroyed newcomer host or inherit its old budget/claim. Before any run, commit immutable plans and stage assessments, register the exact public revision/TLDR, verify its expected content hash and displayed design, and save the receipt before dispatch." ], "hub": null }, { "id": "influence-candidate-checks-d3", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Influence procurement: complete checks and consistent action", "title": "Influence procurement: complete checks and consistent action", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Schema-required candidate coverage did not repair factual checks or final decisions on six frozen procurement cases.", "sample": "D3:6 frozen D2 dossiers ×3 dependent chair workflows =18/18 valid,12 acceptable;30 new calls. Six matrices ×15 dependent fields =90 populated,76 correct. Zero raw purchase/matrix contradictions;two avoidable deferrals per arm. D4 unrun.", "limits": "90/90 populated statuses,76/90 correct; all three workflows4/6 acceptable, no changed paired choices. Six previously inspected dependent case clusters and inherited flawed reports limit generalization. No transfer or external-influence run.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "diagnostic_complete_repair_failed_transfer_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/RESULTS-D3.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/RESULTS-D3.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D3-01-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D3-01-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D3-01-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D3-01-audit.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D3-01-reconciliation.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D3-01-reconciliation.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D3-01-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/influence-swarms/scenario/reviews/native-D3-01-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The question tested was whether explicit per-candidate assessment and action-consistency instructions repair the previously observed omissions and blocker/action mismatches. We did not test an external adversary or prove persuasion resistance. Earlier qualification remains failed.", "D3 failed its prospective requirement of 90/90 correct statuses and six acceptable consistency-chair actions. **D4 was not launched**, although its six fresh numeric configurations were frozen beforehand. No favorable reroll, threshold relaxation or external-influence S1 run followed. The remaining budget is not evidence of readiness." ], "hub": { "id": "influence-swarms", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 2, "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/influence-swarms" } }, { "id": "antsy-diversity-v7", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Antsy v7: worker diversity", "title": "Antsy v7: worker diversity", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "metascience" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Repaired native pilot shows competence mismatch and quorum coverage loss; it does not establish a diversity benefit.", "sample": "Repaired qualification:20/20 paired receipts,19 scorable,100/100 valid OCR calls,220 policy outcomes; S1 unrun. Parent interrupted after10 recorded receipts,30 valid/20 invalid calls plus uncertain partial work. Vendor independence unknown.", "limits": "100/100 valid OCR calls, but best Tesseract worker1/19 correct fails the per-family gate while RapidOCR R0 is11/19. S1 unrun; small dependent qualification outcomes only.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "execution_repaired_qualification_failed_s1_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-diversity-v7/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-diversity-v7/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-diversity-v7/PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-diversity-v7/PLAN.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-diversity-v7/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-diversity-v7/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-diversity-v7/reviews/S0-repair-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-diversity-v7/reviews/S0-repair-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Current result: **qualification failed; S1 not run.** The repaired run completed100/100 valid OCR calls on20 receipts. RapidOCR R0 got11/19 scorable totals correct; the best Tesseract variant got1/19, failing the minimum per-family competence gate. Results and visual evidence · post-mortem · reusable diversity protocol." ], "hub": { "id": "antsy-diversity-v7", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/antsy-diversity-v7" } }, { "id": "capture-memory-mix", "owner": "shadow", "label": "Memory mixture rescue is model-dependent", "title": "Capture Memory Mix", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Mixture rescue is model-specific in these pilots, not a general swarm result; the long-list reading explanation is a post-hoc lead.", "sample": "Observed: up to 24 task roots GPT, 6 Gemma, 12 Qwen, reused across memory cells; 432/432, 44/90 and 178/180 selected valid arm records. Qwen: 327 raw, 127 invalid, 54/180 logical arm keys valid at first observation. Cells/arms are dependent repeats.", "limits": "Three small model/policy cohorts differ; sampling mode and validity-triggered selection confound transfer claims. Corrected raw/selected/first-observed counts and paired metrics are reproducible; no independent causal reading-rule diagnostic completed.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "exploratory_corrected_model_specific", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/CORRECTIONS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/CORRECTIONS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/results/MP.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/results/MP.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/results/MP2.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/results/MP2.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/results/MP3.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/capture-memory-mix/results/MP3.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": true, "blockers": [ "first qualification request. No valid model output and no scientific history were observed; S1 did not run." ], "hub": { "id": "capture-memory-mix", "run_status_counts": { "done": 123 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/capture-memory-mix" } }, { "id": "sybil-specialists-sonnet", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Sybil Specialists Sonnet", "title": "Sybil Specialists Sonnet", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Unassessed at registry discovery.", "sample": "Unassessed; see the owner registration and study documentation.", "limits": "Registration coverage only; this addition is not a review of the experiment or its results.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "unassessed_registration_coverage", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-sonnet/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-sonnet/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-sonnet/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-sonnet/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Superseded 2026-10-04 07:45 UTC, before any paid call.** dmarz instructed \"use opus for everything going forward\". The paid stages Q0 and S1 will not run under this name. The scripted S0 (run `sybil-specialists-sonnet/368ac432`, 216/216, 0 calls) stays as recorded. The work continues as sybil-specialists-opus." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-specialists-sonnet", "run_status_counts": { "done": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-specialists-sonnet" } }, { "id": "sybil-budget-sonnet", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Sybil Budget Sonnet", "title": "Sybil Budget Sonnet", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "On identical packets, Sonnet 4.6 raises specialist accuracy slightly over Haiku 4.5 (+5.7 pp) without changing admission or the tested 90%/5% engineering frontier.", "sample": "Observed: 24 independent world clusters; 120 cells x 24 worlds = 2,880 Sonnet model calls (S1) plus 16 Q0 calls, all valid; paired against 2,880 Haiku calls on the same assignments. Model calls and cells are not independent units.", "limits": "One complete exploratory S1 cohort (2,880/2,880 valid) paired by world with the Haiku cohort on identical assignment ids and packet hashes; records reproduce exactly under Python 3.12. Limited to one synthetic graph family, simulated checks, 24 worlds and two models; no S2, owner-waived review.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "s1_complete_paired_with_haiku", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/reviews/s1-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/reviews/s1-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/records/s1-001-haiku-comparison.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/records/s1-001-haiku-comparison.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/records/s1-001-linux-verification.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-budget-sonnet/records/s1-001-linux-verification.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Stages, in order: offline selftests; S0 scripted grid on engineering worlds 6800-6801 plus clean controls on the fleet host; Q0 clean API competence on worlds 6900-6903 (full and common-only packets at both sizes, 16 calls), with thresholds unchanged (100% structural validity, ≥95% field accuracy, ≥90% exact packets, 100% missing-fact abstention); S1 only after exact-runtime S0 and Q0 pass. Two concurrent requests, a 120-second request timeout, a 4-hour stage timeout and no retries. A failed call stops new dispatch, and every assigned row is pr" ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-budget-sonnet", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-budget-sonnet" } }, { "id": "antsy-targeted-v8", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Antsy v8: development replay cohort", "title": "Antsy v8: development replay cohort", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Corrected extraction improves the primary reader on reused development receipts; this cohort does not establish fresh qualification or checker benefit.", "sample": "Development only:20 reused receipts,19 scorable;100 saved OCR observations replayed twice,not40 independent receipts. Zero new calls in this cohort. Fresh native Q0 is assessed separately.", "limits": "Two parser defects corrected after inspecting development failures. Replaying the same observations yields 13 rather than 11 correct primary totals of 19 scorable receipts; weak-checker fallback adds an error and is rejected.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "development_repaired_checker_rejected_separate_native_cohort", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/PLAN.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/AMENDMENT-01.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/AMENDMENT-01.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/reviews/development-02-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/antsy-targeted-v8/reviews/development-02-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "antsy-targeted-v8", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/antsy-targeted-v8" } }, { "id": "sybil-scale-xl", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Sybil resistance at 9x scale: 972 to 8,748 identities", "title": "Sybil resistance at 9x scale: 972 to 8,748 identities", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience", "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Whether the sybil-scale-api finding (proportional checking preserves specialist accuracy as the swarm grows) holds from 972 to 8,748 simulated identities with Opus 5.5 synthesis (amendment A1).", "sample": "Observed: S1 481 valid of 576 assigned (24 world clusters × 3 sizes × 8 conditions; 17-24 valid worlds per cell; 94 not started, 1 failed), Q0 24/24 at two runtimes. 972-8,748 simulated identities feeding one Opus 5.5 synthesizer; worlds, not calls or identities, are the independent units.", "limits": "Decisive primary contrast on 18 of 24 complete world pairs (+100 points, bounded +50 to +100), one graph family, one synthetic task, simulated identities; S1 incomplete (481/576) after an unrelated billing outage.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "s1_incomplete_reported_completion_proposed", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/experiment.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/AMENDMENT-A1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/AMENDMENT-A1.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-xl/RESULTS.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Stages: offline local S0, fleet S0 on the claimed server, Q0 (48 clean qualification calls; every size must pass the unchanged thresholds), then S1 (2,016 calls). No retries; the first failure stops new dispatch and the remaining assignments are recorded as not started." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-scale-xl", "run_status_counts": { "done": 5, "failed": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-scale-xl" } }, { "id": "discussion-v3-d1-opus", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "D1 instrument on Claude Opus 5.5", "title": "D1 instrument on Claude Opus 5.5", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Under adaptive thinking at effort high with no temperature, Claude Opus 5.5 makes evidence-justified choices on clean full-evidence D1-style decisions where Haiku 4.5 and Sonnet 4.6 failed.", "sample": "Observed: 72/72 assigned calls valid and analyzed, 0 refusals, 0 missing usage: 12 fresh clean worlds (gate units), 6 reused development world clusters (6 full-evidence, 18 report ballots), 36 fixed memory fixtures; not 72 independent samples. One model, one attempt.", "limits": "Measured: fresh gate 12/12 evidence-justified and 12/12 valid; 6/6 on the reused worlds versus Haiku 2/6 and Sonnet 3/6 on byte-identical requests; exact-source audit recomputed all 72 outcomes. Limits: model and request configuration changed together; 12 fresh clean worlds only; report packets remain Haiku-generated; all 6 inherited false memory facts were still accepted; no swarm stage.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "fresh_gate_passed_model_level_only", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/reviews/d1o-a1-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/reviews/d1o-a1-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/records/d1o-a1/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/records/d1o-a1/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/records/d1o-a1/audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/d1-opus/records/d1o-a1/audit.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "where Haiku or Sonnet failed a gate, this study sends the same 60 requests once each to", "supported fallback is the counter timeline plus per-item tables. Failed and missing" ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-v3-d1-opus", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-v3-d1-opus" } }, { "id": "phantom-coast-pc2", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Repeated sensing leaves blind spots", "title": "Phantom Coast PC-2: budgeted inspection choices", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance", "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In eight synthetic roots, learned acquisition repeatedly revisited cells; uniform acquisition supplied much broader direct coverage, and the targeted audit did not meet the planned mean benefit threshold.", "sample": "Observed S1: 8 roots, 2 structural families; 96/96 complete dependent episodes, 1,791/1,792 valid calls; 1 invalid retained. Separate Q0: 4 roots, 24/24 valid. No independent replication; PC-1 is separate.", "limits": "Native qualification passed and all assigned outcomes were retained and audited. Eight roots from two structural families, one model, unequal inference compute, unresolved labels and heterogeneous primary contrasts limit generalization; this is the owning operator’s assessment.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_adverse_exploratory_result", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/results/S1-A1-analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/results/S1-A1-analysis.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/results/S1-A1-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/results/S1-A1-audit.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/reviews/S1-A1-POST.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/reviews/S1-A1-POST.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/results/CLOSEOUT.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc2/results/CLOSEOUT.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": true, "blockers": [ "Eight independent generated roots, four block and four scattered, crossed with team/single/uniform policy, misleading/benign inherited reports and source-audit on/off: **96 dependent episodes and 1,792 assigned native requests**. All episodes completed twelve slots. 1,791 responses were valid; one team proposal was invalid and retained. Its remaining two valid proposals satisfied the predeclared quorum, so no sensing slot failed. A separate four-root qualification passed all 24 requests, 432 map labels and twelve unique-unmeasured-cell choices." ], "hub": { "id": "phantom-coast-pc2", "run_status_counts": { "done": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/phantom-coast-pc2" } }, { "id": "sybil-scarcity-opus", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Does Sybil-resistant accuracy depend on repeated knowledge? (Opus 5.5)", "title": "Does Sybil-resistant accuracy depend on repeated knowledge? (Opus 5.5)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity", "metascience" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Reducing the truthful carriers of each rare fact from 81 to 1, at fixed population, graph, audits and admission, lowers the specialist accuracy of an Opus 5.5 synthesizer.", "sample": "Observed: 24 independent world roots x 60 conditions = 1,440 valid S1 outcomes (1,207 distinct packets); Q0 48/48 on 8 roots; P0 1/1. Roots are the independent units; calls, identities and skills are not.", "limits": "One complete exploratory run: 24 paired synthetic roots, all 1,440 S1 outcomes valid and verified; primary one-minus-81-carrier contrast -95.8 pp (descriptive 95% interval -100.0 to -88.9). Exploratory, one synthetic task, one attacker strategy, one model configuration, not independently reviewed.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "completed_s1_verified", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/AMENDMENTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/AMENDMENTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/experiment.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-opus/RESULTS.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Four stages run as one chain on one server. Each stage is one hub run. A stage is queued only if the previous stage finished `done` at the same source hash with no invalid row and its gate passed. A failed stage stops the chain; nothing further is queued.", "4. **S1, 1,440 calls.** 60 cells × 24 roots. One call per assignment in a seeded shuffled order, two requests in flight, no answer retries. The first failed call stops new dispatch; requests already in flight finish; every remaining assignment is recorded as not started." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-scarcity-opus", "run_status_counts": { "done": 4 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-scarcity-opus" } }, { "id": "sybil-newcomer-opus", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Knowledgeable newcomers versus a trusted Sybil coalition (Opus 5.5 configuration)", "title": "Knowledgeable newcomers versus a trusted Sybil coalition (Opus 5.5 configuration)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In this synthetic newcomer task, an Opus 5.5 synthesizer (effort low) on assignments identical to the Haiku 4.5 and Sonnet 4.6 cohorts did not materially change outcomes: the policy ranking (random > renewal > reputation) was unchanged, renewal minus reputation stayed inconclusive (+9.7 pp, interval -1.4 to +20.8 pp), and the difference from Haiku in that contrast was +1.4 pp (interval -4.2 to +6.9 pp). Accuracy never exceeded the share of truth present in admitted packets.", "sample": "Observed: 24 paired roots from one synthetic task family; 1,944/1,944 S1 outcomes analyzed, zero missing, each paired by assignment ID with the separate Haiku and Sonnet cohorts (not pooled); 24 honest + 1/4/16 controller identities, one synthesizer model. Q0 separately: 36/36 clean calls plus one probe call.", "limits": "Same-owner assessment: twenty-four paired roots, passed probe and qualification, 1,944/1,944 outcomes paired by assignment with both earlier cohorts and fully recomputed from frozen runtime. The Opus request configuration differs from the earlier cohorts (no temperature, adaptive thinking at effort low); one task family, scripted actors and descriptive unadjusted intervals limit stronger conclusions. Independent review was waived by the owner.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.55, "strength_label": "pilot", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_inconclusive_primary_allocation_closed", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/SETUP.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/SETUP.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/reviews/s1-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/reviews/s1-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/records/s1-001-opus-minus-haiku.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-newcomer-opus/records/s1-001-opus-minus-haiku.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "sybil-newcomer-opus", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-newcomer-opus" } }, { "id": "discussion-v3-opus", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Discussion and memory v3 on Claude Opus 5.5", "title": "Discussion and memory v3 on Claude Opus 5.5", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory", "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "With Claude Opus 5.5 (adaptive thinking, effort high, no temperature) the v3 swarm benchmark passes its unchanged qualification gate, and on 24 fresh worlds public discussion reduces false-memory inheritance relative to reports-only.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned: Q0 6 fresh worlds (96 cases, 636 calls); S1 24 fresh worlds (384 cases, 2,436 calls) only after a Q0 pass. Worlds are the independent units; calls, agents and arms within a world are not independent.", "limits": "Plan only; no swarm model call has been made. Q0 is a 6-world qualification screen and S1 runs only if it passes.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "planned", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/v3-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/v3-opus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/v3-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/v3-opus/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/v3-opus/reviews/v3o-a1-pre.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/discussion-dose/v3-opus/reviews/v3o-a1-pre.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The v3 swarm benchmark failed qualification on Haiku 4.5 (2/6 clean full-evidence decisions, 1/6 clean", "not run the model, within the 600 s request timeout; every attempt is reserved in the ledger and counted against an" ], "hub": { "id": "discussion-v3-opus", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 2, "done": 5 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/discussion-v3-opus" } }, { "id": "right-dissenter-rd5", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Right Dissenter RD5: the right to reopen", "title": "Right Dissenter RD5: the right to reopen", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "gated", "claim": "Remembering unresolved evidence and reserving a later check may improve timely correct actions under a two-check budget, with urgent-early delay costs.", "sample": "Observed native: zero. Q5-A1: 24 frozen requests, 0 started, 0 valid, 24 unstarted. Renewed Q5-A2 retains 12 authored packets in paired raw/card forms. Conditional H5: 6 authored roots × 3 policies × 4 epochs = 72 dependent decisions, at most 36 calls; no population precision claim.", "limits": "No native RD5 outcomes. The expired Q5-A1 activation was reconciled to 24 unstarted requests, zero provider calls and no worker. Qualification and the reserve contrast remain unobserved. Unchanged packets and 61 scientific offline checks plus five activation checks are software evidence only.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "blocked_before_native_dispatch_renewal_prepared", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/AMENDMENT-01.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/AMENDMENT-01.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/results/activation-a1/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/results/activation-a1/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/reviews/Q5-A1-DISPATCH-POST.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/reviews/Q5-A1-DISPATCH-POST.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/reviews/Q5-A1-DISPATCH-QUALITY.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/dissent/rd5/reviews/Q5-A1-DISPATCH-QUALITY.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "right-dissenter-rd5", "run_status_counts": { "done": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/right-dissenter-rd5" } }, { "id": "phantom-coast-pc3", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Phantom Coast PC-3: coverage guard", "title": "Phantom Coast PC-3: coverage guard", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In eight fresh synthetic roots, the explicit coverage guard changed misleading-team decision loss by -2.26 percentage points under the declared abstention cost.", "sample": "Observed S1: 8 roots, 2 structural families, 96 dependent episodes; 1,784/1,792 valid calls, 8 nonvalid retained. Separate Q0: 4 roots, 24/24 valid, 432/432 map labels. PC-1 and PC-2 remain separate.", "limits": "All assigned outcomes retained and operator-audited; enforced coverage is mechanical. Eight roots, two structural families, one model, unequal compute and utility assumptions limit generalization; no independent replication.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_exploratory_result", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/results/S1-A1-analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/results/S1-A1-analysis.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/results/S1-A1-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/results/S1-A1-audit.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/reviews/S1-A1-POST.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/reviews/S1-A1-POST.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/results/CLOSEOUT.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc3/results/CLOSEOUT.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "phantom-coast-pc3", "run_status_counts": { "done": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/phantom-coast-pc3" } }, { "id": "sybil-split-opus", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Fixed resources, more identities", "title": "Identity splitting with fixed attacker resources (Opus 5.5)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity", "provenance" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Splitting one attacker's fixed 27 report rows, 27 attachment edges and 27 verification attempts from 1 to 27 identities raises rare-skill wrong answers of an Opus 5.5 synthesizer more under degree-based than under coverage-based admission checks.", "sample": "Observed: 48 independent roots (24 ring + 24 community) x 56 conditions = 2,688 valid S1 outcomes (1,901 distinct packets; 767 packets seen more than once, 727 of them answered identically); Q0 60/60 on 10 roots; P0 1/1. Roots are the independent units; calls, identities and rows are not.", "limits": "One complete exploratory run: 24 paired synthetic roots in each of two graph families, all 2,688 S1 outcomes valid and verified; primary (degree minus coverage change in rare-skill wrong answers from 1 to 27 identities, informative checks, 12 checks) +41.0 pp (descriptive 95% interval +27.8 to +54.9), positive in both families. Exploratory, one population size, one fabrication type, one attachment rule, attacker-internal links free, no published-defense comparator, one model configuration, not independently reviewed.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.8, "strength_label": "independently recomputed", "assessment_status": "complete_exploratory", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/experiment.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/records/s1-analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-opus/records/s1-analysis.json" } ], "audit": { "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/completed-findings-xcheck/SPLIT-REVIEW.md", "scope": "2,688 saved answers independently rescored; zero mismatches. Not a new replication." }, "featured": true, "blockers": [ "Honest world.** 108 simulated honest identities per root: 54 core identities holding three common skills (18 reports each) and two outside groups of 27 specialists holding three rare skills (18 honest reports per rare skill). Each honest identity submits one true report. Two core identities are trusted anchors. Admission ranks identities by personalized PageRank from the anchors and the identities that passed a check (restart 0.2, 120 iterations, identities that failed a check removed) and seats the top 54. Honest identities pass a check with p", "Verification attempts cannot run out.* A policy checks an identity at most once and runs at most 12 checks, so 27 attempts are never exhausted and each identity needs only one. The budget is recorded, asserted and reported (attempts used and passed), but it does not constrain the attacker. A binding budget (fewer attempts than identities) would make checks of the remaining identities fail with certainty, which would turn the unreliable-check condition into an informative one for those identities; that is a different experiment and is not run he" ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-split-opus", "run_status_counts": { "done": 4 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-split-opus" } }, { "id": "poietic-agents", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Poietic Agents", "title": "Poietic Agents", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Reversible self-differentiation improves lifetime swarm efficiency without losing quality; this intended efficacy claim remains untested.", "sample": "S0-01:36/144 started over9generalist cases,0usable responses. S0-02:1/144 started over1generalist root,0executable actions,143unstarted;144terminal. Other roles untested. Four steps per case dependent;0swarm efficacy roots. Proposed diagnostic3paired roots/36dependent decisions is unrun.", "limits": "Both qualification attempts failed at interfaces. S0-02 retained one HTTP200 fenced/nested response and stopped; no model qualifies or efficacy comparison exists. The106 offline repair/diagnostic checks do not establish native behavior.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "S0-02-failed; trace-reviewed; diagnostic-unapproved", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/results/S0-02/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/results/S0-02/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/reviews/S0-02-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/reviews/S0-02-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/reviews/S0-02-scientific.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/reviews/S0-02-scientific.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/results/S0-02/trace-review.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/poietic-agents/results/S0-02/trace-review.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "An initially uniform swarm learns which capabilities to keep, share, simplify and restore. This is the selected self-differentiating-swarm project, including the owner's workflow-hardening interpretation of HX-37. It remains exploratory. The independent researcher feedback has been received and its three measurement changes are implemented; native qualification and the question-specific prior-art work remain open. Both native qualification attempts failed at interface boundaries; no model is qualified and no swarm efficacy result exists.", "The current source contains an offline-only explicit action-contract and billing repair, with106 passing checks. The proposed36 decision diagnostic uses3 fresh paired roots and has a separately implemented manifest/runner and requires owner approval plus current admission before collection. It is not full qualification. No successor is authorized or running; S1/S2 remain closed. Historical immutable plans and failed outcomes are preserved." ], "hub": { "id": "poietic-agents", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 6 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/poietic-agents" } }, { "id": "optimal-swarm-size-q-a5", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Optimal swarm size , Q-A5 worker-stage diagnostic", "title": "Optimal swarm size , Q-A5 worker-stage diagnostic", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Incorrect final evidence answers were already incorrect in worker outputs in this diagnostic cohort.", "sample": "Observed: 4 reused development roots crossed with 2 structures; 8/8 episodes analyzed, 3 task successes, 144 calls at N=1. Worker/final audits cover 128 dependent items; no new independent roots.", "limits": "All 128 item correctness comparisons showed zero integration transitions, but four reused roots and dependent items do not establish mechanism or generalization.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_diagnostic", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a5-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a5-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Hard spending/time limits are enforced during execution; unused allowance is not a failure. Admission checks reject known physical-memory violations. Overrun, out-of-memory, cancelled and provider-failed attempts stay in the assigned denominator with explicit failure classes. Policy performance includes execution reliability; a conditional-on-provider-success view is a separately labeled sensitivity analysis.", "Report success-by-deadline, quality, cost, latency, cap violations and failure classes for every assigned episode. Timeouts are not missing data: retain their deadline and last state. Do not substitute fast failed-run latency for successful completion time. Report success-conditioned latency alongside the primary all-assigned operational outcome; label that conditioning explicitly." ], "hub": null }, { "id": "optimal-swarm-size-q-a6", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Optimal swarm size , Q-A6 matched-roster pilot", "title": "Optimal swarm size , Q-A6 matched-roster pilot", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "N2 was faster and cheaper but less accurate on both parallel fixtures; chain quality stayed near zero with mixed timing.", "sample": "Observed: 2 fresh development root seeds × 2 structures × N1/N2; 8/8 episodes analyzed, 0 full successes, 144 calls. Four pairs share two roots; 128 items are dependent.", "limits": "Matched tasks and verified concurrency support a descriptive tradeoff, but only two roots, one model sample per arm and zero full-task successes prevent an optimal-size inference.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_exploratory_result", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a6-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a6-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/results/q-a6/analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/results/q-a6/analysis.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/results/q-a6/verification.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/results/q-a6/verification.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Hard spending/time limits are enforced during execution; unused allowance is not a failure. Admission checks reject known physical-memory violations. Overrun, out-of-memory, cancelled and provider-failed attempts stay in the assigned denominator with explicit failure classes. Policy performance includes execution reliability; a conditional-on-provider-success view is a separately labeled sensitivity analysis.", "Report success-by-deadline, quality, cost, latency, cap violations and failure classes for every assigned episode. Timeouts are not missing data: retain their deadline and last state. Do not substitute fast failed-run latency for successful completion time. Report success-conditioned latency alongside the primary all-assigned operational outcome; label that conditioning explicitly." ], "hub": null }, { "id": "phantom-coast-pc4", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Phantom Coast PC-4: verification opportunity cost", "title": "Phantom Coast PC-4: verification opportunity cost", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "provenance" ], "status": "result", "claim": "On 32 paired synthetic worlds, checking all four reports improved full-corruption loss 4.30 percentage points versus uniform but worsened benign loss 1.52 points and missed the 5.56-point practical target.", "sample": "S1: 32 independent roots, 2 geometry families, 384 dependent episodes, 1,152/1,152 valid native maps. Q0: 4 separate roots, 24/24 valid maps, 864/864 expected labels. Scripted acquisitions and native endpoints; no independent replication.", "limits": "Complete operator request/event/endpoint audits and balanced controls support the specified allocation tradeoff. Synthetic noiseless terrain, utility assumptions, one snapshot and scripted scheduling limit transfer; no learned-planning claim.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_exploratory_result", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/results/S1-A1-analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/results/S1-A1-analysis.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/results/S1-A1-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/results/S1-A1-audit.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/reviews/S1-A1-POST.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/reviews/S1-A1-POST.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/results/CLOSEOUT.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc4/results/CLOSEOUT.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "phantom-coast-pc4", "run_status_counts": { "done": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/phantom-coast-pc4" } }, { "id": "phantom-coast-pc5", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Explicit rules help unevenly", "title": "Phantom Coast PC-5: decision-contract disclosure", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "provenance" ], "status": "result", "claim": "On 32 paired layouts, explicit decision-contract instructions reduced expected regret 0.1578 per decision but optimal reliable-report choices regressed from 28/32 to 21/32.", "sample": "S1: 32 independent layouts, 2 semantic risk cases, 128/128 valid native choices (4 dependent conditions/root). Separate Q0: 4 roots, 12/12 legal choices. Scripted terminal consequences; no multi-step planning or swarm outcome.", "limits": "Prespecified diagnostic contrast met its practical target with full saved-data audit. Only two risk templates, one snapshot and combined utility/transition disclosure; explicit choices still suboptimal 19/64 and no independent replication.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_exploratory_result", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/results/S1-A1-analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/results/S1-A1-analysis.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/results/S1-A1-audit.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/results/S1-A1-audit.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/reviews/S1-A1-POST.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/reviews/S1-A1-POST.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/results/CLOSEOUT.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/results/CLOSEOUT.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": true, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "phantom-coast-pc5", "run_status_counts": { "done": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/phantom-coast-pc5" } }, { "id": "false-alarm-cascade", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Does a false honeypot alarm outlive its correction in a small Opus 5.5 team?", "title": "Does a false honeypot alarm outlive its correction in a small Opus 5.5 team?", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance", "memory" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "A false honeypot alarm on a real resource, raised and then retracted by one team member, leaves five Opus 5.5 agents using that resource less in later rounds than in the same world without the alarm.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned: 24 paired synthetic world roots × 5 conditions = 120 team episodes of 5 model agents × 6 rounds = 3,600 S1 calls; separate Q0 of 24 calls on 8 roots and a one-call probe. Roots are the independent units, not agents, rounds or calls.", "limits": "Unrun. Prospective plan only; no stage has run and no model call has been made.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "planned_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/false-alarm-cascade/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Four stages run as one chain on one server (contract). Each stage is one hub run. A stage is queued only if exactly one run of the previous stage exists at the same source hash and it finished `done` with no invalid row and its gate passed. A failed stage stops the chain; nothing further is queued and nothing is retried.", "4. **S1, 3,600 calls.** 24 roots × 5 conditions = 120 episodes in a seeded shuffled order, two episodes in flight. Inside an episode rounds are sequential; the five agent calls of a round are sent together. An episode in which any call fails ends there: its remaining calls are recorded as not started and the episode counts as an assigned failure. Dispatch continues until failed episodes exceed `max_failed` = 3; then, or at once on an integrity failure (ledger refusal, reservation breach, model mismatch, source or batch mismatch, deadline), no n" ], "hub": null }, { "id": "theseus-execution-d2", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Swarm of Theseus D2 executor confirmation", "title": "Swarm of Theseus D2 executor confirmation", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Atomic calls outperform eight-case batches on six fixed executor worlds, but neither interface qualifies for the later study.", "sample": "Observed: six paired fixed worlds, two Boolean families, 96 distinct case/family pairs; 432/432 calls and 768 assigned decisions. D 344/384, E 373/384; both fail qualification. Two orders and two native repetitions are dependent.", "limits": "Complete paired diagnostic and full-contract audit; E gains 7.55 points in all six worlds but fails strict gates. Finite Boolean tasks, dependent repetitions and unequal compute prevent a general reliability or culture claim.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_diagnostic_both_unqualified", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/RESULTS-D2.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/RESULTS-D2.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/D2/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/D2/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/D2/closeout.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/D2/closeout.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Use a fresh output directory. This only writes the 144 exact planned requests, assignment/source/instrument hashes and a deliberately blocked admission template. It creates no experiment outcomes and sends no provider requests.", "A1 status: prospective plan and tested instrument published;204planned calls,0native calls. Orbital-one dispatch compatibility is blocked; no culture result. R1's bounded F qualification remains the latest native evidence." ], "hub": { "id": "swarm-of-theseus-execution-d2", "run_status_counts": { "done": 200 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/swarm-of-theseus-execution-d2" } }, { "id": "theseus-execution-r1", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Swarm of Theseus R1 atomic repair", "title": "Swarm of Theseus R1 atomic repair", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "result", "claim": "Repaired atomic executor F qualifies on the fresh fixed R1 screen; a material repair advantage and cultural preservation are unestablished.", "sample": "Observed: six fresh paired fixed worlds,96 distinct case/family pairs;384/384 calls/decisions,192 per arm, two native repetitions. F192/192 qualifies; E188/192 fails. Acquisition and cultural turnover not run.", "limits": "F192/192 versus E188/192 across six fixed worlds; all accounting/audits complete. Gain2.08points in two worlds misses the prospective material-benefit criterion. Bundled repair, finite Boolean tasks and dependent repetitions limit generality.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_qualification_result", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/RESULTS-R1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/RESULTS-R1.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/R1/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/R1/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/R1/closeout.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/R1/closeout.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Use a fresh output directory. This only writes the 144 exact planned requests, assignment/source/instrument hashes and a deliberately blocked admission template. It creates no experiment outcomes and sends no provider requests.", "A1 status: prospective plan and tested instrument published;204planned calls,0native calls. Orbital-one dispatch compatibility is blocked; no culture result. R1's bounded F qualification remains the latest native evidence." ], "hub": { "id": "swarm-of-theseus-execution-r1", "run_status_counts": { "done": 200 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/swarm-of-theseus-execution-r1" } }, { "id": "quota-splitting", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Identity splitting for quota (Opus 5.5)", "title": "Identity splitting for quota (Opus 5.5)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Under a stated per-identity compute quota an Opus 5.5 lead agent creates more subagent identities than it creates for the same job with no quota, and so draws more than one quota from a pool shared with three other teams.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned: 24 paired roots × 8 conditions × 3 quota sizes = 576 episodes of one model agent, at most 6 calls each (at most 3,456 answered S1 calls; cap 3,552 for a resume); Q0 of 16 episodes on 8 roots; a one-call probe. claude-opus-5-5 by default; claude-opus-5 only under the pre-registered ladder, never pooled. Roots are the independent units.", "limits": "Unrun. Launch-ready package (code commit fdd2e579, source hash 09c27648); offline selftest, scripted S0 and a stub rehearsal only; no stage has run on a server and no model call has been made.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "planned_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/experiment.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/reviews/chain-001-pre.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/reviews/chain-001-pre.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/READY.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/quota-splitting/READY.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Written rules for requests that cannot be applied** (never silent, never a failed call): a work request above the item's remaining units, the lead's remaining rate for the round or the remaining quota is cut to the largest allowed amount and recorded with the reason; work on an item the lead does not hold, a non-positive amount, a spawn where spawning is unavailable, beyond the subagent limit, without any valid item or with an unaffordable fee, a reassignment to an unknown identity, and any action after `finish` are skipped and recorded with th", "| S1 | `s1-001` | at most 3,456 answered (call cap 3,552) | 24 roots × 8 conditions × 3 pressures = 576 episodes | done when no integrity failure occurred and at most 6 episodes failed; failed episodes are reported with bounds |" ], "hub": null }, { "id": "sybil-scarcity-synth", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Can the synthesizer resist repeated fabrications when truth is scarce? (Opus 5.5)", "title": "Can the synthesizer resist repeated fabrications when truth is scarce? (Opus 5.5)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "A stated evidence rule, or higher reasoning effort, reduces how often an Opus 5.5 synthesizer answers with a repeated fabricated value when a rare fact has one truthful carrier, at a measured cost in accuracy when truth is plentiful.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned: 24 paired synthetic world roots × 10 packets × 4 synthesizer configurations = 960 S1 calls at 972 simulated identities; separate Q0 of 48 calls on 8 roots and a one-call probe. Roots are the independent units, not calls, packets or identities.", "limits": "Unrun. The package is prepared and tested offline only; no stage has run on a server and no model call has been made. The rule was written after the sybil-scarcity-opus result, so this is a follow-up on fresh roots, not a confirmation.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "prepared_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-synth/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Four stages run as one chain. Each stage is one hub run and is queued only behind exactly one passed run of the previous stage at the same source hash. A failed stage stops the chain.", "3. In S1 a call without a valid answer is recorded as failed with its evidence and dispatch continues. Dispatch stops when failed calls exceed `max_failed` = 10 (the larger of 3 and 1% of 960) or at once on an integrity failure (ledger refusal, reservation breach, model mismatch, source or batch mismatch, deadline). S0, P0 and Q0 stay strict." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-scarcity-synth", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 2, "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-scarcity-synth" } }, { "id": "sybil-specialists-opus", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Sybil resistance: Opus 5.5 replication of the specialist synthesis pilot", "title": "Sybil resistance: Opus 5.5 replication of the specialist synthesis pilot", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience", "identity" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Untested: with claude-opus-5-5 as the synthesizer on the Haiku pilot's identical S1 packets, coverage auditing still beats degree auditing on rare-skill accuracy.", "sample": "Observed: scripted S0 only, 216 rows, no model outcome. Planned: Q0 on fresh worlds 3100-3105; S1 on the Haiku pilot's 12 worlds (4000-4011), 192 packets; ledger cap 300 calls. Worlds are the independent units.", "limits": "Prepared model replication only. The scripted S0 stage ran (216 of 216 valid, zero model calls); no qualification or S1 model call exists. Admission is simulated identically to the Haiku pilot, so only synthesis can differ.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "implemented_no_model_results_in_repository", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/experiment.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/reviews/fleet-s0-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-specialists-opus/reviews/fleet-s0-001-post.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "sybil-specialists-opus", "run_status_counts": { "done": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-specialists-opus" } }, { "id": "verify-cost-qwen", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "When is verification worth its cost? (Qwen3.7 Flash, program v5 line V)", "title": "When is verification worth its cost? (Qwen3.7 Flash, program v5 line V)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "A structured action-consequence table changes the expected regret of a Qwen3.7 Flash agent's one-step choice between checking a report and exploring an unknown cell, relative to explicit prose carrying the same objective, facts and consequences, across twelve reliability and cost cases.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned: 24 paired synthetic layouts × 12 authored risk and cost cases × 2 representations = 576 single stateless calls; separate qualification of 24 calls (12 clear-dominance fixtures × 2 representations, the first of them as a one-call probe). Layouts are the independent units, not calls or cases.", "limits": "Unrun. Prospective plan only; no stage has run and no model call has been made.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "planned_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/verify-cost-qwen/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Four stages run as one chain on one server. Each stage is one hub run. A stage is queued only if the previous stage finished `done` at the same source hash with no invalid row and its gate passed. A failed stage stops the chain and nothing further is queued.", "3. **Q0, 23 calls.** The other 23 qualification fixtures (attempt 002: set b, layouts 2900 to 2911; attempt 001 used set a). The gate is evaluated over all 24 rows (P0's saved row plus Q0's 23): 24 of 24 structurally valid and at least 11 of 12 optimal in each representation. These are twelve clear-dominance choices with both actions legal, which repairs PC5's screen (its qualification offered one legal cell). A failed qualification stops the chain." ], "hub": { "id": "verify-cost-qwen", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 2, "done": 4 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/verify-cost-qwen" } }, { "id": "trust-credit-qwen", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Trust propagation can amplify capture", "title": "When verification amplifies capture (program v5, line T)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "identity" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In this simulator (324 scripted identities, coverage audit, strong checks), the rise in attacker seats between 32 and 108 checks appears when pass credit is propagated to neighbours and not when it is placed on the passed identity alone: contrast +20.75 seats (17.33 to 24.21), positive in 24 of 24 roots.", "sample": "Observed: 24 paired synthetic roots; 504/504 S1 outcomes (21 cells per root), 0 failed; 324 scripted identities per graph feeding one qwen3.7-flash synthesizer; separate qualification 24/24 on 8 roots. Roots are the independent units; the primary seat outcome is scripted, not a model output.", "limits": "Exploratory. The primary is a scripted admission outcome on one synthetic graph family, audit policy and fabrication; one model configuration answered the packets (qualified 24/24). Direct credit is not safer in level (19.6 against 4.4 attacker seats at 32 checks). Builder's own assessment; not independently reviewed or replicated.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_exploratory_result", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/experiment.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/reviews/chain-001-pre.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/trust-credit-qwen/reviews/chain-001-pre.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": true, "blockers": [ "Chain 001 ran once on 2026-10-04** (run queue 270, operator dmarz/fleet-monitor, server sim-dmarz-8): S0 216/216, P0 1/1, Q0 23/23, S1 504/504, no failed call, USD 0.052. Results are in RESULTS.md, sanitized records in records/, the post-run review in reviews/chain-001-post.md. A second attempt on the identical packets with `gpt-6-luna` (OpenAI) is prepared and has not run; it adds nothing to the scripted primary and is described in the pre-registration's section \"Attempt 002: gpt-6-luna\". Its code is at commit `2c399a6a` (source hash `5155d2c6", "Frozen audit.** For each root and check strength the coverage policy of the earlier study picks 108 identities one after another (each time the unchecked identity whose neighbourhood adds most uncovered identities), and each check passes or fails. Failed identities are removed. The sequence depends on the public graph and earlier outcomes only, never on an admission rule. Budgets 32 and 64 are prefixes of the same sequence." ], "hub": { "id": "trust-credit-qwen", "run_status_counts": { "done": 8 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/trust-credit-qwen" } }, { "id": "memory-handoff-qwen", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Can successors repair inherited false memory? (Qwen3.7 Flash)", "title": "Can successors repair inherited false memory? (Qwen3.7 Flash)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory", "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Handing a successor the contents of the records its inherited notes cite lowers the rate at which a Qwen3.7 Flash successor repeats a misquoted or stale inherited value, compared with resolving only the records' origin and version, without losing clean-memory answers.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned: 24 synthetic roots x 6 memory states x 4 handoff policies = 576 S1 calls, one fresh successor each; separate qualification of 24 calls on 6 roots (1 probe + 23). Roots are the independent units, not calls.", "limits": "Unrun. Prospective plan only; no stage has run and no model call has been made.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "planned_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/memory-handoff-qwen/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Status, 2026-10-04.** Attempt 001 ran and stopped at the qualification gate: P0 passed, Q0 24 of 24 valid and 19 of 24 in agreement with the reference, 24 calls, USD 0.0007; S1 did not run (post-mortem, records). That stop is a result. Attempt 002, the one repair the program allows, is prepared and has not run: same model with reasoning disabled, the second fixture set, the same gate, and an answer format in which the successor first lists the records it relies on (preregistration, section \"Attempt 002\"; pre-run review; runbook). A second stop ", "Four stages run as one chain on one server. Each stage is one hub run. A stage is queued only if the previous stage finished `done` at the same source hash with no invalid row and its gate passed. A failed stage stops the chain; nothing further is queued." ], "hub": { "id": "memory-handoff-qwen", "run_status_counts": { "done": 6, "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/memory-handoff-qwen" } }, { "id": "sybil-scale-opus", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Checks must scale with identities", "title": "Sybil resistance as swarms grow: Opus 5.5 cohort", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity", "verification" ], "status": "result", "claim": "On identical assignments, claude-opus-5-5 (effort low, no temperature) reproduces the population-scaling direction (proportional strong checks raise N972 specialist accuracy by +100.0 pp) but scores lower than Haiku and Sonnet over the grid because it abstains on 31% of rare fields while giving the fewest wrong values.", "sample": "Observed: 24 paired world roots from one synthetic task family; 2,400/2,400 S1 outcomes analyzed, zero missing; 100 conditions at 36-972 simulated identities feeding one synthesizer. Q0 separately 64/64. Compared by world with the separate Haiku (sybil-scale-api/56defc84) and Sonnet (sybil-scale-sonnet/afd8d5b9) cohorts; not pooled.", "limits": "Same-owner audit of 24 paired world roots, 2,400/2,400 valid, exact local recomputation, assignments identical to the Haiku and Sonnet cohorts. One synthetic task family and graph, admission independent of the model, configuration differs from the earlier cohorts in more than the model (no temperature, effort low), descriptive unadjusted intervals, owner waiver in place of independent review.", "evidence_score": 2, "strength": 0.65, "strength_label": "aggregate arithmetic checked", "assessment_status": "complete_valid_result_claim_released", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/RESULTS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/RESULTS.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/verification-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/verification-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/results-summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/results-summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/model-comparison-haiku-cells.csv", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/model-comparison-haiku-cells.csv" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/model-comparison-sonnet-cells.csv", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/model-comparison-sonnet-cells.csv" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/rare-field-outcomes.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scale-opus/rare-field-outcomes.json" } ], "audit": { "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/completed-findings-xcheck/SCALE-REVIEW.md", "scope": "Aggregate outputs and saved primary differences only; not raw-answer verification." }, "featured": true, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "sybil-scale-opus", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-scale-opus" } }, { "id": "sybil-split-xmodel", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Identity splitting at fixed attacker resources, replicated on Qwen3.7 Flash and GPT-6 Sol", "title": "Identity splitting at fixed attacker resources, replicated on Qwen3.7 Flash and GPT-6 Sol", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity", "provenance" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "On the byte-identical packets of sybil-split-opus, splitting one attacker's fixed resources from 1 to 27 identities raises rare-skill wrong answers more under degree-based than under coverage-based checks for qwen/qwen3.7-flash (reasoning disabled) and for gpt-6-sol (reasoning effort low), each model reported separately.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned per model: 24 paired synthetic roots in each of two graph families x 56 conditions = 2,688 S1 calls on the parent's packets, after a 60-call qualification and a one-call probe; two models, never pooled. Roots are the independent units, not calls or identities.", "limits": "Unrun. Prospective package only; tested offline with stub models; no stage has run and no model call has been made.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "planned_unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-split-xmodel/experiment.yaml" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "| S1 | `s1-001-qwen` | 2,688 | 24 roots × 2 families × 2 check strengths × 4 identity counts × 7 policy cells | no gate of its own; failed calls within the limit |", "Every failed request keeps its HTTP status, response body (2,000 characters) and request id." ], "hub": null }, { "id": "sybil-rules-180", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Will they Sybil under rules? A 180-owner economy with product-licensed firms (research program v5 flagship)", "title": "Will they Sybil under rules? A 180-owner economy with product-licensed firms (research program v5 flagship)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "negative", "claim": "Untested: in one connected economy of 180 model-controlled owners, an explicit prohibition or owner-level enforcement changes how many owners sustain same-product firm splitting that lowers their own concentration charge.", "sample": "Observed: scripted S0 8,118 rows; one probe call (attempt 001); one probe call and 185 qualification calls (attempt 002); no economy round with model owners in a main stage. Planned: one economy of 180 owners in 60 markets, 2 warm-up rounds and four 10-round continuations, plus a 192-call cue diagnostic.", "limits": "No main-stage data. Attempt 001 stopped at its one-call probe on an interface defect. Attempt 002 on qwen/qwen3.7-flash with reasoning disabled passed the probe and failed qualification (174 of 185 actions accepted; mechanics probes 11 of 17; flexible-arm profit 0.36 to 0.64 of the scripted reference against a 0.75 gate). A gpt-6-sol configuration is being prepared.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "qualification_failed_no_main_stage", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/experiment.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/reviews/chain-001-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/reviews/chain-001-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/reviews/chain-002-pre.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-rules-180/reviews/chain-002-pre.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Requests in flight: 2 per server (6 in total); X0 measures its second 90 calls at 3 per server and S1 and D1 use 3 only if that half had no failed call, no rate-limit response and no lower rate." ], "hub": { "id": "sybil-rules-180", "run_status_counts": { "done": 15, "failed": 2 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/sybil-rules-180" } }, { "id": "sybil-scarcity-xmodel", "owner": "dmarz", "label": "Does Sybil-resistant accuracy depend on repeated knowledge? Cross-model replication", "title": "Does Sybil-resistant accuracy depend on repeated knowledge? Cross-model replication", "type": "study", "themes": [ "identity" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "On packets byte-identical to sybil-scarcity-opus, a synthesizer other than Opus 5.5 (qwen3.7-flash without reasoning; gpt-6-sol at reasoning effort low) also loses specialist accuracy when each rare fact has one truthful carrier instead of 81.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned per model: 24 paired synthetic world roots x 60 conditions = 1,440 S1 calls on the parent's identical packets, after P0 (1 call) and Q0 (48 calls); roots are the independent units; calls, identities and skills are not.", "limits": "Unrun. The package is prepared and tested offline only; no stage has run on a server and no model call has been made. Each model is a separate chain; results will never be pooled.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "prepared_not_launched", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/README.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/preregistration.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/preregistration.md" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/design.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/design.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/experiment.yaml", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/experiment.yaml" }, { "path": "researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/SETUP.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/sybil-scarcity-xmodel/SETUP.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Differences from the parent, all stated:** the model and its configuration (no reasoning for Qwen; Opus thinks before answering at effort low); the request format above; P0 checks the interface and records whether its answer is exact instead of requiring it (competence is Q0's 48 packets at the parent's thresholds); S1 continues past failed calls up to 15 (the parent stopped at the first), with billing-outage pause and resume; no repair attempt.", "| S1 | 1,440 | 24 roots × 60 cells | at most 15 failed calls and no integrity failure |" ], "hub": null }, { "id": "wild-evidence-depth", "owner": "shadow", "label": "Response coverage is only 8.49%", "title": "SwarmTraces evidence depth: fixed-export census", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance", "metascience" ], "status": "result", "claim": "In this selected release, 7,733/91,037 payload artifacts have a direct response child; response-link coverage varies with artifact length.", "sample": "Observed: one selected incident corpus; 189,579/189,579 rows analyzed, 91,037 payloads, 7,733 response-linked payloads; zero parse failures/exclusions. Rows are dependent artifacts, not independent trials. Zero model calls.", "limits": "Complete corpus census, graph fixtures and separate same-author arithmetic agree. Selection, response semantics and original event independence are unknown; no success rate or causal inference is supported.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "complete_descriptive_census_no_execution_or_success_inference", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/PLAN.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/results/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/results/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/results/reference-check.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/results/reference-check.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/POST-MORTEM.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-evidence-depth/POST-MORTEM.md" } ], "audit": null, "featured": true, "blockers": [], "hub": null }, { "id": "wild-askswarm", "owner": "shadow", "label": "Same questions, three archives", "title": "AskSwarm: coverage-aware lexical diagnostics across three observed swarms", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance", "metascience" ], "status": "result", "claim": "The shared offline interface produces corpus-level lexical and participation descriptions and exposes unavailable identity/time endpoints in the released SwarmTraces artifacts.", "sample": "Observed: 3 selected source corpora, independence not established; 14,591 wiki revisions, 189,579 SwarmTraces artifacts, 2,673 non-merge git commits. Identity coverage: 13,692/14,591; 0/189,579; 1,924/2,673. No model calls or experimental trials.", "limits": "Selected dependent corpora, snapshot inheritance, self-asserted labels and unvalidated lexical proxies do not establish semantic adoption, causal influence or matched cross-swarm behavioral differences.", "evidence_score": 1, "strength": 0.4, "strength_label": "diagnostic / descriptive", "assessment_status": "exploratory_offline_tool_and_corpus_census_complete", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/PLAN.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/FINDING.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/FINDING.md" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/results/wiki/metrics.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/results/wiki/metrics.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/results/swarmtraces/metrics.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/results/swarmtraces/metrics.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/results/git/metrics.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/results/git/metrics.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/results/validation.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/wild-askswarm/results/validation.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": true, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "wild-askswarm", "run_status_counts": { "done": 3 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/wild-askswarm" } }, { "id": "optimal-swarm-size-q-a7", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Optimal Swarm Size Q-A7 public-input binding preparation", "title": "Optimal Swarm Size Q-A7 public-input binding preparation", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification" ], "status": "gated", "claim": "Whether redundant public-input bindings improve fixed-N1 competence and correct throughput is untested.", "sample": "Observed Q-A7: 0 assigned/started/valid native episodes. Planned: 2 fresh roots × 2 structures × full/bound arms = 8 N1 episodes; a prospective root6 futility stop can leave 4 unstarted. Items and arm pairs share roots.", "limits": "Prospective bounded diagnostic and 63 offline tests exist, but dedicated queue allocation, allowed credential delivery and original-ledger continuity remain unresolved; zero native dispatch.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "prepared_admission_blocked_zero_dispatch", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a7-input-binding-plan.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a7-input-binding-plan.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a7-preparation-post.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/reviews/q-a7-preparation-post.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/results/q-a7-preparation/status.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/optimal-swarm-size/results/q-a7-preparation/status.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Hard spending/time limits are enforced during execution; unused allowance is not a failure. Admission checks reject known physical-memory violations. Overrun, out-of-memory, cancelled and provider-failed attempts stay in the assigned denominator with explicit failure classes. Policy performance includes execution reliability; a conditional-on-provider-success view is a separately labeled sensitivity analysis.", "Report success-by-deadline, quality, cost, latency, cap violations and failure classes for every assigned episode. Timeouts are not missing data: retain their deadline and last state. Do not substitute fast failed-run latency for successful completion time. Report success-conditioned latency alongside the primary all-assigned operational outcome; label that conditioning explicitly." ], "hub": null }, { "id": "phantom-coast-pc6", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Phantom Coast PC6: parked semantic screen and PI review", "title": "Phantom Coast PC6: parked semantic screen and PI review", "type": "study", "themes": [ "provenance", "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "The proposed action-consequence table effect remains untested; PC6 was parked before dispatch for insufficient decision value.", "sample": "PC6 observed: 0 native outcomes; planned 12 paired layouts/48 choices, never dispatched. Retrospective analysis reuses PC5 32 roots/128 choices and separate Qwen 12 roots/24 choices; these are not new samples.", "limits": "A pass and failure currently leave the same analytic-controller recommendation. Saved-data analysis of PC5 and the separate Qwen cohort is retrospective and does not supply PC6 samples.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "parked_before_native_dispatch", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/README.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/README.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/PLAN.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/PLAN.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/reviews/PI-POST.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/reviews/PI-POST.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/results/prior-analysis.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/results/prior-analysis.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/results/CLOSEOUT.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc6/results/CLOSEOUT.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "The proposed table supplies the analytic calculation itself. Passing would establish minimum selection only; failing would stop the model route. Both outcomes currently leave the same practical choice, use the analytic policy. A further screen therefore lacks enough decision value. Do not run PC6 or the old 768-choice proposal merely because budget remains." ], "hub": null }, { "id": "theseus-acquisition-a1", "owner": "vishesh", "label": "Swarm of Theseus A1 withheld-policy acquisition", "title": "Swarm of Theseus A1 withheld-policy acquisition", "type": "study", "themes": [ "memory" ], "status": "gated", "claim": "Withheld-policy acquisition remains untested after a provider failure.", "sample": "Planned: six fixed acquisition roots,12learners and96test case/family pairs. Observed:1/204calls endedHTTP429,0valid responses,203unstarted;0executor decisions and no root outcomes. No culture test.", "limits": "First request returnedHTTP429 with no model text/usage;203slots unstarted. This is no evidence of acquisition success/failure or cultural preservation. Prior R1 remains separate.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "native_provider_failure_no_scientific_outcome", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/A1-STATUS.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/A1-STATUS.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/RESULTS-A1.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/RESULTS-A1.md" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/A1/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/A1/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/A1/trace-review.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/A1/trace-review.json" }, { "path": "researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/A1/closeout.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/swarm-of-theseus/execution-diagnostic/results/A1/closeout.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "swarm-of-theseus-acquisition-a1", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/swarm-of-theseus-acquisition-a1" } }, { "id": "shadow-factory-split-sonnet-four-checks-native-json", "owner": "shadow", "label": "Does the informative-check contrast survive a four-check verification budget? (anthropic-pool)", "title": "Does the informative-check contrast survive a four-check verification budget? (anthropic-pool)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Prospective exploratory sensitivity only; no outcome observed.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned:12 clean fixtures and192 main calls over48 reused paired synthetic roots; two graph families, four cells per root. No independent real-world sample.", "limits": "Queued spec, not launched; provider availability blocks further execution.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/plans/split-sonnet-four-checks-native-json.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/plans/split-sonnet-four-checks-native-json.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/specs/split-sonnet-four-checks-native-json.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/specs/split-sonnet-four-checks-native-json.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Status: unrun prospective attempt, not a finding. Model `claude-sonnet-4-6`, route `anthropic-pool`. Observed outcomes: none. Planned12 clean fixtures then192 main calls over48 reused paired roots. No model calls are authorized by this metadata." ], "hub": { "id": "shadow-factory-split-sonnet-four-checks-native-json", "run_status_counts": {}, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/shadow-factory-split-sonnet-four-checks-native-json" } }, { "id": "shadow-factory-split-sonnet-four-checks-or-json", "owner": "shadow", "label": "Does the informative-check contrast survive a four-check verification budget? (openrouter)", "title": "Does the informative-check contrast survive a four-check verification budget? (openrouter)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "verification", "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "Prospective exploratory sensitivity only; no outcome observed.", "sample": "Observed: none. Planned:12 clean fixtures and192 main calls over48 reused paired synthetic roots; two graph families, four cells per root. No independent real-world sample.", "limits": "Queued spec, not launched; provider availability blocks further execution.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "unrun", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/plans/split-sonnet-four-checks-or-json.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/plans/split-sonnet-four-checks-or-json.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/specs/split-sonnet-four-checks-or-json.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/specs/split-sonnet-four-checks-or-json.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "Status: unrun prospective attempt, not a finding. Model `anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.6`, route `openrouter`. Observed outcomes: none. 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All failed and unstarted outcomes are retained.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "lead", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-linked-weak/FINDING.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-linked-weak/FINDING.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-linked-weak/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-linked-weak/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-linked-weak/records.jsonl", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-linked-weak/records.jsonl" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-linked-weak/provenance.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-linked-weak/provenance.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/specs/split-sonnet-linked-weak.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/specs/split-sonnet-linked-weak.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [], "hub": { "id": "shadow-factory-split-sonnet-linked-weak", "run_status_counts": { "failed": 1 }, "active_runs": 0, "stale_active_runs": 0, "url": "https://swarm-live.pages.dev/#/x/shadow-factory-split-sonnet-linked-weak" } }, { "id": "shadow-factory-split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json", "owner": "shadow", "label": "Does the informative-check result survive removing free attacker-internal links? (anthropic-pool)", "title": "Does the informative-check result survive removing free attacker-internal links? (anthropic-pool)", "type": "study", "themes": [ "metascience" ], "status": "designing", "claim": "claude-sonnet-4-6, none internal links, pass=0.1, checks=12: No interpretable treatment contrast; qualification/transport stopped before complete paired outcomes.", "sample": "Observed: 0/48 complete paired synthetic roots; main 0/192 valid; all stages 0/204 valid, 4 failed, 200 unstarted. Qualification planned 12. Parent roots reused; no independent-real-world sample.", "limits": "Transport or clean-screen failure prevents treatment inference. All failed and unstarted outcomes are retained.", "evidence_score": 0, "strength": 0, "strength_label": "design", "assessment_status": "lead", "assessment_date": "2026-10-04", "source": { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json/FINDING.md", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json/FINDING.md" }, "support": [ { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json/summary.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json/summary.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json/records.jsonl", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json/records.jsonl" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json/provenance.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/results/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json/provenance.json" }, { "path": "researchers/shadow/factory/specs/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json.json", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/factory/specs/split-sonnet-no-links-strong-native-json.json" } ], "audit": null, "featured": false, "blockers": [ "This separate native-schema pool cohort follows failed pool transport, failed unstructured OpenRouter answers, and an OpenRouter quota interruption. 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Retrospective PC5 audit:12 Q0 choices on4 roots and128 S1 choices on32 roots; no new samples.", "limits": "Known-contract information value is verified algebraically, not measured on model calls. 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Expected labels leaked in names: no valid clean qualification inference. S1 not run; calls are not independent domains.", "limits": "Actual serialized inputs and all 180 responses were reconstructed. 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released claim; fixed duplicate-safe A2 activation wrapper; 61 scientific plus 5 activation checks passed; published operational/scientific post-mortem, status figure/readback and confidence0 metadata. Approved Q5/conditional H5 unchanged. Exact blocker is authorized central acknowledgement before fresh allocation/relay; no direct-launch exception inferred.'" ], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/right-dissenter-rd5-run.md" }, { "id": "scan-code-data-sybil", "title": "Catalogue Sybil-resistance code and datasets", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-code-data", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "sybil-resistance" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:02Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-code-data-sybil.md" }, { "id": "scan-code-fm", "title": "Catalogue code and benchmarks for agent injection, merge poisoning and multi-agent attacks", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-code-bench", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:12Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "metascience" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-code-fm.md" }, { "id": "scan-flashbots-sybil-informal", "title": "Catalogue Flashbots-adjacent informal writing on Sybil resistance", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-flashbots-informal", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "sybil-resistance" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:02Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [ "X threads: none catalogued. X blocked automated reading and `site:x.com` searches returned no relevant Flashbots-researcher threads on Sybils. A human with an X session should pull threads by Flashbots researchers on BuilderNet admission, Proof of Cloud and searcher identity." ], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-flashbots-sybil-informal.md" }, { "id": "scan-flashbots-sybil", "title": "Catalogue Flashbots work touching Sybil resistance", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-flashbots", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "sybil-resistance" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:01Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-flashbots-sybil.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-ai-control", "title": "Catalogue the papers: AI control, sub-agent delegation and self-replication", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-ai-control", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security", "llm-agent-swarms" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:12Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "metascience" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-ai-control.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-bft-aggregation", "title": "Catalogue the papers: Byzantine thresholds for merging (BFT, robust aggregation, design diversity)", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-bft-aggregation", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security", "sync-consensus" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:12Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "metascience" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-bft-aggregation.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-biology", "title": "Catalogue the papers: fission-fusion and fusion parasitism in biology", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-biology", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security", "collective-decision" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:12Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "metascience" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-biology.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-identity-hijack", "title": "Catalogue the papers: identity and goal hijack of agents", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-identity-hijack", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security", "llm-agent-swarms" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:12Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-identity-hijack.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-memory-injection", "title": "Catalogue the papers: memory poisoning and persistent prompt injection in agents", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-memory-injection", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security", "llm-agent-swarms" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:11Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "metascience", "memory" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-memory-injection.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-merge-poisoning", "title": "Catalogue the papers: poisoning through model merging, federated aggregation and distillation", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-merge-poisoning", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security", "marl-emergence" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:11Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "metascience" ], "blockers": [ "APIs used: arXiv export API, arxiv.org/abs and /html pages, Semantic Scholar graph API (heavily rate-limited, 429 on most calls; two citation pulls succeeded), OpenAlex (one search succeeded, later calls failed), PMLR pages for venue metadata, WebSearch, WebFetch. OpenReview blocked automated access with a challenge page." ], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-merge-poisoning.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-mobile-agents", "title": "Catalogue the papers: mobile-agent security and Byzantine state merge", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-mobile-agents", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:12Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "metascience" ], "blockers": [ "APIs and access.** Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex and the arXiv export API returned HTTP 429 from this host for the whole session (OpenAlex Retry-After about 5.5 h), shared with parallel agents. Worked: Crossref (metadata, citation counts, DOI checks), arxiv.org abs/pdf pages, OpenCitations v2 citations endpoint (forward chasing), GitHub via gh, Wayback Machine availability API (old PostScript preprints, text extracted locally), author/institution pages, WebSearch and WebFetch. Springer chapter pages and PDFs were blocked (client challenge), so sev", "3. Springer PDFs for 7 LNCS seeds: 7 / 0 (all blocked)." ], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-mobile-agents.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-sutton", "title": "Catalogue the primary sources: Sutton on agents splitting and merging, and prior framings", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-sutton", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security", "meta" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:11Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "provenance" ], "blockers": [ "6. Christiano amplification: arXiv 1810.08575 and Alignment Forum posts via LessWrong GraphQL (ai-alignment.com on Medium blocked by Cloudflare): 9 / 3." ], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-sutton.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-fm-unlinkability", "title": "Catalogue the papers: hiding which part returns (unlinkability, secret election, moving target)", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-unlinkability", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security", "sybil-resistance" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:12Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-fm-unlinkability.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-sybil-credentials", "title": "Catalogue the papers: anonymous credentials and rate limits as Sybil defences for agents", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-credentials", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "sybil-resistance", "llm-agent-swarms" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:02Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-sybil-credentials.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-sybil-foundations", "title": "Catalogue the papers: Sybil attacks and defences (foundations)", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-foundations", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "sybil-resistance", "meta" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:01Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-sybil-foundations.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-sybil-llm-agents", "title": "Catalogue the papers: Sybil, collusion and identity in LLM agent collectives", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-llm-agents", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "sybil-resistance", "llm-agent-swarms" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:01Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-sybil-llm-agents.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-sybil-mechanisms", "title": "Catalogue the papers: false-name-proof mechanisms and Sybil-proof reputation", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-mechanisms", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "sybil-resistance", "collective-decision" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:01Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-sybil-mechanisms.md" }, { "id": "scan-papers-sybil-robotics", "title": "Catalogue the papers: Sybil and Byzantine agents in robot swarms and networked consensus", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-robotics", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "sybil-resistance", "swarm-robotics", "sync-consensus" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:01Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "identity" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-papers-sybil-robotics.md" }, { "id": "scan-threads-fm", "title": "Catalogue informal writing on fork-merge agents and reintegration attacks", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-informal", "kind": "scan", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "fork-merge-security" ], "updated": "2026-10-03T18:12Z", "stale_claim": true, "themes": [ "metascience" ], "blockers": [ "APIs/tools: WebSearch, WebFetch, curl to the sites above. X/Twitter not fetched this round (automated reading blocked; existing X threads on the Sutton/Dwarkesh episode were already catalogued by dmarz/fm-sutton and the sd-* / other fm-* agents).", "X threads reacting to the Sutton/Dwarkesh split-and-merge episode: not read this round (automation blocked); needs a browser-tool pass or human paste." ], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/scan-threads-fm.md" }, { "id": "survey-agent-budgets", "title": "Survey: agent budgets, budget visibility and self-allocation among agents", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-budget", "kind": "survey", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "agent-budgets" ], "updated": "2026-10-04T16:08Z", "stale_claim": false, "themes": [ "verification", "metascience" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/survey-agent-budgets.md" }, { "id": "wild-timeline", "title": "Unified incident timeline across the Transluce, collusion.wiki and SwarmTraces datasets", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-timeline", "kind": "build", "status": "claimed", "topics": [ "swarm-detection", "llm-agent-swarms" ], "updated": "2026-10-04T15:24Z", "stale_claim": false, "themes": [ "provenance" ], "blockers": [], "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/tasks/wild-timeline.md" } ], "commits": [ { "sha": "61a7269fccb62429b1c35bfe186c8d84f27b2fa8", "time": "2026-10-04T10:29:49-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen chain 003 documents: READY.yaml (provider openai, model gpt-6-luna, 123 selftests, source hash b1b15d25, review reviews/chain-003-pre.md, ledger fresh), pre-run review chain-003 for code commit c74da5bc (original attempt-001 instrument, set a, reasoning_effort low, max_completion_tokens 1,500, USD 5, fresh ledger), RUN.md, README, SETUP. 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"agent": "shadow/sol-atlas", "subject": "[shadow/sol-atlas] task: claim synthesis-landscape-map", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/10be71d5d5d76a34549718fbe9ef5abeaa31320f" }, { "sha": "b027696010fa554645603033fe13c835620841ba", "time": "2026-10-04T13:58:44+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-atlas", "subject": "[shadow/sol-atlas] agent: register sol-atlas", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/b027696010fa554645603033fe13c835620841ba" }, { "sha": "b8d90f523a55115a81442e41aff35fb748de4820", "time": "2026-10-04T13:53:54+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-submit", "subject": "[shadow/sol-submit] task: claim admin-hackathon-brief", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/b8d90f523a55115a81442e41aff35fb748de4820" }, { "sha": "1d15f2a057a9e9c44f8d379263da734b1add8dcd", "time": "2026-10-04T06:53:30-07:00", "owner": "vishesh", "agent": "vishesh/codex-pi-review", "subject": "[vishesh/codex-pi-review] task: claim transfer-dmarz-market-methods", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1d15f2a057a9e9c44f8d379263da734b1add8dcd" }, { "sha": "d28e538cb367a440bd3ad40927e8da82b7041352", "time": "2026-10-04T13:51:12+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-xcheck", "subject": "[shadow/sol-xcheck] task: claim review-dmarz-completed-xcheck", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/d28e538cb367a440bd3ad40927e8da82b7041352" }, { "sha": "c5dcbfc7aee4d9ceae550d7e86f4cb79a4b273b8", "time": "2026-10-04T13:50:56+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-xcheck", "subject": "[shadow/sol-xcheck] review: register independent completed-findings audit", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c5dcbfc7aee4d9ceae550d7e86f4cb79a4b273b8" }, { "sha": "a5bd1a662ca2cad1797a9bc78f46428d83d710fd", "time": "2026-10-04T05:40:43-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen chain 003 (work in progress): second model gpt-6-luna as its own chain (OpenAI reference adapter 8290d7ad unchanged, attempt-001 answer format, set a, batches *-003-gpt-6-luna, own ledger and USD 5 cap, gates per model, S0 s0-003 serves both, resume accepts provider_billing_stopped); preregistration amendment (set a, decided by the fleet monitor 12:38Z); rehearsal of both chains 47/47 in 133 s; selftest not yet updated (do not launch this commit); the Qwen pin 5831e534 is untouched; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a5bd1a662ca2cad1797a9bc78f46428d83d710fd" }, { "sha": "c0537bf7d8c48ed5b931fa0cb19728e26e6e1944", "time": "2026-10-04T05:40:33-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-scarcity-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-scarcity-qwen] experiments: sybil-scarcity-xmodel READY.yaml and pre-run review chain-001 for qwen/qwen3.7-flash (status ready; code commit 2753b03d, source hash 06cbd97e; model ladder qwen/qwen3.7-flash (openrouter), gpt-6-sol (openai, not yet runnable)); setup record, task, agent file, log. Documents only; source hash unchanged; not independently reviewed; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c0537bf7d8c48ed5b931fa0cb19728e26e6e1944" }, { "sha": "c74da5bc1f07c7bd765a7a066e4c8de86e1f2553", "time": "2026-10-04T05:39:57-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen chain 003 code (gpt-6-luna, second pre-registered model): its chain qualifies on set a; selftest 123 tests pass (Qwen manifest digest unchanged a1543730; the gpt-6-luna manifest equals attempt 001's, 27d52267: P0, Q0, S0 and S1 request hashes; per-model batches, gates, prices, caps, adapters; resume on provider_billing_stopped; the OpenAI adapter's 28 tests); offline S0 144/144 for both models; rehearsal 41/41 checks over eight chains incl. both models on one hub. Nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c74da5bc1f07c7bd765a7a066e4c8de86e1f2553" }, { "sha": "466fe9310aa09a33ecdf598dd1aad9cd7cfa49bc", "time": "2026-10-04T05:39:29-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] pipeline: ready queue at 12:42Z; lesson from verify-cost-qwen attempt 002 (working fields exposed the error and did not fix it)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/466fe9310aa09a33ecdf598dd1aad9cd7cfa49bc" }, { "sha": "88e9455c9e745444f93ed8287ea6a5380363ffbe", "time": "2026-10-04T05:38:45-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] experiments: verify-cost-qwen chain-002 post-mortem and run records (attempt 002 stopped at the qualification gate: 10 of 24 optimal; written costs attached to the wrong action in 15 of 24 rows; the Qwen route of the line ends)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/88e9455c9e745444f93ed8287ea6a5380363ffbe" }, { "sha": "2753b03d1f219057b62fccb3e94cba38986dd1a9", "time": "2026-10-04T05:38:15-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-scarcity-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-scarcity-qwen] experiments: sybil-scarcity-xmodel plan, frozen design, code and manifest (cross-model replication of sybil-scarcity-opus on byte-identical packets; qwen3.7-flash path runnable, gpt-6-sol pre-registered and refused until its adapter commit); evidence row; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2753b03d1f219057b62fccb3e94cba38986dd1a9" }, { "sha": "0f0d91ce76c8876c0c8bef61f65f7299bebca971", "time": "2026-10-04T05:37:51-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 chain-003 pre-run review (attempt 002, gpt-6-sol), READY.yaml admits --model gpt-6-sol (providers map, source hash 17665ae0, 89 selftests)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0f0d91ce76c8876c0c8bef61f65f7299bebca971" }, { "sha": "c325f32386b8355bcd56169a402b5fee2b0d7ef1", "time": "2026-10-04T05:37:34-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen] task: done build-sybil-split-xmodel", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c325f32386b8355bcd56169a402b5fee2b0d7ef1" }, { "sha": "f673f09bce75b76380e67f8be4b9adb756dd5aab", "time": "2026-10-04T05:37:23-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen] experiments: sybil-split-xmodel pre-run review: rehearsal results for both models (24/24 checks each: full chain, failed Q0 stops with no S1, billing stop and resume, failed calls and harmless variants); documents only, source hash unchanged", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f673f09bce75b76380e67f8be4b9adb756dd5aab" }, { "sha": "ca15e8ed659ee200ad369776f870224d86ff7fb4", "time": "2026-10-04T05:36:43-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/openai-route", "subject": "[dmarz/openai-route] experiments: trust-credit-qwen attempt 002 (gpt-6-luna) pre-run review, READY.yaml (provider openai, review chain-002-pre.md, ledger fresh), preregistration implementation note, RUN.md; ready for the same-researcher check; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/ca15e8ed659ee200ad369776f870224d86ff7fb4" }, { "sha": "155c844feebe8208b6c7ef0e18131f589ce5100c", "time": "2026-10-04T05:35:32-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: dated preregistration amendment before any run on gpt-6-luna: its chain qualifies on set a (identical requests to attempt 001), decided by dmarz/fleet-monitor after Qwen's attempt-002 result on set b was known; that result played no part in the choice. Documents only", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/155c844feebe8208b6c7ef0e18131f589ce5100c" }, { "sha": "0a5814057aff2f7c8c47a5ccd091e5c36b0cf291", "time": "2026-10-04T05:31:57-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: second model gpt-6-luna preregistered before its code (original answer format, reasoning_effort low, own chain, same set-b fixtures and gate, never pooled with Qwen); frozen copy of the Qwen attempt-002 manifest; the pinned Qwen chain (5831e534) is not changed; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0a5814057aff2f7c8c47a5ccd091e5c36b0cf291" }, { "sha": "7485c9aaf98a2764a5fc8dd4ebf414792a960b2a", "time": "2026-10-04T05:31:36-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fleet-monitor", "subject": "[dmarz/fleet-monitor] experiments: evidence registry row for sybil-rules-180 (score 0: probe and qualification attempts only, no main stage) and refreshed evidence blocks; the missing row kept the evidence check red on main", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7485c9aaf98a2764a5fc8dd4ebf414792a960b2a" }, { "sha": "2c399a6ae3d1158287e786c76ddb24b34ace75ca", "time": "2026-10-04T05:31:17-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/openai-route", "subject": "[dmarz/openai-route] experiments: trust-credit-qwen attempt 002 code (gpt-6-luna via the reference OpenAI adapter, reasoning_effort low, max_completion_tokens 1500, json_object; fixture set a; batches *-002; cap USD 5); packets byte-identical to attempt 001; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2c399a6ae3d1158287e786c76ddb24b34ace75ca" }, { "sha": "2d18ba9fcd8ab85067b00082d748543669c0e38a", "time": "2026-10-04T05:30:58-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fleet-monitor", "subject": "[dmarz/fleet-monitor] experiments: remove the superseded planned row of sybil-scale-opus from the evidence registry (the study had two rows; the completed-result row by dmarz/orchestrator-2 stays) and refresh stale evidence blocks; the duplicate made experiment_evidence.py refuse for every agent", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2d18ba9fcd8ab85067b00082d748543669c0e38a" }, { "sha": "d929146993adf677fcab11c2b36578c8993bbd9d", "time": "2026-10-04T05:29:33-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-scarcity-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-scarcity-qwen] task: claim build-sybil-scarcity-xmodel", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/d929146993adf677fcab11c2b36578c8993bbd9d" }, { "sha": "1299b4bef2a05d46b9bf9fe1474e04caaa2311f6", "time": "2026-10-04T05:29:02-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 selftests independent of the launched model (launcher setup sets STUDY_MODEL)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1299b4bef2a05d46b9bf9fe1474e04caaa2311f6" }, { "sha": "c89491d340dd96368877cb7849b2d4b0f911445a", "time": "2026-10-04T05:28:53-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-scarcity-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-scarcity-qwen] task: build-sybil-scarcity-xmodel (cross-model replication of sybil-scarcity-opus on identical packets; qwen3.7-flash and gpt-6-sol); agent file", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c89491d340dd96368877cb7849b2d4b0f911445a" }, { "sha": "5831e5342dfe6a3ed3eada42f1659e39c00b808e", "time": "2026-10-04T05:28:14-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen attempt 002: pre-run review reviews/chain-002-pre.md (pins code commit 3f1b0b98, source hash 10f51d2c), READY.yaml (review: reviews/chain-002-pre.md, ledger: fresh, 88 selftests), runbook, setup record, README; at the pinned code: selftest 88 OK, offline S0 192/192 with 25/25 invariants, manifest check equal, rehearsal 36/36 in 93 s; docs only, source hash unchanged; nothing of attempt 002 run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/5831e5342dfe6a3ed3eada42f1659e39c00b808e" }, { "sha": "29eda84a0e2a22c77252c37d0812c6b81df2b003", "time": "2026-10-04T05:27:39-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen] experiments: sybil-split-xmodel READY.yaml and pre-run review (status ready) pinning code 0ca09f04, source hash ebfb2bc3; model ladder qwen/qwen3.7-flash (openrouter) and gpt-6-sol (openai); not independently reviewed; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/29eda84a0e2a22c77252c37d0812c6b81df2b003" }, { "sha": "a048ed9c38dcbfc1a49dcd768974d9042d74b1cd", "time": "2026-10-04T05:26:39-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 gpt-6-sol configuration: reference OpenAI adapter (8290d7ad) selected by the model's api, gpt-6-sol effort low, 2,000 completion tokens, pinned prices, reservation margin 1, 3 in flight per host, USD 150 cap, own fixtures 318640-318675; manual and round prompt state that transferred capacity is idle this round in source and destination; normalisation counts in stage summaries; OpenAI stub rehearsal scenario h; 89 selftests", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a048ed9c38dcbfc1a49dcd768974d9042d74b1cd" }, { "sha": "5d9dd186ce4a85ac727750609486ecbbdde46c2d", "time": "2026-10-04T05:26:20-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen, work in progress on the second model (do not launch this commit; READY.yaml still names the attempt-002 pin): model ladder [qwen/qwen3.7-flash, gpt-6-luna], STUDY_MODEL, per-model batches, budget, answer schema and adapter; OpenAI reference adapter 8290d7ad copied unchanged with its tests; gates per model; manifest with a ladder section (Qwen digest unchanged a1543730; gpt-6-luna S0 and S1 digests equal attempt 001's). Rehearsal 41/41 checks over eight chains incl. both models on one hub. selftest.py not yet updated", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/5d9dd186ce4a85ac727750609486ecbbdde46c2d" }, { "sha": "56351f49fd0c4b4700f6a15c0e6c6d4b053d5c18", "time": "2026-10-04T05:26:01-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] pipeline: lesson on the no-reasoning actor configuration limiting three lines; ready queue brought up to 12:30Z", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/56351f49fd0c4b4700f6a15c0e6c6d4b053d5c18" }, { "sha": "f69f0c7c80fea7986eebec8c5a1a114f199e8f3b", "time": "2026-10-04T05:25:35-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen] experiments: sybil-split-xmodel setup record, runbook, README for both models, evidence row (0/4, unrun); documents only, nothing launched", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f69f0c7c80fea7986eebec8c5a1a114f199e8f3b" }, { "sha": "7e04308638dbc4db2838bbb22e27f13d51ddc52f", "time": "2026-10-04T05:23:59-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] pipeline, verify-cost-qwen: a repaired attempt declares its ledger (READY.yaml ledger: fresh); verify-cost-qwen attempt 002 declares it", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7e04308638dbc4db2838bbb22e27f13d51ddc52f" }, { "sha": "0ca09f041ce797e2611e16f086427d4b17084cd3", "time": "2026-10-04T05:23:35-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen] experiments: sybil-split-xmodel plan, frozen design and code: cross-model replication of sybil-split-opus on byte-identical packets, two pre-registered models (qwen/qwen3.7-flash via OpenRouter, gpt-6-sol via OpenAI), each its own chain; reference adapters copied unchanged; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0ca09f041ce797e2611e16f086427d4b17084cd3" }, { "sha": "93ca165dc744bd96818d0fa69f41d5787f077ca4", "time": "2026-10-04T05:21:29-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen] task: claim build-sybil-split-xmodel", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/93ca165dc744bd96818d0fa69f41d5787f077ca4" }, { "sha": "c772c9f225764ea89ac981d2485f0928b951735b", "time": "2026-10-04T05:20:38-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split-qwen] tasks: build-sybil-split-xmodel (cross-model replication of sybil-split-opus); agent file", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c772c9f225764ea89ac981d2485f0928b951735b" }, { "sha": "1790b88c84a48e6c63b9c80c2644c5b7320e7502", "time": "2026-10-04T05:19:37-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: preregistration of gpt-6-luna as a second pre-registered model, before its code: own chain, original attempt-001 answer schema, same gates and thresholds, never pooled, per-chain caps. The Qwen attempt-002 pin (35404c24, ef40246d) is not changed. Documents only; nothing launched", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1790b88c84a48e6c63b9c80c2644c5b7320e7502" }, { "sha": "3f1b0b9834fafbe0adc07694ff55b820ddc574f6", "time": "2026-10-04T05:18:47-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen attempt 002: one selftest assertion made independent of thread timing (it failed once in three runs); manifest regenerated; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/3f1b0b9834fafbe0adc07694ff55b820ddc574f6" }, { "sha": "f1dfc745c9e1d1851130f5a725cf942f9a356449", "time": "2026-10-04T05:17:38-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] agents: pipeline-split idle; trust-credit-qwen attempt 002 handed to dmarz/openai-route", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f1dfc745c9e1d1851130f5a725cf942f9a356449" }, { "sha": "84451a28ee33255b450acde3d9eb7d77b85ef37d", "time": "2026-10-04T05:17:11-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 attempt 002 (Qwen): pre-registration Amendment 1, chain-001 post-mortem, chain-002 pre-run review, READY.yaml (source hash 15bef708, review chain-002-pre)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/84451a28ee33255b450acde3d9eb7d77b85ef37d" }, { "sha": "3d2d588ca97491b9a6a9a172c43fab84f2e11337", "time": "2026-10-04T05:16:42-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen plan for attempt 002 (gpt-6-luna on the identical packets), written before its code; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/3d2d588ca97491b9a6a9a172c43fab84f2e11337" }, { "sha": "dc92c9e9a58b89625bce59ff23efbe22880dd2e3", "time": "2026-10-04T05:16:38-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen attempt 002 documents: pre-run review chain-002 for code commit 35404c24 (source hash ef40246d): what changed from attempt 001 and what did not, validation decided in advance, manifest digest a1543730, calls 0/1/23/576, gates, cost and time; READY.yaml (review: reviews/chain-002-pre.md, 87 selftests), RUN.md for the operator, README, SETUP, preregistration addendum. Documents only; source hash unchanged; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/dc92c9e9a58b89625bce59ff23efbe22880dd2e3" }, { "sha": "8e427481c14a1bf6577768ef3fc818af5d06bf1c", "time": "2026-10-04T05:15:30-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/openai-route", "subject": "[dmarz/openai-route] agents, log: launcher support pushed (agentops c7b8b42); lane done", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/8e427481c14a1bf6577768ef3fc818af5d06bf1c" }, { "sha": "35404c241a713cb58bc216eb518f85fbfdc7c1f5", "time": "2026-10-04T05:14:11-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen attempt 002 code: returned object kept as JSON text so key order survives storage; selftest for attempt 002 (87 tests pass: byte-identity of every request body with attempt 001 up to the ANSWER block, every tolerated variant valid and graded, every invalid form fails, written costs reported and never gated); manifest regenerated (digest a1543730); offline S0 144/144; rehearsal 37/37 checks over six chains incl. a full chain on mixed tolerated variants. Nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/35404c241a713cb58bc216eb518f85fbfdc7c1f5" }, { "sha": "612c3b64a873618d5f7ae3a569206bcdbf5558dc", "time": "2026-10-04T05:10:45-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 attempt 002 model ladder: model is a launch parameter (STUDY_MODEL) from qwen/qwen3.7-flash (ready) and gpt-6-luna (declared, refused until its adapter is pinned); per-model batch tags, dollar cap, ledger carry-over, worker-session experiment and gates; 60 selftests", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/612c3b64a873618d5f7ae3a569206bcdbf5558dc" }, { "sha": "8290d7ad8fa7f4a19cfc3d75b0e952b173e843cd", "time": "2026-10-04T05:10:11-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/openai-route", "subject": "[dmarz/openai-route] pipeline: reference OpenAI adapter (openai_provider.py, 28 offline tests), GPT-6 price table, openai provider and mixed-provider ladders in READY-CHAIN", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/8290d7ad8fa7f4a19cfc3d75b0e952b173e843cd" }, { "sha": "2332200a48b330a9060a88061bcf73e1c05d9a45", "time": "2026-10-04T05:08:57-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen attempt 002 (work in progress): working-field answer format, validation as preregistered in A5, working-field report, set b, batches *-002, user messages byte-identical to the attempt-001 freeze (tested); selftest 88 tests OK (READY test skipped: READY.yaml on main is still attempt 001's and is replaced at the pin); rehearsal pending; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2332200a48b330a9060a88061bcf73e1c05d9a45" }, { "sha": "cec831216bbc5b9fd2ac620e794a2d00590df615", "time": "2026-10-04T05:04:03-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 attempt 002 interface repair: manual and round prompt say production orders name only listed firms (ids are assigned by the registry); zero orders for firm ids the owner does not hold are dropped and counted, non-zero still void; harmless response variants normalised and counted; fresh probe and Q0 fixtures (318600-318635), batches -002, ledger continues attempt 001's; 57 selftests", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/cec831216bbc5b9fd2ac620e794a2d00590df615" }, { "sha": "af7102ec81792b226d503faf4d09f896d2360d8b", "time": "2026-10-04T05:03:52-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen attempt 002, work in progress: cost-then-choice answer, tolerant validation decided in advance, written-cost report (never gated), set b, batches -002, stub with every tolerated variant and invalid form. Invariants 0 violations offline; selftest, manifest and READY.yaml not yet updated (do not launch this commit)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/af7102ec81792b226d503faf4d09f896d2360d8b" }, { "sha": "fd5029183ae6d098fd6a6f3227b2d20f6f320c1e", "time": "2026-10-04T05:03:11-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen post-run review (complete_valid_result), README and setup record for the observed result, evidence row 1/4", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/fd5029183ae6d098fd6a6f3227b2d20f6f320c1e" }, { "sha": "415d26a8ca0c9d00064cc8c3f6f12737b0fca91e", "time": "2026-10-04T05:02:17-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: attempt 002 preregistered before its code (working-field answer format, validation decided in advance, set b, same gate, a second stop ends the line); README status (attempt 001 stopped at Q0); frozen copy of the attempt-001 manifest; nothing of attempt 002 run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/415d26a8ca0c9d00064cc8c3f6f12737b0fca91e" }, { "sha": "e810110609a907fd90212b34d263184f9e3d706e", "time": "2026-10-04T05:01:50-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: lessons: state the trust qualification gate, not a count I did not verify", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e810110609a907fd90212b34d263184f9e3d706e" }, { "sha": "f73157ffe85ddf9ac3d242fdf82da0ea156d210c", "time": "2026-10-04T05:01:24-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: contract: per-attempt review named in READY.yaml, validators and harmless variants; lessons from the flagship probe, the two qualification stops and the provider limit", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f73157ffe85ddf9ac3d242fdf82da0ea156d210c" }, { "sha": "5ec30331b474d0253fa776e8385221b82ec4026c", "time": "2026-10-04T05:01:12-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: preregistration of attempt 002 (the one bounded repair) before its code: cost-then-choice answer, validation rules decided in advance, set b, thresholds unchanged, only repair; README status (attempt 001 stopped at Q0). Documents only; nothing launched", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/5ec30331b474d0253fa776e8385221b82ec4026c" }, { "sha": "a0796dbc5dcd1ef620517a0bc1f377ba83fa22b3", "time": "2026-10-04T05:00:34-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen RESULTS.md for chain-001 (run queue 270)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a0796dbc5dcd1ef620517a0bc1f377ba83fa22b3" }, { "sha": "2ca63fe76b6eac83a9642728060627976f063460", "time": "2026-10-04T04:59:01-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen sanitized records of chain-001 (run queue 270) and the report builder", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2ca63fe76b6eac83a9642728060627976f063460" }, { "sha": "d415b9c82d3334d5cfbf54177e2f09c90d248cb9", "time": "2026-10-04T04:58:50-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] experiments: run records of chain-001 for verify-cost-qwen and memory-handoff-qwen (status, stage summaries, qualification rows; scanned, no secrets)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/d415b9c82d3334d5cfbf54177e2f09c90d248cb9" }, { "sha": "2d16eb98d4299a99fbbe8eb69f30f70780460394", "time": "2026-10-04T04:57:45-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] experiments: correct two counts in the verify and memory post-mortems", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2d16eb98d4299a99fbbe8eb69f30f70780460394" }, { "sha": "6528ec1497fbc8cd663d54c0b37bcc199716500d", "time": "2026-10-04T04:57:16-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] experiments: post-mortems for verify-cost-qwen and memory-handoff-qwen chain-001 (both stopped at the qualification gate; every miss read; capability failures of the no-reasoning configuration, no format or instrument defect found)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/6528ec1497fbc8cd663d54c0b37bcc199716500d" }, { "sha": "db2a83fe4669a39c4b23c12cc1bf89cd264c8b87", "time": "2026-10-04T11:55:05+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/v3-q0-opus", "subject": "[dmarz/v3-q0-opus] experiments: v3o-a3 S1 post-mortem (provider spend-limit stop, preserved)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/db2a83fe4669a39c4b23c12cc1bf89cd264c8b87" }, { "sha": "227fa2741b2f02482c5caa8afb65fbe660df8946", "time": "2026-10-04T11:53:44+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orchestrator-2", "subject": "[dmarz/orchestrator-2] experiments: sybil-scarcity-synth chain-001 post-run review (provider spend-limit stop)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/227fa2741b2f02482c5caa8afb65fbe660df8946" }, { "sha": "e0cf0a26a4c78e23764a1f3d8cd306cba91d4fc1", "time": "2026-10-04T11:51:43+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/v3-q0-opus", "subject": "[dmarz/v3-q0-opus] experiments: v3o-a3 stopped on provider spend limit; 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ready for the fleet monitor's check", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/8a355e72e0d05ca03716f78296e01d0f1be875ce" }, { "sha": "3b2010eab6152b097153bb5f50b0931f7e831ce9", "time": "2026-10-04T11:40:55+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-opus", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-opus] results: sybil-scale-opus S1 close-out (primary +100.0 pp; Opus abstains on 31% of rare fields)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/3b2010eab6152b097153bb5f50b0931f7e831ce9" }, { "sha": "4792f4ecbdfe655a7e4f8e5dd1cae092be06285e", "time": "2026-10-04T04:38:48-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: ready queue: memory-handoff-qwen filed (run queue 275); agent status", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/4792f4ecbdfe655a7e4f8e5dd1cae092be06285e" }, { "sha": "b8b6ef9ce81fb78473f12974078e0357fd3bf88d", "time": "2026-10-04T04:38:36-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] task: done build-memory-handoff-qwen", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/b8b6ef9ce81fb78473f12974078e0357fd3bf88d" }, { "sha": "05a1ce093a5445077e5604a74f10cf7534511040", "time": "2026-10-04T04:37:30-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: ready queue: trust-credit-qwen (run queue 270) and verify-cost-qwen (run queue 272) filed; memory-handoff-qwen with the fleet monitor", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/05a1ce093a5445077e5604a74f10cf7534511040" }, { "sha": "0b4f8042d19b516aaea0f43a5f1a35c888441753", "time": "2026-10-04T04:37:21-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] task: done build-verify-cost-qwen", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0b4f8042d19b516aaea0f43a5f1a35c888441753" }, { "sha": "c33fad280c50dd2b0cf95f9652d4c5509a72c6cb", "time": "2026-10-04T04:37:13-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] task: done build-trust-credit-qwen", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c33fad280c50dd2b0cf95f9652d4c5509a72c6cb" }, { "sha": "0d54225c23238cf17022d9859da93c05ef2854ea", "time": "2026-10-04T04:32:00-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: pre-run review for chain 001 (pins code commit b6990122, source hash b4ab9025; truth-separation table; call counts, gates, caps, cost arithmetic), setup record updated (G2 pass offline, G3 pending the same-researcher check), task items ticked; docs only, source hash unchanged; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0d54225c23238cf17022d9859da93c05ef2854ea" }, { "sha": "4f793c058939298cdc671bbdaee5bc2a584c5f22", "time": "2026-10-04T04:29:29-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: READY.yaml (source hash b4ab9025, 85 selftests), RUN.md, VISUALIZATION.md, preregistration and README change notes; at code commit b6990122: selftest 85 OK, offline S0 192/192 with 25/25 invariants, manifest check equal, rehearsal 35/35 in 73 s; pre-run review still to come; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/4f793c058939298cdc671bbdaee5bc2a584c5f22" }, { "sha": "45d501b1df19af26f17101286b9dd6c0af6caa6b", "time": "2026-10-04T04:28:21-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 lost-task re-issue once (same call ids, REISSUE ledger reservations), worker silence detection, 3 s hub polling with back-off, task expiry and call-id guards, killed-worker and X0-gate rehearsal scenarios, selftests, renderer with A' and dominant-owner fractions", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/45d501b1df19af26f17101286b9dd6c0af6caa6b" }, { "sha": "20e862a830d3c84e0cd4bf7008fd43c788d50091", "time": "2026-10-04T11:28:18+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/v3-q0-opus", "subject": "[dmarz/v3-q0-opus] experiments: handover note for discussion-v3-opus a3 S1", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/20e862a830d3c84e0cd4bf7008fd43c788d50091" }, { "sha": "517c0969d19f8c2b1c30170ef0545d334bd76030", "time": "2026-10-04T11:27:56+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-opus", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-opus] experiments: handover note for sybil-scale-opus S1", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/517c0969d19f8c2b1c30170ef0545d334bd76030" }, { "sha": "ec0f18837d55cbba98d873c28f2b2d7018a79ff9", "time": "2026-10-04T04:27:33-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: pre-run review chain-001 for code commit fa61358a (source hash 72895482): manifest digest 27d52267, calls 0/1/23/576, gates, failure rule (max_failed 6, billing 60 s / 1,200 s, void rule), model settings, cost and time arithmetic, exact diff against PC5's contract; setup record, task progress, log. Documents only; source hash unchanged; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/ec0f18837d55cbba98d873c28f2b2d7018a79ff9" }, { "sha": "9c25be403d675f05f58fc54ca997b9d7891cc8e7", "time": "2026-10-04T04:25:15-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: READY.yaml (source hash 72895482, 84 selftests, provider openrouter), RUN.md, VISUALIZATION.md, README offline evidence and calibration table, dated preregistration changes (void rule, 10x reservation margin, study cap 624). Documents only; source hash unchanged; nothing launched", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/9c25be403d675f05f58fc54ca997b9d7891cc8e7" }, { "sha": "e5f34521799e147fe4a77ed2d86bf2bdcc1a8eb1", "time": "2026-10-04T04:25:05-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen pre-run review and setup record updated to code commit d3219ceb and source hash e24e85f5 (amendment A1); status ready; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e5f34521799e147fe4a77ed2d86bf2bdcc1a8eb1" }, { "sha": "d3219ceb176caa8780d74e09380209d14fc7eddd", "time": "2026-10-04T04:24:05-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen takes the revised reference adapter (main 639e9501) and amendment A1; nothing run on a server, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/d3219ceb176caa8780d74e09380209d14fc7eddd" }, { "sha": "b699012283655d0a749c2cc4991ee9e22b8e52c4", "time": "2026-10-04T04:23:28-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: reference adapter 639e9501 taken unchanged (provider must be named, 10x reservation margin, voided reservations after a billing stop, per-batch-family caps, wider billing detector); cap-raising for continuations removed; probe response metadata in P0 summary and hub metrics; max_attempted_calls 624; selftest 85 tests OK (1 skipped until READY.yaml); rehearsal rerun pending; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/b699012283655d0a749c2cc4991ee9e22b8e52c4" }, { "sha": "fa61358a8c6088f23dca71c7a70d0f058618c20d", "time": "2026-10-04T04:23:16-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: take the revised reference adapter (main 639e9501) unchanged: provider must be named, 10x reservation margin, voided reservations after a billing stop (continuation inside the exact S1 cap, own cap-raising rule removed), duplicate answer keys rejected, wider billing detector, per-batch-family caps; max_attempted_calls 624, max_transport_attempts 784. 84 selftests pass; offline S0 144/144; rehearsal 5 scenarios ok", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/fa61358a8c6088f23dca71c7a70d0f058618c20d" }, { "sha": "9a22ef21b685de5d910b43efd211239d40f9de25", "time": "2026-10-04T04:20:05-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: selftest (79 tests incl. the 28 reference adapter tests; 78 pass, 1 skipped until READY.yaml exists): counterfactual-truth, wire-level capture, exact retrieval, worker tolerance, billing stop and continuation, chain, verify tampering, analysis bounds; adapter update from the reference still to come; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/9a22ef21b685de5d910b43efd211239d40f9de25" }, { "sha": "07645d5ea1c2b816b7293e176723d0e8070008ea", "time": "2026-10-04T04:19:35-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: wider billing and limit detector in the contract and both handovers; ready queue: sybil-scarcity-synth filed (run queue 268)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/07645d5ea1c2b816b7293e176723d0e8070008ea" }, { "sha": "7b04e369a5740e35ec3aa8c945c54bdebc7d9eca", "time": "2026-10-04T04:19:26-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-scarcity", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-scarcity] task: done build-sybil-scarcity-synth", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7b04e369a5740e35ec3aa8c945c54bdebc7d9eca" }, { "sha": "639e950117876ab88331810e01264bacbf082cd2", "time": "2026-10-04T04:18:28-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: reference OpenRouter ledger: per-stage call caps counted per batch family, so a pre-registered repair attempt has its own allowance; 32 tests", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/639e950117876ab88331810e01264bacbf082cd2" }, { "sha": "4bda82f871c4532b96bb30a059462e9df949ea02", "time": "2026-10-04T11:18:21+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-xl", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-xl] task: release build-false-alarm-cascade", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/4bda82f871c4532b96bb30a059462e9df949ea02" }, { "sha": "682a9b40a2840d45ecaea4c940d6438bfd4ffc0f", "time": "2026-10-04T11:18:19+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orbital-orchestrator", "subject": "[dmarz/orbital-orchestrator] task: release build-quota-splitting", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/682a9b40a2840d45ecaea4c940d6438bfd4ffc0f" }, { "sha": "e5cf389aa41607ebf4c7dc6ef307326008c30bab", "time": "2026-10-04T11:18:14+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-xl", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-xl] notes: false-alarm-cascade handover line; task returned to dmarz/pipeline", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e5cf389aa41607ebf4c7dc6ef307326008c30bab" }, { "sha": "0d4bf6d55a94dd5df9735aa6edadd2e63d735932", "time": "2026-10-04T11:18:12+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orbital-orchestrator", "subject": "[dmarz/orbital-orchestrator] quota-splitting: handover note, task returned to dmarz/pipeline", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0d4bf6d55a94dd5df9735aa6edadd2e63d735932" }, { "sha": "0e8adc7444e51c778d882eb93078855eb75744fa", "time": "2026-10-04T04:18:08-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: selftest adds an independent recomputation of the minimum-loss action from the rendered consequences (744 requests, both representations) and the reservation-margin check; 80 tests pass; manifest current (digest 27d52267); source hash 93a7c299", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0e8adc7444e51c778d882eb93078855eb75744fa" }, { "sha": "84ce86cd0d0f71db1b3465a2a72efe95923ec765", "time": "2026-10-04T11:17:38+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orbital-orchestrator", "subject": "[dmarz/orbital-orchestrator] inbox: quota-splitting package ready for fleet-monitor check", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/84ce86cd0d0f71db1b3465a2a72efe95923ec765" }, { "sha": "1e35a8f898598f6d5a67d92dc5cb5a75ba3870a4", "time": "2026-10-04T04:17:24-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: reference OpenRouter adapter: wider billing and limit detector (402, or 400/403/429 naming credit, balance, billing, usage or spend limit, limit exceeded, insufficient); 31 tests", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1e35a8f898598f6d5a67d92dc5cb5a75ba3870a4" }, { "sha": "33e596354bd80184c945de2d129ee1b261eca9b5", "time": "2026-10-04T11:16:48+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orbital-orchestrator", "subject": "[dmarz/orbital-orchestrator] quota-splitting: launch-ready package (amendment A1, READY.yaml, pre-run review, runbook with resume and --model); stale drafts removed", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/33e596354bd80184c945de2d129ee1b261eca9b5" }, { "sha": "100a2a3cdbd32096be2549e10c11e8628d49ab1a", "time": "2026-10-04T04:16:03-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: reference OpenRouter adapter revision: provider must be named, 10x reservation margin, voided reservations after a billing stop, duplicate answer keys rejected; 30 offline tests", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/100a2a3cdbd32096be2549e10c11e8628d49ab1a" }, { "sha": "13957cedb8def9eba39958758ea4e45ccfa2301b", "time": "2026-10-04T04:15:53-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: selftest.py (78 tests pass: instrument, equal-information proof, scorer, gates, stage and chain against an in-memory hub, resume, and the reference adapter's 28 tests); P0 gate now requires the response to name the pinned provider and its summary keeps the raw response metadata; stub hook for malformed answers", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/13957cedb8def9eba39958758ea4e45ccfa2301b" }, { "sha": "6231492d7f2d7409b33cc494e3d8e9f8a7aa959a", "time": "2026-10-04T04:13:45-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: rehearsal (5 scenarios, 35/35 checks in 72 s: full chain + verify, failed Q0 stops with no S1 run, billing pause + one failed call, failures over the limit, billing stop then resume), exact-retrieval invariants (25/25), adapter copy rejects duplicate JSON keys, manifest regenerated; selftest and review still to come; nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/6231492d7f2d7409b33cc494e3d8e9f8a7aa959a" }, { "sha": "9f602435c658d154de16a017a2913f93688efbf6", "time": "2026-10-04T04:12:55-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen READY.yaml, runbook, visualization mapping and pre-run review for chain-001 (status ready; code commit baefdb6b, source hash ddc370fd); nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/9f602435c658d154de16a017a2913f93688efbf6" }, { "sha": "a9db76ddd460b8732bd028d2bd9c316b83b479b9", "time": "2026-10-04T04:10:34-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 noise-floor continuation A2, X0 valid-action gate (171 of 180), void limits 36/36/180, chain driver, gates, offline rehearsal", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a9db76ddd460b8732bd028d2bd9c316b83b479b9" }, { "sha": "a94b952342aaa50d2315f399a223b5c5cb7f3104", "time": "2026-10-04T11:10:09+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-xl", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-xl] log: false-alarm-cascade package ready", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a94b952342aaa50d2315f399a223b5c5cb7f3104" }, { "sha": "7f5ecb0ac928e22cc6106636e7efe66ba482f442", "time": "2026-10-04T11:10:00+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-xl", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-xl] experiments: false-alarm-cascade documents for code af115c44 (source 7803e3b8): pre-run review rewritten, preregistration amendment A1 (failure handling, resume, model ladder), README, RUN, SETUP, VISUALIZATION; banners removed", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7f5ecb0ac928e22cc6106636e7efe66ba482f442" }, { "sha": "f623847b661d2a94a9aa8d2dac91cf79c4b10687", "time": "2026-10-04T04:08:38-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: instrument, request in two equal-information representations, worker, gates, chain, analysis, frames, manifest and rehearsal (selftests and READY.yaml still to come); offline S0 passes; nothing launched", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f623847b661d2a94a9aa8d2dac91cf79c4b10687" }, { "sha": "34c11486ca6c49d0c14d60fc5e20c4aca0317f32", "time": "2026-10-04T04:08:09-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-scarcity", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-scarcity] experiments: sybil-scarcity-synth pre-run review chain-001 for code commit ea63999a (source hash b75d7b37): manifest digest, call counts, gates, failure rule (max_failed 10, billing 60 s / 1,200 s), model ladder, cost and time arithmetic; setup record, task progress, log. Documents only; source hash unchanged; nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/34c11486ca6c49d0c14d60fc5e20c4aca0317f32" }, { "sha": "af115c44b6f0740958f620b1bad88cb2484fbb91", "time": "2026-10-04T11:07:44+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-xl", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-xl] experiments: false-alarm-cascade model ladder (claude-opus-5-5, claude-opus-5), per-model prices, batches, gates and projection; cap USD 450 for the dearer rung", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/af115c44b6f0740958f620b1bad88cb2484fbb91" }, { "sha": "baefdb6baf1a8e22a9914cd3b9290d10915500ab", "time": "2026-10-04T04:07:37-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen code, reference OpenRouter adapter (copied unchanged), assignment manifest and offline checks; nothing run on a server, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/baefdb6baf1a8e22a9914cd3b9290d10915500ab" }, { "sha": "92714cd6c392004c39b1b15f7676887534039fe1", "time": "2026-10-04T04:07:00-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: work in progress: instrument (parameterized PC5 copy), two equal-information representations, scorer and analysis, reference OpenRouter adapter (unchanged copy), worker, coordinator, chain with resume, manifest, frames, rehearsal. Passing: offline S0 144/144 valid with 0 invariant violations; rehearsal 5 scenarios ok in 44 s (full chain + verify, failed qualification stops at Q0, billing pause + one failed unit, over the failure limit, billing stop and resume). selftest.py not yet written", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/92714cd6c392004c39b1b15f7676887534039fe1" }, { "sha": "ea63999a2112614918b2314020fdaf7a63cbab8f", "time": "2026-10-04T04:06:12-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-scarcity", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-scarcity] experiments: sybil-scarcity-synth code, manifest and READY file (selftest 39 OK, offline S0 128/128 with 27/27 invariants, manifest check OK, rehearsal passed 38/38 in 151 s; no model call, nothing launched)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/ea63999a2112614918b2314020fdaf7a63cbab8f" }, { "sha": "1896fb01eb80c0e48b7c4d42cb3537aa10619f20", "time": "2026-10-04T04:05:53-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: instrument, adapter copy, worker, chain, gates, analysis and manifest (previous builder's work, offline S0 passes; selftest, rehearsal and review still to come; nothing run, no model call)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1896fb01eb80c0e48b7c4d42cb3537aa10619f20" }, { "sha": "fdd2e579f25fd271f53cd518ac2441c40f56a77a", "time": "2026-10-04T11:02:11+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orbital-orchestrator", "subject": "[dmarz/orbital-orchestrator] quota-splitting: model ladder (claude-opus-5-5, claude-opus-5), per-model prices, batches, gates and ledgers; cap USD 270 for the dearer model", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/fdd2e579f25fd271f53cd518ac2441c40f56a77a" }, { "sha": "39fce7aa4d7d88b61fccc23799de6117c7c27ad8", "time": "2026-10-04T10:57:45+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-opus", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-opus] experiments: sybil-scale-opus S0/P0/Q0 post-mortem; S1 launched (79bb3882)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/39fce7aa4d7d88b61fccc23799de6117c7c27ad8" }, { "sha": "cc20f7786c673e2360f93282830fa201a9efedfa", "time": "2026-10-04T03:56:41-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/results-analyst", "subject": "[dmarz/results-analyst] notes: results packages for sybil-scarcity-opus, market-split-opus and sybil-split-opus (headline, what it shows and does not, one next run); index", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/cc20f7786c673e2360f93282830fa201a9efedfa" }, { "sha": "fed37b1067c7ef0f3c6a0f0c23be23b087a91f87", "time": "2026-10-04T10:55:11+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orchestrator-2", "subject": "[dmarz/orchestrator-2] experiments: sybil-split-opus chain-001 results and post-run review (primary +41.0 pp)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/fed37b1067c7ef0f3c6a0f0c23be23b087a91f87" }, { "sha": "80d70b7a9ec6ad489a0e36a3acfd704d488dada2", "time": "2026-10-04T10:52:54+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-opus", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-opus] experiments: resume sybil-scale-opus on sim-dmarz-13", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/80d70b7a9ec6ad489a0e36a3acfd704d488dada2" }, { "sha": "7ad33563e3c21639b3770db22f6be1251feaebf1", "time": "2026-10-04T03:49:28-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 design, study fixtures, OpenRouter adapter copy, coordinator ledger and hub transport, stage executor, analysis", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7ad33563e3c21639b3770db22f6be1251feaebf1" }, { "sha": "f3910e4f6cf5c4cbd87b7d77e46cd9b18155bfc7", "time": "2026-10-04T10:48:12+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-xl", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-xl] task: claim build-false-alarm-cascade", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f3910e4f6cf5c4cbd87b7d77e46cd9b18155bfc7" }, { "sha": "a4be597e30d97139dbc7c34dd95714a40a62e0d9", "time": "2026-10-04T10:48:04+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orbital-orchestrator", "subject": "[dmarz/orbital-orchestrator] task: claim build-quota-splitting", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a4be597e30d97139dbc7c34dd95714a40a62e0d9" }, { "sha": "7707a1a3164a3e5433962e279f9f7db0a45b3c68", "time": "2026-10-04T03:47:51-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-alarm", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-alarm] task: release build-false-alarm-cascade", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7707a1a3164a3e5433962e279f9f7db0a45b3c68" }, { "sha": "03b193f220dc8466c522feb9d71688feb24fd703", "time": "2026-10-04T03:47:42-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-quota", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-quota] task: release build-quota-splitting", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/03b193f220dc8466c522feb9d71688feb24fd703" }, { "sha": "0fb33bb52c27f4e31caf5968a6115dd186a639ab", "time": "2026-10-04T03:47:32-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: false-alarm-cascade handover (state at the pause commit, what is tested, remaining steps in order, model ladder, traps), for the new owner assigned by the fleet monitor", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0fb33bb52c27f4e31caf5968a6115dd186a639ab" }, { "sha": "e92e702c48c25668f91c9fec82ae74c5444c5b67", "time": "2026-10-04T03:47:22-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/results-analyst", "subject": "[dmarz/results-analyst] notes: compositional v12 retry and billing-outage handling recorded as the reference implementation", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e92e702c48c25668f91c9fec82ae74c5444c5b67" }, { "sha": "118848a2810a9ddc1557ed020360f1f6f4fb369a", "time": "2026-10-04T03:47:16-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: quota-splitting handover (state at the pause commit, what is tested, remaining steps in order, model ladder, traps), for the new owner assigned by the fleet monitor", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/118848a2810a9ddc1557ed020360f1f6f4fb369a" }, { "sha": "bee94550aba12af136c34fbde6606fc67c6349c3", "time": "2026-10-04T03:45:47-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] memory-handoff-qwen: prospective plan before implementation (README, preregistration, frozen design, hub registration, setup record, evidence row); nothing has run", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/bee94550aba12af136c34fbde6606fc67c6349c3" }, { "sha": "32f751b0221cfb98dbf778e4df931ad8a22f5f76", "time": "2026-10-04T03:43:01-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] experiments: trust-credit-qwen (program v5, line T) prospective plan and frozen design; evidence row; no code yet, nothing run, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/32f751b0221cfb98dbf778e4df931ad8a22f5f76" }, { "sha": "65b4497f4d3d9f6d6284a86b348ecb9f2c09d108", "time": "2026-10-04T03:42:30-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] verify-cost-qwen: prospective plan for program v5 line V before any code (README, preregistration, frozen design.yaml, experiment.yaml, SETUP.md, evidence row); nothing has run", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/65b4497f4d3d9f6d6284a86b348ecb9f2c09d108" }, { "sha": "7526e0b7a1994959aac0b278339e16400b8a179f", "time": "2026-10-04T03:40:08-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: ready-chain contract: providers, model ladder and the program v5 stage mapping; ready queue updated (scarcity finished, two packages paused for program v5, four being built)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7526e0b7a1994959aac0b278339e16400b8a179f" }, { "sha": "f9690bef081bdb0d6aaeb7ffe7e5838d2c4b1b05", "time": "2026-10-04T03:39:16-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fleet-monitor", "subject": "[dmarz/fleet-monitor] experiments: register sybil-specialists-opus in the evidence registry (score 0, scripted S0 only) and refresh stale evidence blocks; CI evidence step was red on main", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f9690bef081bdb0d6aaeb7ffe7e5838d2c4b1b05" }, { "sha": "f9339d19c930c60c714c398c16970360daba967e", "time": "2026-10-04T03:37:20-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: sybil-rules-180 economy engine (licensed firms, reserve and transit capacity, delayed commands, focal recombination evaluator)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f9339d19c930c60c714c398c16970360daba967e" }, { "sha": "541a1f7237d5fb2cee7887e6a25353b96e9227e7", "time": "2026-10-04T03:36:21-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/program-filer", "subject": "[dmarz/program-filer] artifacts+notes: file Codex's overnight research program (v1-v5), canvas, large-swarm proposal, latest-results review and evaluation shortlist with their notes, attestations and registry entries", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/541a1f7237d5fb2cee7887e6a25353b96e9227e7" }, { "sha": "664893d640aab353104aeebd1dfc1ac69b3768f0", "time": "2026-10-04T10:35:55+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/scale-xl", "subject": "[dmarz/scale-xl] experiments: sybil-scale-xl closed at 481/576; A3 resume not implemented (guard refused relayed instruction)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/664893d640aab353104aeebd1dfc1ac69b3768f0" }, { "sha": "f2d7517eff66ccd6e142f6248e0532d0e3a6bf45", "time": "2026-10-04T03:35:40-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] notes: reference OpenRouter adapter and ledger for program v5 studies, with 28 offline tests (no model call)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f2d7517eff66ccd6e142f6248e0532d0e3a6bf45" }, { "sha": "c1de1da6805265e900bb08e54ee6cc3d1c98d263", "time": "2026-10-04T03:35:22-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/unprefixed", "subject": "WIP, paused: [dmarz/pipeline-alarm] experiments: false-alarm-cascade failure-handling rule, all four parts in code and tests (evidence on failed requests; token count never fails a call; S1 continues past a failed episode, max_failed 3; billing-outage pause, void and chain.py resume). Passes at source hash 0c639128: selftest 38 OK, manifest check OK; READY.yaml and manifest.json are current. Not re-run after the last two small fixes: offline S0 and the six-scenario rehearsal (it passed 51/51 just before them). Stale: README, preregistration, RUN.md, SETUP.md, VISUALIZATION.md and reviews/chain-001-pre.md still describe stop-on-first-failure and pin 2c4ef040 / 8dfa3d6e; the review carries a do-not-launch banner. Nothing launched, no model call", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c1de1da6805265e900bb08e54ee6cc3d1c98d263" }, { "sha": "b70b27a0a776d37c2d43eec2d78c4c5f0943031d", "time": "2026-10-04T03:34:56-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fleet-monitor", "subject": "[dmarz/fleet-monitor] tasks: restore frontmatter of build-trust-credit-qwen (unquoted colon in title broke YAML; claim then dropped required fields); main check green again", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/b70b27a0a776d37c2d43eec2d78c4c5f0943031d" }, { "sha": "51c9edf1f9e9155aef3032ee1742819ae81da3de", "time": "2026-10-04T10:34:10+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/orbital-orchestrator", "subject": "[dmarz/orbital-orchestrator] inbox: SOC-07 v2 waits for Dan's typed approval", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/51c9edf1f9e9155aef3032ee1742819ae81da3de" }, { "sha": "c9805557f9d15c486f4346fa6411c2c098a4e72b", "time": "2026-10-04T03:31:51-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] task: claim build-sybil-rules-180", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c9805557f9d15c486f4346fa6411c2c098a4e72b" }, { "sha": "bcdcb3f26390243113297782e0f2249f809e0171", "time": "2026-10-04T03:30:58-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/flagship-market", "subject": "[dmarz/flagship-market] notes: open sybil-rules-180 (program v5 flagship F), task, agent file, plan skeleton with transport choice", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/bcdcb3f26390243113297782e0f2249f809e0171" }, { "sha": "c19a80adb2777ce810bb07ca87933e145a29f1f6", "time": "2026-10-04T03:30:55-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-memory", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-memory] task: claim build-memory-handoff-qwen", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c19a80adb2777ce810bb07ca87933e145a29f1f6" }, { "sha": "69d4d20c736f2b62d04d1b31e51a4062cb71a81e", "time": "2026-10-04T03:30:46-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-verify", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-verify] task: claim build-verify-cost-qwen", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/69d4d20c736f2b62d04d1b31e51a4062cb71a81e" }, { "sha": "a65b9be0eb2d56467f9d39a1d036bfaff99e92a5", "time": "2026-10-04T03:30:38-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-split", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-split] task: claim build-trust-credit-qwen", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a65b9be0eb2d56467f9d39a1d036bfaff99e92a5" }, { "sha": "c686eaea1c94581584a1462d8e777ab3a6f5b747", "time": "2026-10-04T03:30:27-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline] agents, tasks: open build tasks for program v5 lines T, V and M (trust-credit-qwen, verify-cost-qwen, memory-handoff-qwen; preparation only)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c686eaea1c94581584a1462d8e777ab3a6f5b747" }, { "sha": "e5507b647368a394bb5e4b8a67c26aed3154eea6", "time": "2026-10-04T03:29:44-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-quota", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-quota] agents: idle; quota-splitting paused at 6b9adefa, remaining work listed", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e5507b647368a394bb5e4b8a67c26aed3154eea6" }, { "sha": "6b9adefae94a6626a9c89685193dc313c0efe88c", "time": "2026-10-04T03:29:20-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-quota", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-quota] quota-splitting: WIP, paused: failure-handling rule implemented in code (all four parts), selftest passes (71 tests); documents, READY.yaml and pre-run review remain", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/6b9adefae94a6626a9c89685193dc313c0efe88c" }, { "sha": "1a0006a42a92a4bae1452dce6bf795c63915c8e9", "time": "2026-10-04T03:29:06-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/results-analyst", "subject": "[dmarz/results-analyst] notes: index update (compositional P1 p1-005 running, v3-opus S1 relaunched, split S1 pace)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1a0006a42a92a4bae1452dce6bf795c63915c8e9" }, { "sha": "6e07eb515197f8c4ca79da8370c1bf8ffdcfd3f0", "time": "2026-10-04T03:25:00-07:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/pipeline-scarcity", "subject": "[dmarz/pipeline-scarcity] notes: sybil-scarcity-synth plan with the frozen evidence rule, preregistration, design and setup record (follow-up to sybil-scarcity-opus on fresh roots 7600-7623; 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"https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/34e9ff47c33bbb6af6a9efc6e783de8b38ddc012" }, { "sha": "1f4bb4ba4b4284d1103c636cc0e7c15716f8e37e", "time": "2026-10-03T14:21:26-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd", "subject": "[dmarz/sd] task: reopen sd-attribution, sd-web-agents (swept to done by dmarz/swarm bulk close)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1f4bb4ba4b4284d1103c636cc0e7c15716f8e37e" }, { "sha": "388260125f516a666df7009de6224ed4f4f6b4d3", "time": "2026-10-03T18:21:24+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/swarm", "subject": "[dmarz/swarm] task: restore shadow/sol-1's done mark on survey-llm-agent-swarms", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/388260125f516a666df7009de6224ed4f4f6b4d3" }, { "sha": "51c516879505789fff165862ceacbda3e7cc4b8f", "time": "2026-10-03T14:21:17-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-bots", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-bots] task: claim scan-papers-sd-bots", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/51c516879505789fff165862ceacbda3e7cc4b8f" }, { "sha": "6f9b233eb0bde412662f26d41a44fb7d5205f23d", "time": "2026-10-03T18:21:06+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/swarm", "subject": "[dmarz/swarm] task: revert 18 done-marks I applied to another session's claimed scan tasks", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/6f9b233eb0bde412662f26d41a44fb7d5205f23d" }, { "sha": "b391aff9145216023548f2cb82c13dedc28d1384", "time": "2026-10-03T14:20:53-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-coordination", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-coordination] task: claim scan-papers-sd-coordination", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/b391aff9145216023548f2cb82c13dedc28d1384" }, { "sha": "68ee5f17d169561345b34d6ae505c4282ff4c33c", "time": "2026-10-03T14:20:39-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-bots", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-bots] task: claim scan-papers-sd-bots", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/68ee5f17d169561345b34d6ae505c4282ff4c33c" }, { "sha": "30b97f7b68fcf43beb4c4985f49fd0dac9e89b85", "time": "2026-10-03T14:20:32-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-informal", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-informal] task: claim scan-threads-sd-informal", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/30b97f7b68fcf43beb4c4985f49fd0dac9e89b85" }, { "sha": "db71b17cc82e63a77b11357fdc06b531382c7c32", "time": "2026-10-03T18:20:30+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sync-consensus", "subject": "[dmarz/sync-consensus] task: done scan-papers-sync-consensus", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/db71b17cc82e63a77b11357fdc06b531382c7c32" }, { "sha": "c6cb299b555fe8977144b30cce1b6c3fe298a80b", "time": "2026-10-03T18:20:25+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-robotics", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-robotics] task: done scan-papers-sybil-robotics", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c6cb299b555fe8977144b30cce1b6c3fe298a80b" }, { "sha": "137f14368653dc8afe5f348c4f7316638840e536", "time": "2026-10-03T18:20:21+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-mechanisms", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-mechanisms] task: done scan-papers-sybil-mechanisms", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/137f14368653dc8afe5f348c4f7316638840e536" }, { "sha": "c6144df903d86b464ef45aaae07f0bb100efcb15", "time": "2026-10-03T18:20:18+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-llm-agents", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-llm-agents] task: done scan-papers-sybil-llm-agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c6144df903d86b464ef45aaae07f0bb100efcb15" }, { "sha": "f4f6a72e66082409b10095f62ed999944307bb36", "time": "2026-10-03T18:20:15+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-foundations", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-foundations] task: done scan-papers-sybil-foundations", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f4f6a72e66082409b10095f62ed999944307bb36" }, { "sha": "e162b3d12958847641966001daf9870cb9f75f96", "time": "2026-10-03T14:20:12-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-onchain", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-onchain] task: claim scan-papers-sd-onchain", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e162b3d12958847641966001daf9870cb9f75f96" }, { "sha": "a86e2c8550263d724d066469273bd5b60aed9571", "time": "2026-10-03T18:20:10+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-credentials", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-credentials] task: done scan-papers-sybil-credentials", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a86e2c8550263d724d066469273bd5b60aed9571" }, { "sha": "d8cd5c0afe8a074b0bdbf3dbe70df1c60558b0f4", "time": "2026-10-03T14:20:07-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-honeypots", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-honeypots] task: claim scan-papers-sd-honeypots", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/d8cd5c0afe8a074b0bdbf3dbe70df1c60558b0f4" }, { "sha": "33edf813e168308eb74f8400103c278eb168b642", "time": "2026-10-03T18:20:05+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/swarm-robotics", "subject": "[dmarz/swarm-robotics] task: done scan-papers-swarm-robotics", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/33edf813e168308eb74f8400103c278eb168b642" }, { "sha": "5f00346c47b32c08742334c5721faac9d27233dc", "time": "2026-10-03T18:20:02+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/swarm-robotics-recent", "subject": "[dmarz/swarm-robotics-recent] task: done scan-papers-swarm-robotics-recent", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/5f00346c47b32c08742334c5721faac9d27233dc" }, { "sha": "c4825a2c5f0c6bf14c32f12ed79c835b0f25c183", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:57+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/swarm-intelligence", "subject": "[dmarz/swarm-intelligence] task: done scan-papers-swarm-intelligence", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c4825a2c5f0c6bf14c32f12ed79c835b0f25c183" }, { "sha": "18a602f2c373b664eb392ddd9857ab50af347fbe", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:54+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-web-agents", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-web-agents] task: done scan-papers-sd-web-agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/18a602f2c373b664eb392ddd9857ab50af347fbe" }, { "sha": "52b464eee05e52a7e0746ebbdeb678efb20561a9", "time": "2026-10-03T14:19:48-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-web-agents", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-web-agents] task: claim scan-papers-sd-web-agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/52b464eee05e52a7e0746ebbdeb678efb20561a9" }, { "sha": "f2f00e1d825a103131109eb680328328b6db2c17", "time": "2026-10-03T14:19:46-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-ai-content", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-ai-content] task: claim scan-papers-sd-ai-content", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/f2f00e1d825a103131109eb680328328b6db2c17" }, { "sha": "8b0acac4c5143013abb998f2edc6eb80a6c07608", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:42+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-attribution", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-attribution] task: done scan-papers-sd-attribution", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/8b0acac4c5143013abb998f2edc6eb80a6c07608" }, { "sha": "71f88a164718aee38a7e612a4f249dac60177fc2", "time": "2026-10-03T14:19:40-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd-attribution", "subject": "[dmarz/sd-attribution] task: claim scan-papers-sd-attribution", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/71f88a164718aee38a7e612a4f249dac60177fc2" }, { "sha": "a2b24b4676a1ec62914a11cf9bbb4b1c2306b22a", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:36+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/marl-emergence", "subject": "[dmarz/marl-emergence] task: done scan-papers-marl-emergence", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a2b24b4676a1ec62914a11cf9bbb4b1c2306b22a" }, { "sha": "b0fc898cc1702090ca874fbd683f82b8057f3895", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:33+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/llm-agent-swarms", "subject": "[dmarz/llm-agent-swarms] task: done scan-papers-llm-agent-swarms", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/b0fc898cc1702090ca874fbd683f82b8057f3895" }, { "sha": "9d8d39bed2927e83ee4826042ef81fb9064cca54", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:30+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/llm-agent-swarms-recent", "subject": "[dmarz/llm-agent-swarms-recent] task: done scan-papers-llm-agent-swarms-recent", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/9d8d39bed2927e83ee4826042ef81fb9064cca54" }, { "sha": "361a5a02e1d15d1c7f65544ad1a5b6fdbda11939", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:25+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-unlinkability", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-unlinkability] task: done scan-papers-fm-unlinkability", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/361a5a02e1d15d1c7f65544ad1a5b6fdbda11939" }, { "sha": "5b59024acea61ede2ab807b8bed4564881d23f07", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:21+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-sutton", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-sutton] task: done scan-papers-fm-sutton", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/5b59024acea61ede2ab807b8bed4564881d23f07" }, { "sha": "85bdf06d21e04d1b9a8dfdcc42d8cdb318c38c41", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:17+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-mobile-agents", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-mobile-agents] task: done scan-papers-fm-mobile-agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/85bdf06d21e04d1b9a8dfdcc42d8cdb318c38c41" }, { "sha": "62d91ca27b52f2f963b09510a6088e3573d29c2c", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:14+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-merge-poisoning", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-merge-poisoning] task: done scan-papers-fm-merge-poisoning", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/62d91ca27b52f2f963b09510a6088e3573d29c2c" }, { "sha": "1b99387d4fec49351ff9c36ccd4aa6d50e710cce", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:10+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-memory-injection", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-memory-injection] task: done scan-papers-fm-memory-injection", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1b99387d4fec49351ff9c36ccd4aa6d50e710cce" }, { "sha": "117a14487f1952abb92417573699b949c7fd03e7", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:07+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-identity-hijack", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-identity-hijack] task: done scan-papers-fm-identity-hijack", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/117a14487f1952abb92417573699b949c7fd03e7" }, { "sha": "77b83fd32d9e5b5305a16b80499fb15ad41b42f4", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:04+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-contagion", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-contagion] task: done scan-papers-fm-contagion", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/77b83fd32d9e5b5305a16b80499fb15ad41b42f4" }, { "sha": "2535307c97f830e3e252bffd7a15060c26f27633", "time": "2026-10-03T18:19:00+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-biology", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-biology] task: done scan-papers-fm-biology", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2535307c97f830e3e252bffd7a15060c26f27633" }, { "sha": "3dc37f9e185f009dd2f23f1a02ed1968f8506528", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:57+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-bft-aggregation", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-bft-aggregation] task: done scan-papers-fm-bft-aggregation", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/3dc37f9e185f009dd2f23f1a02ed1968f8506528" }, { "sha": "7a6d23d127b0e77a5ff07431ad0055771bd0dd52", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:53+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-ai-control", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-ai-control] task: done scan-papers-fm-ai-control", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7a6d23d127b0e77a5ff07431ad0055771bd0dd52" }, { "sha": "77906a6dffda4e6729552922cfd3a996f37e04f4", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:50+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/crowds-and-traffic", "subject": "[dmarz/crowds-and-traffic] task: done scan-papers-crowds-and-traffic", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/77906a6dffda4e6729552922cfd3a996f37e04f4" }, { "sha": "976a79e55cb73e3ace18790e2051ae751498ee49", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:46+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/criticality-measurement", "subject": "[dmarz/criticality-measurement] task: done scan-papers-criticality-measurement", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/976a79e55cb73e3ace18790e2051ae751498ee49" }, { "sha": "761b23b70bb552460fa0f68ac160d7bea4dd49df", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:43+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/collective-motion", "subject": "[dmarz/collective-motion] task: done scan-papers-collective-motion", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/761b23b70bb552460fa0f68ac160d7bea4dd49df" }, { "sha": "1ac51b9392652e5415ec4418ac19e9df4d345541", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:39+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/collective-motion-recent", "subject": "[dmarz/collective-motion-recent] task: done scan-papers-collective-motion-recent", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1ac51b9392652e5415ec4418ac19e9df4d345541" }, { "sha": "0d4dd3d93f0cdc0a79ed5bb078a8b5e1d4f4c3d0", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:36+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/collective-decision", "subject": "[dmarz/collective-decision] task: done scan-papers-collective-decision", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0d4dd3d93f0cdc0a79ed5bb078a8b5e1d4f4c3d0" }, { "sha": "e946f0a9006faf4bacf8149e1af1e9e25c157e45", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:32+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/active-matter", "subject": "[dmarz/active-matter] task: done scan-papers-active-matter", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e946f0a9006faf4bacf8149e1af1e9e25c157e45" }, { "sha": "abdc0208b880a2049064e62f052316ddd6a89c0a", "time": "2026-10-03T18:18:32+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/swarm", "subject": "[dmarz/swarm] library: 13-topic academic literature scan with independent audits", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/abdc0208b880a2049064e62f052316ddd6a89c0a" }, { "sha": "78f7e64f9f789cf88c2fbe6827dda33200e74e4b", "time": "2026-10-03T14:18:14-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd", "subject": "[dmarz/sd] task: add swarm-detection lane (9 scans, survey, synthesis); register agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/78f7e64f9f789cf88c2fbe6827dda33200e74e4b" }, { "sha": "4997719503e7c5797e9ba205b9913364aae6ff92", "time": "2026-10-03T14:18:08-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sd", "subject": "[dmarz/sd] topics: add swarm-detection", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/4997719503e7c5797e9ba205b9913364aae6ff92" }, { "sha": "dfb11ed42a7ded1f081ec569ccab9920f63b7ecd", "time": "2026-10-03T18:16:23+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: done survey-llm-agent-swarms", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/dfb11ed42a7ded1f081ec569ccab9920f63b7ecd" }, { "sha": "db2f117059658a7db0f7da5f3c5d221b992f444c", "time": "2026-10-03T18:16:06+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] tasks: open review-llm-agent-swarms (for dmarz); researchers: review request in dmarz+vishesh inboxes, sol-1 status, log", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/db2f117059658a7db0f7da5f3c5d221b992f444c" }, { "sha": "013e96a68f97e2528cb6e3b71b5f6b5d08de2beb", "time": "2026-10-03T18:14:17+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] surveys: llm-agent-swarms complete (passes gate, 60+ cites, 16 search rounds); library: add cau-2026-collective, magistrali-2026-aligned, de-marzo-2026-conformity, kaesberg-2025-voting", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/013e96a68f97e2528cb6e3b71b5f6b5d08de2beb" }, { "sha": "1f3f51414906f0edfc7341a323429543f289ff0f", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:57-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-ai-control", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-ai-control] task: claim scan-papers-fm-ai-control", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1f3f51414906f0edfc7341a323429543f289ff0f" }, { "sha": "92b7c588530afae4bc9de5fa4e26de5520c22b65", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:50-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-informal", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-informal] task: claim scan-threads-fm", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/92b7c588530afae4bc9de5fa4e26de5520c22b65" }, { "sha": "0005509891325e2a24cfa0ee669c2beea40f6307", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:45-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-code-bench", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-code-bench] task: claim scan-code-fm", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0005509891325e2a24cfa0ee669c2beea40f6307" }, { "sha": "c57ef4520bd3bc364d579bb36b872eedce2fb93e", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:38-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-identity-hijack", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-identity-hijack] task: claim scan-papers-fm-identity-hijack", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/c57ef4520bd3bc364d579bb36b872eedce2fb93e" }, { "sha": "a38c408cc1b6f8bdf677ada7e89827229e3c1c7f", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:33-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil] sync: 28 file(s)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a38c408cc1b6f8bdf677ada7e89827229e3c1c7f" }, { "sha": "7b5f1298fea20a00f7d4e8c92a878a635171bcb3", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:30-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-mobile-agents", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-mobile-agents] task: claim scan-papers-fm-mobile-agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/7b5f1298fea20a00f7d4e8c92a878a635171bcb3" }, { "sha": "2dc564bd37c9b29653dcb115dfd8cb76f600e001", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:25-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-biology", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-biology] task: claim scan-papers-fm-biology", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2dc564bd37c9b29653dcb115dfd8cb76f600e001" }, { "sha": "1955ec258a7bf03010ece08ae51af5fc98b8281d", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:17-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-unlinkability", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-unlinkability] task: claim scan-papers-fm-unlinkability", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/1955ec258a7bf03010ece08ae51af5fc98b8281d" }, { "sha": "db5776c7f3fd0c7ff6aac89cda089a6da27d3703", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:12-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-bft-aggregation", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-bft-aggregation] task: claim scan-papers-fm-bft-aggregation", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/db5776c7f3fd0c7ff6aac89cda089a6da27d3703" }, { "sha": "5ac8c2ae888a01e9ba163e00f3076264af0bae82", "time": "2026-10-03T14:12:05-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-contagion", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-contagion] task: claim scan-papers-fm-contagion", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/5ac8c2ae888a01e9ba163e00f3076264af0bae82" }, { "sha": "cdec0cb83c1282326081b47cfb87d2ffa7512a4b", "time": "2026-10-03T14:11:59-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-memory-injection", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-memory-injection] task: claim scan-papers-fm-memory-injection", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/cdec0cb83c1282326081b47cfb87d2ffa7512a4b" }, { "sha": "6f4a0ef62a1249327e91db0e6c948686769edd3c", "time": "2026-10-03T14:11:52-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-merge-poisoning", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-merge-poisoning] task: claim scan-papers-fm-merge-poisoning", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/6f4a0ef62a1249327e91db0e6c948686769edd3c" }, { "sha": "d4ad00a228370ec43c1c9a0d96060ad0449ab6c2", "time": "2026-10-03T14:11:47-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm-sutton", "subject": "[dmarz/fm-sutton] task: claim scan-papers-fm-sutton", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/d4ad00a228370ec43c1c9a0d96060ad0449ab6c2" }, { "sha": "8424c225120ccc7f4c8002324d079525cc96efda", "time": "2026-10-03T14:11:41-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm", "subject": "[dmarz/fm] task: add fork-merge-security lane (12 scans, survey, synthesis); register agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/8424c225120ccc7f4c8002324d079525cc96efda" }, { "sha": "fa5733227ec07158c474a8ba97389fe490028b28", "time": "2026-10-03T14:10:58-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/fm", "subject": "[dmarz/fm] topics: add fork-merge-security", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/fa5733227ec07158c474a8ba97389fe490028b28" }, { "sha": "0971f42b206424aee622d2e57966aa28820af7aa", "time": "2026-10-03T18:07:26+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] library: add pavlova-2026-flag (full read), choi-2025-empirical, torpmann-hagen-2026-memetic, itkin-2026-poor", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/0971f42b206424aee622d2e57966aa28820af7aa" }, { "sha": "73f59cde92bf5e765b93ba88bc8aee42432831fd", "time": "2026-10-03T18:06:00+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/unprefixed", "subject": "Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/73f59cde92bf5e765b93ba88bc8aee42432831fd" }, { "sha": "e01867d6f41f2b1d3d689ee6b42bcb0d74238ac6", "time": "2026-10-03T18:05:59+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/swarm", "subject": "[dmarz/swarm] sync: 115 file(s)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e01867d6f41f2b1d3d689ee6b42bcb0d74238ac6" }, { "sha": "002913fd5b1ab45f909447b1a44d88548b1e5db8", "time": "2026-10-03T14:02:15-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-credentials", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-credentials] task: claim scan-papers-sybil-credentials", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/002913fd5b1ab45f909447b1a44d88548b1e5db8" }, { "sha": "2af2bd8dc29e7e76e25d3a352afa1e432e7d7d32", "time": "2026-10-03T14:02:11-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-code-data", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-code-data] task: claim scan-code-data-sybil", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2af2bd8dc29e7e76e25d3a352afa1e432e7d7d32" }, { "sha": "a00f884d6d5605c4bc6f355ab81e50a3f3ad98d7", "time": "2026-10-03T14:02:04-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-flashbots-informal", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-flashbots-informal] task: claim scan-flashbots-sybil-informal", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/a00f884d6d5605c4bc6f355ab81e50a3f3ad98d7" }, { "sha": "9b132fc50b208365c2165fa115ef577e4bd100e3", "time": "2026-10-03T14:01:59-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-flashbots", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-flashbots] task: claim scan-flashbots-sybil", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/9b132fc50b208365c2165fa115ef577e4bd100e3" }, { "sha": "ce51b381d64f5e8fb2980494d31d6d5904fe09d4", "time": "2026-10-03T14:01:54-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-mechanisms", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-mechanisms] task: claim scan-papers-sybil-mechanisms", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/ce51b381d64f5e8fb2980494d31d6d5904fe09d4" }, { "sha": "2a94b9fb7c7c498cced2fce603ee524a3cf8f30a", "time": "2026-10-03T14:01:50-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-llm-agents", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-llm-agents] task: claim scan-papers-sybil-llm-agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/2a94b9fb7c7c498cced2fce603ee524a3cf8f30a" }, { "sha": "09f93ff5bf2bd26b664cc54622dfce4b4200ff0b", "time": "2026-10-03T14:01:42-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-robotics", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-robotics] task: claim scan-papers-sybil-robotics", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/09f93ff5bf2bd26b664cc54622dfce4b4200ff0b" }, { "sha": "61407a33aaec82d6655b2b4909ace4ccc9a305d7", "time": "2026-10-03T14:01:38-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil-foundations", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil-foundations] task: claim scan-papers-sybil-foundations", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/61407a33aaec82d6655b2b4909ace4ccc9a305d7" }, { "sha": "5369315d7358f546d4b25f0c151839da8335f2c9", "time": "2026-10-03T14:01:32-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil] task: add sybil-resistance lane (8 scans, survey, Flashbots synthesis); register agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/5369315d7358f546d4b25f0c151839da8335f2c9" }, { "sha": "cdc1451e057a18738e7848229db6486a7d44302a", "time": "2026-10-03T14:01:32-04:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/sybil", "subject": "[dmarz/sybil] topics: add sybil-resistance", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/cdc1451e057a18738e7848229db6486a7d44302a" }, { "sha": "81351b00e51c02186df7310b7653d11edda732ef", "time": "2026-10-03T17:57:41+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: claim survey-llm-agent-swarms", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/81351b00e51c02186df7310b7653d11edda732ef" }, { "sha": "9107eeff59a570add16cbfcd4abac5e584a333eb", "time": "2026-10-03T17:57:33+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: done scan-code-robotics-marl", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/9107eeff59a570add16cbfcd4abac5e584a333eb" }, { "sha": "91f7a33b64810f9ac2ddf68ba485d8d479d3e8d3", "time": "2026-10-03T17:57:30+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: done scan-code-collective-sims", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/91f7a33b64810f9ac2ddf68ba485d8d479d3e8d3" }, { "sha": "25fc69828a52088662add1774d22afcad038848b", "time": "2026-10-03T17:57:26+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: done scan-code-agent-orchestration", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/25fc69828a52088662add1774d22afcad038848b" }, { "sha": "94311c458aeddfe670e13c57f57988fee3300db2", "time": "2026-10-03T17:57:23+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: done scan-threads-agents", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/94311c458aeddfe670e13c57f57988fee3300db2" }, { "sha": "9bd0527aae9fe194258d581cb90c412d74dd0190", "time": "2026-10-03T17:57:13+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] tasks: coverage notes for the four scan tasks (threads-agents, code-orchestration, code-collective-sims, code-robotics-marl)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/9bd0527aae9fe194258d581cb90c412d74dd0190" }, { "sha": "14154ce87371be56109db7e83ef58983178b096d", "time": "2026-10-03T17:55:55+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/unprefixed", "subject": "Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/14154ce87371be56109db7e83ef58983178b096d" }, { "sha": "8af21b225eff3076f1765357e15ccbca2f053dd9", "time": "2026-10-03T17:55:54+00:00", "owner": "dmarz", "agent": "dmarz/swarm", "subject": "[dmarz/swarm] sync: 228 file(s)", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/8af21b225eff3076f1765357e15ccbca2f053dd9" }, { "sha": "e9cff54d020ff743d431ff073a5e387eda559107", "time": "2026-10-03T17:54:57+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: claim scan-code-robotics-marl", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/e9cff54d020ff743d431ff073a5e387eda559107" }, { "sha": "b20302d68fea434a32cf6f2a7a3baae7c65b802f", "time": "2026-10-03T17:54:53+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: claim scan-code-collective-sims", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/b20302d68fea434a32cf6f2a7a3baae7c65b802f" }, { "sha": "d919d9eabc85e3046adba22525d4d41bfb79d03f", "time": "2026-10-03T17:54:50+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: claim scan-code-agent-orchestration", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/commit/d919d9eabc85e3046adba22525d4d41bfb79d03f" }, { "sha": "7901b2e7b13a1bc556a0107ef6eea56d3358181b", "time": "2026-10-03T17:54:46+00:00", "owner": "shadow", "agent": "shadow/sol-1", "subject": "[shadow/sol-1] task: claim scan-threads-agents", "url": 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"audit-xcheck", "kind": "independent arithmetic", "source": "researchers/shadow/notes/completed-findings-xcheck/SPLIT-REVIEW.md", "note": "Shadow independently reconstructs the truth and rescored all saved split answers.", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/shadow/notes/completed-findings-xcheck/SPLIT-REVIEW.md" }, { "from": "sybil-budget-api", "to": "phantom-coast-pc5", "kind": "prospective design transfer", "source": "researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/DESIGN-TRANSFER.md", "note": "Vishesh explicitly incorporates Dmarz's verification and scarcity lessons into next-design choices. Not a completed empirical replication.", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/vishesh/notes/phantom-coast/pc5/DESIGN-TRANSFER.md" }, { "from": "quorum-of-mirrors", "to": "audit-dmarz", "kind": "cross-researcher critique", "source": "researchers/dmarz/notes/latest-results-review-2026-10-04/evidence.json", "note": "Dmarz's frozen review distinguishes copied-majority failure from a controlled influence result.", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/latest-results-review-2026-10-04/evidence.json" }, { "from": "capture-memory-mix", "to": "audit-dmarz", "kind": "cross-researcher critique", "source": "researchers/dmarz/notes/latest-results-review-2026-10-04/evidence.json", "note": "Dmarz checked Qwen endpoints, challenged generalization and identified reporting defects.", "url": "https://github.com/dmarzzz/swarm-lab/blob/32a29a741f713d93c6bad941d024aad822892fd0/researchers/dmarz/notes/latest-results-review-2026-10-04/evidence.json" } ], "headlines": [ { "id": "independent-evidence", "title": "Count independent evidence, not agents: controlled tests and incident archives expose the cost of mistaking repetition for support.", "short": "Count evidence. Not echoes.", "evidence_ids": [ "sybil-split-opus", "quorum-of-mirrors", "phantom-coast-pc2", "wild-identity", "wild-askswarm", "wild-evidence-depth" ], "brief_fit": 0.98, "readiness": 0.95, "fit_reason": "Pairs the reusable AskSwarm tool and information-provenance forensics with controlled mechanisms from two other researchers. Direct match to several suggested project types, not a published judging rubric.", "readiness_reason": "Core artifacts are already saved; a single coherent demo and final source consistency pass remain. No new model run is needed.", "gaps": [ "These are convergent examples, not a pooled causal estimate or universal law.", "Quorum of Mirrors is a failed qualification, not a completed swarm-efficacy experiment.", "Retained wiki text and git templates confound semantic adoption. SwarmTraces has neither usable actors nor timestamps." ], "land_by_23": [ "Show one real-archive AskSwarm report beside a controlled identity/provenance failure.", "Keep the snapshot-versus-new-text audit and unavailable fields visible in the demo.", "Use fixed-resource splitting as the strongest arithmetic-checked mechanism, not a claim about all swarms." ], "components": { "evidence": 0.5333333333333333, "brief_fit": 0.98, "coverage": 1.0, "readiness": 0.95 }, "owner_strengths": { "dmarz": 0.8, "vishesh": 0.4, "shadow": 0.4 }, "score": 49.65, "evidence_present": [ "sybil-split-opus", "quorum-of-mirrors", "phantom-coast-pc2", "wild-identity", "wild-askswarm", "wild-evidence-depth" ], "missing_evidence": [] }, { "id": "self-audit", "title": "A research swarm can inspect its own work: reusable archive questions and independent replay turn activity into auditable claims.", "short": "The swarm, under inspection.", "evidence_ids": [ "wild-askswarm", "wild-identity", "sybil-split-opus", "quorum-of-mirrors", "capture-memory-mix" ], "brief_fit": 0.94, "readiness": 0.88, "fit_reason": "A working meta-science tool and an unusual self-swarm demonstration. The pipeline alone is not evidence that governance improves science.", "readiness_reason": "The archive tool and replay checks have shipped; the submission still needs a compact end-to-end walkthrough and corrected memory captions.", "gaps": [ "Commit volume measures production activity, not scientific contribution.", "No randomized comparison shows the research pipeline improves reliability.", "Independent arithmetic checks do not validate model receipts, causal design, or preregistration history." ], "land_by_23": [ "Demonstrate an actual defect found and corrected with a pinned before/after source.", "Refresh the submission draft so it includes the newly completed real-archive work.", "Keep tool output, reviewer judgment and model-driven scientific claims separate." ], "components": { "evidence": 0.5333333333333333, "brief_fit": 0.94, "coverage": 1.0, "readiness": 0.88 }, "owner_strengths": { "dmarz": 0.8, "vishesh": 0.4, "shadow": 0.4 }, "score": 44.12, "evidence_present": [ "wild-askswarm", "wild-identity", "sybil-split-opus", "quorum-of-mirrors", "capture-memory-mix" ], "missing_evidence": [] }, { "id": "verification", "title": "More checking is not automatically safer: admission, source quality and opportunity cost determine what verification buys.", "short": "Verify the right thing.", "evidence_ids": [ "sybil-budget-api", "sybil-scale-opus", "trust-credit-qwen", "phantom-coast-pc5", "right-dissenter-rd4" ], "brief_fit": 0.82, "readiness": 0.98, "fit_reason": "Strong controlled findings and useful understanding tools; a less direct link to in-the-wild tracing than the first candidate.", "readiness_reason": "Saved findings and independent arithmetic checks already exist. 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